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How can a bunch of Americans misunderstand the free market so much? This just creates a new opportunity for rebalancing the game and stodgy monopolistic nature of the system - which is GOOD.Very few players will be able to make much at all off this. The big stars will make a lot but they are in the minority.
You guys are looking at this wayyyyyy too simply.
Might 5 star guys get into some 6 figure bidding wars, sure! But schools will pursue different strategies, maybe convince donors to NIL a bunch of 3-4 star guys with upside at a much lower price point rather than bid for the 5 stars. Football with the volume of recruits and rosters this will be particularly important to scout guys really well and then make your hay at the smaller NIL guys. $500-1000/mo to get an awesome 3 star rather than $50k/mo for the 5-star with limited upside might be a better bet. Let the sharks overpay, you go after the guys with raw talent that needs to be molded for a year or two.
In basketball it will probably work similarly. Top 20 guys might be super pricey, and so the competition for the 50-100 and 100-200 level guys might be a much better cost/benefit, and give teams that traditionally would just have no shot... well... a shot. Does Fairfield U. have a megadonor willing to give the #10 player in the class a $1m/yr deal to put fairfield on the map? great. Duck Fuke.
And not the right forum, but wake up the 3 guys keeping the lights on at the "realignment board", cuz in this new world where direct compensation goes to the players, now the conference/facilities/tradition that kept that whole rotten cartel in power just all got pegged down a notch. Let 'em burn, should be the position of all UConn fans.
Sit back and enjoy the chaos, and hope our coaching staff and AD are agile enough to embrace the new world and thrive in it.
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