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Bracketology

The Athletic released an update, have us as a 5 in the midwest. 1st and 2nd rd in San Diego

4 UCLA vs 13 Vermont
5 UConn vs 12 Memphis or 12 Indiana (First Four)
Not a fan of this. Memphis in the first round would be fun, but playing a really talented team that underachieved early and is playing much better lately isn't ideal. Then UCLA in San Diego for Round 2 is miserable.
 
The Athletic released an update, have us as a 5 in the midwest. 1st and 2nd rd in San Diego

4 UCLA vs 13 Vermont
5 UConn vs 12 Memphis or 12 Indiana (First Four)
So basically they once again want us in a scenario similar to facing Ohio St in Cincinnati, Texas in San Antonio, Florida in Miami, UNC in Greensboro.

They did somewhat balance it out with MSG in 2014 and I wouldn't mind another game against the garden gnome.
 
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I also hate the first four the 12 seed is coming off a W with momentum
Taking into account bid-stealers, the at-large play-ins tend to be 11 seeds by seasons end. I agree, we need to do what we can to avoid those matchups
 
So basically they once again want us in a scenario similar to facing Ohio St in Cincinnati, Texas in San Antonio, Florida in Miami, UNC in Greensboro.

They did somewhat balance it out with MSG in 2014 and I wouldn't mind another game against the garden gnome.
It's a reminder of the benefits of a top 4 seed, and really why you want a top 3 seed. Certainly doable, though still unlikely.
 
It's a reminder of the benefits of a top 4 seed, and really why you want a top 3 seed. Certainly doable, though still unlikely.
While it is fun to project, you guys do realize that these predictions mean zilch and are almost always pretty far off other than predicting the top seeds. Can’t wait for selection Sunday.
 
Getting to a 4 seed would be important to be able to play the first two rounds in either Buffalo or Pittsburgh and have fans be able to drive there. Right now, the only teams probably ahead of us that I can see wanting to play there would be Duke (maybe), 'Nova, Providence and Ohio State. Being ranked ahead of Ohio State at the end of the conference tourneys also becomes critical.

Fun to think about brackets, but at this point that is just science fiction.
 
Getting to a 4 seed would be important to be able to play the first two rounds in either Buffalo or Pittsburgh and have fans be able to drive there. Right now, the only teams probably ahead of us that I can see wanting to play there would be Duke (maybe), 'Nova, Providence and Ohio State. Being ranked ahead of Ohio State at the end of the conference tourneys also becomes critical.

Fun to think about brackets, but at this point that is just science fiction.
If PC wins tomorrow they are almost certainly getting Buffalo. UConn there as well would be cool.
 
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We need at least a three seed if we want to make a run in March. That requires we win out the regular season and two games in the BET.
 
We need at least a three seed if we want to make a run in March. That requires we win out the regular season and two games in the BET.
We won the championship in 2014 as a 7 seed. So, seeding matters -- but it's not everything. I'm more concerned with how we're playing leading up to the tournament. If we continue to play well, we can beat absolutely anyone - no matter what our seeding might be.
 
Lunardi updated his bracket.


We are a 5 seed in Buffalo facing Slick Rick and Iona in the first round. Ohio State / Toledo for Round 2 and Gonzaga is our 1 seed.

Iona is an exceptionally good mid-major and obviously going against a Hall-of-Famer in Round 1 is not ideal. I saw them play in person @ Quinnipiac recently and they have legit size, as well as big and experienced guards. Would be a fun match-up but not an easy win.
 
Tried to post to Lunardi’s most recent bracket for its but the BY blocked me. I’ll try to post later
 
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While it is fun to project, you guys do realize that these predictions mean zilch and are almost always pretty far off other than predicting the top seeds. Can’t wait for selection Sunday.
Yes, of course I know that this won't be the exact pairing. But they are part of what can and does happen regularly to seeds worse than 4—and often to 4 seeds too.

I don't see how that actually changes my point: these sorts of difficult scenarios happen the worse your seeding, and getting a Top 3 seed is a great way to avoid them.
 
We won the entire thing as a 7-seed.
Yes, we did. And that has happened how regularly? I'm sure Villanova would prefer the odds of getting a 1 seed rather than saying "well, we won it as an 8 seed once, so who cares"
 
Yes, we did. And that has happened how regularly? I'm sure Villanova would prefer the odds of getting a 1 seed rather than saying "well, we won it as an 8 seed once, so who cares"

It happens very regularly actually. Last year we saw UCLA make the final four as an 11-seed

In 2019 - Auburn made it as a 5-seed
In 2018 - Loyola Chicago made it as an 11-seed
In 2017 - South Carolina made it as a 7-seed
In 2016 - Syracuse made it as a 10-seed
In 2015 - Michigan State made it as a 7-seed.

Every year higher seeds make the final four. You don't need to be a 1, 2, or 3. That is my point. I'd obviously prefer a favorable seed but let's not pretend that is impossible to make the final four if you're not a higher seed. It happens all the time. Legitimately every year.
 
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Tried to post to Lunardi’s most recent bracket for its but the BY blocked me. I’ll try to post later
7A11CA0C-54B6-4120-9B6C-DA00E58ABB53.jpeg
 
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