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Bracketology

ToolzieFan said:
I know UNC is down, but that doesn’t mean I’d rather see them over Iona. Iona has a nice win over Alabama. Their next best win is…maybe Liberty on a neutral court? Monmouth on the road? UNC shoots threes well enough to be a minor threat, although they wouldn't exactly worry me, either.

I agree with the point several have made that being a 4 seed is clearly preferable to being a 5 seed. That’s a reasonable expectation at this point.
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Yeah, fair enough! Obviously the advanced metrics have UNC clearly above Iona as well (KP 41 vs 87).
 
regardless of record, winning the BE tourney would put us at what a 2 seed?
 
Tenspro2002 said:
Actually, #1 seeds make the Sweet 16 about 85% of the time. It's almost unavoidable to encounter one if you're a 4/5.

This is the importance of being a 3 over a 4.

Honestly, if the choice is being a #6 or a #5, I'd almost take the #6.

But a #4 vs. #5, #4 is much better because of the huge difference in first round opponent.

And #3 vs. #4, #3 is much, much better because of avoiding the #1 seed.
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Agree with all of this. At this point, our best case scenario is a 3 if we win out and win the Big East Tournament. You want to avoid the 1 seed for as long as possible, and being a 3 or a 6 avoids the 1 until the Elite 8.
 
Unfortunately Texas just won @ WVU by 1 point. We need them to keep losing because most people have them 1 spot ahead of us on the seed line.
 
MJKI said:
Give me that Buffalo regional. So easy to get to from Logan or JFK/LGA, awesome drinking city, an absolute must go if we get lucky and get placed there
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My home - we won it all in 04 and I was there ... we won it all in 14 and I was way too nervous to go, I had tickets and sold them. Watched it all from my apartment 5 minutes away but I don't even regret it.

I'll take that region all day, every day for mojo reasons above even home town reasons.
 
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Ts5034 said:
Agree with all of this. At this point, our best case scenario is a 3 if we win out and win the Big East Tournament. You want to avoid the 1 seed for as long as possible, and being a 3 or a 6 avoids the 1 until the Elite 8.
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Depending on draw...as I said previously.. agree with you ....avoids the region's 1 until elite 8
Ts5034 said:
Agree with all of this. At this point, our best case scenario is a 3 if we win out and win the Big East Tournament. You want to avoid the 1 seed for as long as possible, and being a 3 or a 6 avoids the 1 until the Elite 8.
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Exactly
 
Not a great day for us with Tennessee, Arkansas, Texas, UCLA, and Wisconsin (all teams we’re competing directly against or within striking distance of passing on the s-curve) winning. This after Ohio State topping Illinois on Thursday, too.

Just got to keep winning our games and let the chips fall where they may.
 
UConNick said:
Not a great day for us with Tennessee, Arkansas, Texas, UCLA, and Wisconsin (all teams we’re competing directly against or within striking distance of passing on the s-curve) winning. This after Ohio State topping Illinois on Thursday, too.

Just got to keep winning our games and let the chips fall where they may.
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If we just keep winning we will be a 4 seed I think

Having that second top 10 win against Nova cemented it, as long as we win out and don’t exit early from the BET
 
UConNick said:
Not a great day for us with Tennessee, Arkansas, Texas, UCLA, and Wisconsin (all teams we’re competing directly against or within striking distance of passing on the s-curve) winning. This after Ohio State topping Illinois on Thursday, too.

Just got to keep winning our games and let the chips fall where they may.
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Yup, big wins for a lot of other teams in the 15-20 range. Not automatic that just because we're UConn we get up into the 16-18 range and a #4 seed.

Also, WVU looking like a bad loss. They're 3-12 in the Big 12 and under .500 overall. Yikes.

We're really going to have to make a case down the stretch here for a top seed. I think 4-1 is a minimum to get a #4 seed.
 
Tyler2Rings said:
Comes down to would I rather see Hubert Davis or Rick Pitino on the sideline. And...well that's easy
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Yup. I hate Slick Rick but respect the hell out of his basketball acumen. If anyone knows how to take down a more talented team, it's him. If we can't avoid him, I'd rather play him in the Round of 32 (giving him only 2 days to prep) versus 64 (4-5 days).
 
Rocktheworld said:
If we just keep winning we will be a 4 seed I think

Having that second top 10 win against Nova cemented it, as long as we win out and don’t exit early from the BET
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I think the BET title cements the #4 and gets us a puncher's chance at a #3. If they give us a #5 (no better than #17 in the country) after we win out at 26-7 and likely take down Nova in the process, that's some world class BS right there.
 
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Tenspro2002 said:
Yup, big wins for a lot of other teams in the 15-20 range. Not automatic that just because we're UConn we get up into the 16-18 range and a #4 seed.

Also, WVU looking like a bad loss. They're 3-12 in the Big 12 and under .500 overall. Yikes.

We're really going to have to make a case down the stretch here for a top seed. I think 4-1 is a minimum to get a #4 seed.
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Agreed - we need to get to 25 wins. Whether that’s winning out the reg or winning the BET, it requires at least 2 BET wins, and imo that’s the surest way to get a 4 seed. Would be hard to keep us off that line at 25-8 with the accompanying resume.
 
Just bring it already
 
Palm at CBS Bracketology has Providence as a 2 seed and UConn as a 4 seed.
 



Lunardi still has us as a 5, though he says if Texas loses to Baylor today we will move up to a 4. We're also right behind Providence, who I imagine are in for a shellacking @ Villanova tomorrow.
 
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awfuldan said:



Lunardi still has us as a 5, though he says if Texas loses to Baylor today we will move up to a 4. We're also right behind Providence, who I imagine are in for a shellacking @ Villanova tomorrow.
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A 4 or 5 seed with Gonzaga is a hard pass for me.

We either need to move up to #13-15 or slide to #18-20 overall.

Of course, it's fairly unlikely Lunardi has it pegged in the first place.
 
Tenspro2002 said:
A 4 or 5 seed with Gonzaga is a hard pass for me.

We either need to move up to #13-15 or slide to #18-20 overall.

Of course, it's fairly unlikely Lunardi has it pegged in the first place.
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I actually think we matchup well with Gonzaga. Holmgren and Timme have no chance against Sanogo. I don’t want to see a team like Illinois.
 
shizzle787 said:
I actually think we matchup well with Gonzaga. Holmgren and Timme have no chance against Sanogo.
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Impressively optimistic take here. Love Sanogo but saying Drew Timme has no chance against him is misguided.

Whaley/Holmgren is a fun matchup. Whaley has occasionally struggled to guard shooting forwards though, and I hate the idea of Holmgren being able to liberally help off of Whaley on defense.

Whaley did pretty well against Jabari Smith and Mobley last year. If he gets the chance to guard Holmgren he will have gone head to head against quite the list of high end lottery talent.
 
www.espn.com

NCAA tournament 2022 Bubble Watch: Brace yourself for a month of March Madness bracket selection drama

Not all bubble hopefuls have the same level of optimism on this Selection Sunday.
www.espn.com www.espn.com

Locks: PC, Nova, UConn
Should be in: Marquette, Hall
Work to do: Xavier, Creighton

Were the Musketeers still feeling the aftereffects of a heartbreaking three-overtime loss at Providence? Whatever the explanation, Xavier looked rather listless in their 16-point home loss to Seton Hall. The Pirates rang up 82 points in 62 possessions, and Travis Steele's team has now dropped six of its last seven. Part of that has been beyond the Musketeers' control, as opponents have hit 38% of their 3s in those seven games. Still, those same opponents have made their 2s as well. Xavier's seed right now is a shaky No. 9 and trending in the wrong direction.

After losing at Providence by 21, Creighton is a projected No. 10 seed that is missing its starting point guard and facing two more tough games. The Bluejays will finish the season at home against UConn and Seton Hall. Greg McDermott's team will play the Huskies and the Pirates without Ryan Nembhard, who suffered a season-ending wrist injury in the team's win at St. John's. In their first full game without Nembhard, the Bluejays took care of the ball just fine but shot 19% on 3s and 39% on 2s against the Friars.
 
tcf15 said:
With the amount of ish we (including myself) have talked about Memphis this season, we are 100% going to be in a 5/12 matchup with them. Absolutely doomed.
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Yeah getting a 4 is huge to get a mid major auto bid team vs an at large high major in the first round (for trash talking karma reasons as well since we’ve probably talked trash about a good chunk of bubble teams)
 
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tcf15 said:
With the amount of ish we (including myself) have talked about Memphis this season, we are 100% going to be in a 5/12 matchup with them. Absolutely doomed.
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We were talking about some interesting matchups and this scenario came up
Would be interesting but if the Memphis young kids are hitting their stride they would be a handful for the Huskies in many ways
 
Tenspro2002 said:
A 4 or 5 seed with Gonzaga is a hard pass for me.

We either need to move up to #13-15 or slide to #18-20 overall.

Of course, it's fairly unlikely Lunardi has it pegged in the first place.
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Bring on Gonzaga.
 
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