I can’t disagree with your assessment of Paige. She’s every bit the Wonder Woman you describe. But I think you get Nika wrong. You mention the 2022 tournament and the NC St game. But you neglect the Stanford game in which Nika outrebounded Brink! The girl does stuff like that!
On the whole, I think the 2022 season was the old Nika, the one who didn’t trust her own offense, who couldn’t finish at the rim. She was still an awesome defender, rebounder and all around ball hawk. Still, 2022 Nika was mainly a liability at the end of close games because she wasn’t an offensive threat.
Fast forward to 2023 Nika. This edition improved her offensive output, slashing and finishing at the rim and passing as well as any UConn pg ever has. She almost doubled her previous career scoring average, and tripled her assists, with an excellent a/to ratio. Although I think Nika was instrumental in the Stanford win two seasons ago, she was instrumental in almost every win last season. Without her at point, the team would have gone nowhere.
It’s tempting to blame Nika for the tOSU loss. But I don’t think that was her fault. It was a team letdown. They were emotionally spent and you could see it. They weren’t moving to the ball to receive passes, they weren’t chasing down 50/50 balls. They had already gone as far as Nika could carry them emotionally.
But it will be different next season, powered by Nika’s heart and Paige’s genius, and Azzi’s long range daggers, and Aaliyah’s and Caroline’s renewed confidence, and Aubrey’s gazelle like transition runs. I don’t think Nika will have to supply all the heart this time around. She’ll have a lot of reinforcements.
We agree on some points and disagree on others.
You are correct that Nika had one more rebound than Cameron Brink (8 vs. 7). However, Nika only scored 2 points in that game, versus 15 for Brink. Paige scored 14 points and she had 4 rebounds.
The results of the Stanford game buttress an assertion that I made in my previous post, namely, that Paige generally performs better overall than Nika, particularly in high-pressure playoff games. You can see Paige’s superior performance more clearly by looking at data from HerHoopStats. Below is a table summarizing some key statistics.
| Player | Player Efficiency Rating (PER) | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating (lower numbers are better) | Net Rating |
Paige Bueckers
(2021-2022 season) | 30.4 | 119.7 | 77.3 | 42.4 |
Nika Muhl
(2022-2023 season) | 14.4 | 102.8 | 85.5 | 17.3 |
As the table shows, Paige’s PER is more than double Nika’s PER. Paige’s net rating is 25.1 points higher than Nika’s. Those are huge margins. Note that Paige’s offensive rating and her defensive rating are both better than Nika’s ratings.
I agree with you that Nika significantly improved her game last season. I also agree that Nika had an excellent A/TO ratio. However, Paige had an even better A/TO ratio: 2.31 vs. 2.24.
In a number of posts, you have propounded the theory that the UConn players were “emotionally spent” in the game against Ohio State. I am not willing to subscribe to this theory based on the results of just one game. UConn had plenty of energy and spirit in the Big East tournament and during the NCAA tournament games against Baylor and Vermont. Moreover, I have not heard any comments from Geno or from his players that they were “emotionally spent” during the game against Ohio State. A more plausible explanation is that UConn was flummoxed and stymied by Ohio State’s well-executed, full-court press.
I agree with you that Nika should not be solely blamed for the loss to Ohio State. She did, however, lead the team in turnovers (7) in that game.
You wrote that there was a team letdown against tOSU. Not all the players had disappointing performances. Lou had an impressive 25-point game with an injured knee. Dorka and Azzi scored 13 and 14 points, respectively. Aaliyah, Caroline, Aubrey, and Nika had weak performances, however.
Ohio State should be given credit for a well-played game. Cotie McMahon and Jacy Sheldon played especially well.