Key tweets, and it's all gone to Hell.

[NH Husky]

Come on man there’s no world where UConn is in a power 2 conference, I hate to admit.

I understand where you’re coming from, the same could’ve been said about Rutgers 15 years ago.

I also think this whole current setup is on the verge of a major blow up and I’m not sure where I’d want us to be. The influence of money paying players is going to turn sour soon. Someone posted a list of program values and Texas was way above others. How long are traditional powerhouses like Alabama gonna play second fiddle to them? And they’d have to pay so much to keep up with football their other programs would surely suffer.

I suspect that during the next decade we will see huge changes. How we view content. And a split between football, hoops, and other sports. I would be content with tier 1 hoops, tier 2 football, and a mix of remaining sports trying to keep baseball, hockey, and soccers (m & w) tier 1.

But until then, let’s see what happens.

 

[ZooCougar]

They might be in nowheresville, but they have more dedicated fan bases and get better tv ratings. Look it up.

And the only ACC school that has a landing spot is UNC. People keep saying the ACC is going to break up. But it isn't. You're in fantasy land.

 

[CL82]

I understand where you’re coming from the same would’ve been said about Rutgers 15 years ago

Maybe, but not by those in the know. Rutgers was quietly groomed by the Big Ten to be an acceptable candidate. No promises, mind you, just direction on things that they would need to change to even be considered a possibility.

 

[CTFAN4LIFE]

And the only ACC school that has a landing spot is UNC. People keep saying the ACC is going to break up. But it isn't. You're in fantasy land.

Got this bookmarked and will check back in with you when the fourth ACC school departs.

 

[freescooter]

The most recent moves by B1G and SEC seems like they have had some agreement as to respective territories. Seems 10 years ago B1G could have snatched up Texas yet they didn’t. Their footprints do not overlap.

B1G moves indicate population centers and potential are attractive to them. Rutgers (NYC), Maryland (DC), and Southern California. Washington and Oregon brought in at half possibly to appease Cals. Only trend bucker is Nebraska.

SEC looked at population, cultural fit, and football reputation. Texas schools, Missouri, and Oklahoma.

If both conferences intend to get to 20, B1G needs 2, SEC needs 4.

Schools meeting criteria to each, are not overlapping, and if they are conceding markets, these schools may have appeal to each:

B1G
Notre Dame, UConn, Arizona, Virginia

SEC
North Carolina, Florida St, Clemson, NC State, Georgia Tech, West Virginia

Arizona and Virginia could go either way

Wildcards: Colorado, Utah, Miami

The likes of Syracuse, BC, Pitt had their chance to show there stuff and couldn’t make the grade.

I know it’s pure speculation but I can’t help but think having the best athletic department (by a huge margin) in NY/NE and demonstration of sports improvements when provided the resources, UConn must have significant appeal.

It does seem like there is some agreement among the Big10 and SEC but it might be more just a case of serendipity. As far as Texas goes the world was different. The Longhorn net was valuable. The Big wouldn’t let them keep it.

I think the Big 10 has been after “programs.” The exceptions are Rutgers and Maryland which were simply money grabs when cable was king. Not so much any more. Those are 2 schools that are in pro areas. They are and will be an afterthought most of the time. Rutgers Carrie’s the New York market about as strongly as UMass Carrie’s the Boston market. Maryland draws about 35,000. Drew 42000 for USC but that was the only game over 40,000 last year. They are neither DC’s nor Baltimore’s teams.

 

[ZooCougar]

Got this bookmarked and will check back in with you when the fourth ACC school departs.

Sure thing. You’re just as bad as MHVER.

 

[CTFAN4LIFE]

Sure thing. You’re just as bad as MHVER.

Nobody is as bad as him.

 

[ZooCougar]

Nobody is as bad as him.

You are if you think that some school is dumb enough to pay a $75M exit fee in 2031 to make less money in the Big 12.

Everyone will stay put and count their exit fee and then they will drink the Big 12's milkshake and have West Virginia or something. You're lawst.

 

[NH Husky]

Maybe, but not by those in the know. Rutgers was quietly groomed by the Big Ten to be an acceptable candidate. No promises, mind you, just direction on things that they would need to change to even be considered a possibility.

Not hard to believe. Have to also wonder what other “secret grooming” has/is happening. New England and a good chunk of New York metro is an awful big carrot.

 

[CTFAN4LIFE]

You are if you think that some school is dumb enough to pay a $75M exit fee in 2031 to make less money in the Big 12.

Everyone will stay put and count their exit fee and then they will drink the Big 12's milkshake and have West Virginia or something. You're lawst.

Stick with the program... 4 or more ACC schools will land in the SEC/BIG10. ESPN will then devalue the ACC contract, which will leave the remaining schools to have to petition for the Big12 as their tv valuations will be less than the Big12. In 2031 the Big12 payout per school is $50m (that's what their contract starting next year calls for). Once the ACC loses its top schools, the ACC remnants are likely to fetch half the $50m figure (given that the top 4 ACC programs drive about 50% of the overall ACC tv valuations). If you do the math, it's only a three year payback to pay the 2031 exit fee. So, schools like Louisville, VA Tech, etc will be scrambling to get into the Big12.