Wins needed for 2019 NCAA Bid | Page 4 | The Boneyard

Wins needed for 2019 NCAA Bid

Always nice to start AAC weekend with a Friday win. Very happy not to have wasted another great pitching performance from Feole and our Outstanding Bullpen. Not much in hitting department, but hats off to Anthony Nucerino with the key hit of the game. He is the Mike Woodworth of this year. Really a nice surprise , batting .340 and OB% of .446.

It would be nice if we could get off to a quick start with our bats today, if we can get into their bullpen relatively early we should be in good shape.

To bad for AAC , that ECU up 5 - 2 later in game vs #1 UCLA lost 7-5. Would love to see them get at least 1 this weekend.

Post season Criteria Chart - All Green

Go Huskies



Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
6 - 1 / .857% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
6 - 4 / .600 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 22 -12/ .647 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 25 .... <50- RPI

(3) 3rd ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
Finished off a good week at 4-1. Pitching again today was very good, hoping our bats come alive this week. Have 4 away games ( UMass, 3 vs ECU). Will be an important week, that can set tone for rest of season.

Post season criteria chart - All Green

Go Huskies

Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
6 - 1 / .857% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
7 - 4 / .583 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 23 -13/ .639 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 31 .... <50- RPI

(3) tied 3rd ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
Held on to a must win yesterday to start a tough week, with ECU away this weekend. Did not know how game went yesterday until 9pm last evening. With work and attending a wake was not able to follow game.

I know this has nothing to do with baseball, but wake was for a friends 36 year old son that overdosed. He was battling his addiction for over 10 years, and put himself and his family thru hell. He was such a nice young man, who had a terrible problem.

This opioid problem is such a wide spread epidemic, that affects families of all social standing. Not sure why I am ranting about this, but what a waste of what could have been a successful life.

Go Huskies



Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 1 / .875% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
7 - 5 / .583 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 24 -13/ .649 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 27 .... <50- RPI

(3) tied 3rd ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Georgia is not very good offensively, at all. That is a winnable regional if we have good, patient at bats instead of swinging at everything first pitch.
 
Guapo said:
I AM OK WITH THIS
Expand ...
uconnbaseball said:
Georgia is not very good offensively, at all. That is a winnable regional if we have good, patient at bats instead of swinging at everything first pitch.
Expand ...

More context:

I live in Atlanta

My wife (and her entire family) went to Georgia, her folks own a house right around the corner from Foley Field in Athens.

My mom went to FSU

This would be amazing from my perspective
 
Sorry about your loss ucjoet. I experienced a similar situation a few years back. A twenty-something son of a family that I have known most of my life also overdosed. That is a great waste of an unfinished life.
 
huskymedic said:
Baseball America > 2019 NCAA Baseball Tournament Projected Field of 64 (4/17/19)

UConn projected as the #2 seed in the Athens Georgia Regional.

ECU as the #1 in Greenville and Houston as the #3 in College Station
Expand ...

D1Baseball.com>College Baseball Projected Field Of 64: April 17 • D1Baseball

UConn as the #2 seed in the Los Angeles Regional (w/ #1 overall UCLA).
ECU as the #1 seed in Greenville and Houston the #3 seed in Atlanta.

Here’s how the overall bids breakdown by conference: SEC (11), ACC (7), Big 12 (7), Pac 12 (6), American (3), Big Ten (3), Big West (2), Conference USA (2).

Lot of baseball still to be played.
 
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huskymedic said:
D1Baseball.com>College Baseball Projected Field Of 64: April 17 • D1Baseball

UConn as the #2 seed in the Los Angeles Regional (w/ #1 overall UCLA).
ECU as the #1 seed in Greenville and Houston the #3 seed in Atlanta.

Here’s how the overall bids breakdown by conference: SEC (11), ACC (7), Big 12 (7), Pac 12 (6), American (3), Big Ten (3), Big West (2), Conference USA (2).

Lot of baseball still to be played.
Expand ...

I was looking for a UCLA baseball message board out of boredom yesterday to see what their thoughts were on ECU. I was flabbergasted to see that their only "active" board averaged under 20 posts a thread. Apparently they have had attendance issues as well by PAC-12 standards.

Their team is awesome. I don't understand how difficult it is to support a good baseball team, even in LA.
 
First Happy Easter to the Boneyard family.

This past week was very disappointing. Would have been satisfied with a 2-2 week, but really hurt getting swept by a very good ECU team. This puts our hosting chances at almost zero, unless we go on an incredible run. If we figure we have 20 games left (including AAC tourney), we would probably need to go 16-4 and win tourney to have a shot.

According to my chart below, we are on the bubble for an At Large bid. Need to get a little streak going to put us in a more comfortable position.

These next 2 New England games are very big, and would love to win series vs a good Sam Houston State team away.

Go Huskies



Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 1 / .875% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
7 - 8 / .467 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 24 -16/ .600 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 26 .... <50- RPI

(3) 5th ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
ucjoet said:
First Happy Easter to the Boneyard family.

This past week was very disappointing. Would have been satisfied with a 2-2 week, but really hurt getting swept by a very good ECU team. This puts our hosting chances at almost zero, unless we go on an incredible run. If we figure we have 20 games left (including AAC tourney), we would probably need to go 16-4 and win tourney to have a shot.

According to my chart below, we are on the bubble for an At Large bid. Need to get a little streak going to put us in a more comfortable position.

These next 2 New England games are very big, and would love to win series vs a good Sam Houston State team away.

Go Huskies



Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 1 / .875% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
7 - 8 / .467 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 24 -16/ .600 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 26 .... <50- RPI

(3) 5th ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
Expand ...

I have figured for a while that UConn hosting a regional was going to be a tough go. Also was figuring the team would have a lot of trouble against ECU, and sadly that was proven right. I would say that hosting has pretty much gone by the boards.

As far as getting an NCAA tourney bid, there is good news, and bad news. UConn's RPI is still at 26, which is still in very good shape. Being below .500 in the AAC is not.

My thinking is this. UConn has an out of conference series against Sam Houston State next weekend. This is another pretty good team UConn is playing. The Huskies need to stick to the usual script here, and take 2 out of 3 games. Being a road series, that will keep the RPI in solid shape and add to the NCAA resume,

The key games really start when UConn gets back into AAC play. UConn hosts Wichita State and South Florida the first two weekends of May. This is big. Wichita State and South Florida are both in the bottom third of the league, so it is imperative that at the very least UConn take both these series. That would make for a 4-2 record in these games, it would be a lot better for the Huskies if they go 5-1. UConn simply cannot afford to have a poor series of home games against these teams, the season really does rest on these two series. If UConn does well in these home AAC games, the Huskies will have a built in win buffer in the AAC standings as they close the AAC regular season on the road against Tulane, currently second in the league standings. This will probably be a tough series as well, although I would think East Carolina is as tough as it gets in terms of conference games.
 
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huskymedic said:
Expand ...


I seriously don’t get this. NC State is 24 and UConn is 25 in this metric? These are the only two teams I follow at all so I really don’t get it.
 
Aaron Fitt analysis of where things stand for NCAA post season bids.

Postseason Stock Report: Breaking Down Races For National Seeds, Hosts, At-Larges • D1Baseball

He has a bit on the AAC and UConn:

>American Athletic Conference (3 total bids)

SAFELY IN: East Carolina, Connecticut
ON THE BUBBLE (IN): Houston
ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): Tulane

No change from last week. Houston has won eight of its last nine games, bookended by two midweek wins over Sam Houston State and highlighted by a midweek win over Texas A&M. Houston is back over .500 in conference at 8-7, but its RPI actually dropped three spots in the last week to No. 38. The RPI, the modest conference record and the 5-7 record against the top 50 keeps the Cougars on the bubble, but they’re trending in the right direction.

Connecticut, meanwhile, is trending the wrong direction, with a home series loss to Cincinnati and a road sweep at the hands of East Carolina in the last three weeks. UConn has fallen below .500 in conference at 7-8, and boosting that record is its biggest priority going forward. The Huskies are still in decent shape overall because of their their No. 24 RPI and 7-7 record against the top 50, but they need to regain some momentum to avoid falling onto the bubble.

Tulane remains the only other viable postseason contender in the American, sitting in second place at 8-3 in the standings. But its No. 89 RPI and 1-5 record against the top 50 still hold it back. If the Green Wave can win a road series at ECU this weekend, they should make a big leap in the RPI, and another road series at Houston presents further opportunity in a few weeks. So the Green Wave has a chance to get that RPI where it needs to be; the RPI Needs Report estimates that Tulane can surge into the top 45 with a 13-3 finish. That won’t be easy, and we’re not counting on it, but it’s within the realm of possibility.<

My thinking is that UConn will be in good shape if it takes care of business in its home games against Wichita State and South Florida, two teams in the bottom third of the AAC standings. Wins against those teams and a decent final weekend against Tulane should put UConn in good shape for an NCAA tourney bid.
 
We won a game we needed to win vs a decent Rhode Island team. Again great pitching, but bats can't seem to get going. Important series this weekend vs a good Sam Houston State team away (22-16, RPI - 78). Would be big if we can at least take 2 of 3.

Go Huskies



Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
8 - 1 / .889% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
7 - 8 / .467 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 25 -16/ .610 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 22 .... <50- RPI

(3) 5th ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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dbmill said:
Aaron Fitt analysis of where things stand for NCAA post season bids.

Postseason Stock Report: Breaking Down Races For National Seeds, Hosts, At-Larges • D1Baseball

He has a bit on the AAC and UConn:

>American Athletic Conference (3 total bids)

SAFELY IN: East Carolina, Connecticut
ON THE BUBBLE (IN): Houston
ON THE BUBBLE (OUT): Tulane

No change from last week. Houston has won eight of its last nine games, bookended by two midweek wins over Sam Houston State and highlighted by a midweek win over Texas A&M. Houston is back over .500 in conference at 8-7, but its RPI actually dropped three spots in the last week to No. 38. The RPI, the modest conference record and the 5-7 record against the top 50 keeps the Cougars on the bubble, but they’re trending in the right direction.

Connecticut, meanwhile, is trending the wrong direction, with a home series loss to Cincinnati and a road sweep at the hands of East Carolina in the last three weeks. UConn has fallen below .500 in conference at 7-8, and boosting that record is its biggest priority going forward. The Huskies are still in decent shape overall because of their their No. 24 RPI and 7-7 record against the top 50, but they need to regain some momentum to avoid falling onto the bubble.

Tulane remains the only other viable postseason contender in the American, sitting in second place at 8-3 in the standings. But its No. 89 RPI and 1-5 record against the top 50 still hold it back. If the Green Wave can win a road series at ECU this weekend, they should make a big leap in the RPI, and another road series at Houston presents further opportunity in a few weeks. So the Green Wave has a chance to get that RPI where it needs to be; the RPI Needs Report estimates that Tulane can surge into the top 45 with a 13-3 finish. That won’t be easy, and we’re not counting on it, but it’s within the realm of possibility.<

My thinking is that UConn will be in good shape if it takes care of business in its home games against Wichita State and South Florida, two teams in the bottom third of the AAC standings. Wins against those teams and a decent final weekend against Tulane should put UConn in good shape for an NCAA tourney bid.
Expand ...
We will not make the tournament if or record in the AAC is below .500. There have been enough documented cases of the committee leaving otherwise deserving teams out of tournament who do not finish with at least a .500 record in conference ( see North Carolina in 2016, South Carolina in 2017, Kentucky in 2018 ).
 
BaseballDog said:
We will not make the tournament if or record in the AAC is below .500. There have been enough documented cases of the committee leaving otherwise deserving teams out of tournament who do not finish with at least a .500 record in conference ( see North Carolina in 2016, South Carolina in 2017, Kentucky in 2018 ).
Expand ...

Which is why I say that UConn needs to generate enough wins in their home games against Wichita State and South Florida. Together with a win or two on the road in the final weekend against Tulane, that would put UConn at or over .500 in the AAC. But the big key is those home games against the AAC teams.
 
As someone else mentioned in another thread, yesterday was a must win game. Saying that it seems like every game is a must win. Today would be huge, and get a little momentum going into final 3 AAC weekend series.

In regards to Chart goals below, a win today would get us to our goal of 5 - 4 vs Top 55 RPI (out of conf) games. We have reached our goal vs Over 55 RPI category, and only need to split our 2 New England games to reach that goal.

We do have some work to do to reach our AAC Reg season goal. Need to go 7 - 2 in AAC play rest of way.

Lets get a win today.

Go Huskies




Current record.. season goal
4 - 4 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
8 - 1 / .889% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
7 - 8 / .467 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 26 -17/ .605 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 23 .... <50- RPI

(3) 5th ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
ucjoet said:
As someone else mentioned in another thread, yesterday was a must win game. Saying that it seems like every game is a must win. Today would be huge, and get a little momentum going into final 3 AAC weekend series.

In regards to Chart goals below, a win today would get us to our goal of 5 - 4 vs Top 55 RPI (out of conf) games. We have reached our goal vs Over 55 RPI category, and only need to split our 2 New England games to reach that goal.

We do have some work to do to reach our AAC Reg season goal. Need to go 7 - 2 in AAC play rest of way.

Lets get a win today.

Go Huskies




Current record.. season goal
4 - 4 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
8 - 1 / .889% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
7 - 8 / .467 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 26 -17/ .605 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 23 .... <50- RPI

(3) 5th ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
Expand ...

With UConn's RPI in good shape, I don't buy into this game being a must win game, other than the goal every weekend is to win 2 out of 3 to take a series. Still, winning is much better for the NCAA bid resume in the end, and is better for both team and fan morale. Also, beating a good Sam Houston State club is another good post season marker.

The next three weekends are another matter. Over the next two weekends at home UConn needs to go at least 4-2 (better that it be 5-1) against teams that are in the bottom half of the league. UConn needs to be at least .500 in the AAC standings come the end of the season, plus losing these games at home would do serious damage to UConn's RPI, which at this point is the Huskies main calling point in receiving an NCAA tourney bid.
 
dbmill said:
With UConn's RPI in good shape, I don't buy into this game being a must win game, other than the goal every weekend is to win 2 out of 3 to take a series. Still, winning is much better for the NCAA bid resume in the end, and is better for both team and fan morale. Also, beating a good Sam Houston State club is another good post season marker.

The next three weekends are another matter. Over the next two weekends at home UConn needs to go at least 4-2 (better that it be 5-1) against teams that are in the bottom half of the league. UConn needs to be at least .500 in the AAC standings come the end of the season, plus losing these games at home would do serious damage to UConn's RPI, which at this point is the Huskies main calling point in receiving an NCAA tourney bid.
Expand ...
I do agree that stating that yesterday was a must win may have been a bit exaggerated. My thoughts on it being a must game was that if we did lose that game, we would be in danger of getting swept 2 weekends in a row. We do have a great RPI, but we need to win games ( obvious statement). We do need to win next 2 AAC series and get over .500. Lets get a win today and keep momentum going.
Go Huskies
 
Heart breaking loss today. We have now lost 5 of last 7. Need to turn this around this week. Cant afford to lose any more weekend series, and definitely need to get above .500 in AAC play.

Lot of RED below. Our RPI is still excellent at 25, but need to get on a little win streak.

Go Huskies



Current record.. season goal
4 - 5 / .444% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI (out of conf)
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI (out of conf)
8 - 1 / .889% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
7 - 8 / .467 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 26 -18/ .591 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 25 .... <50- RPI

(3) 5th ....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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