Wins needed for 2019 NCAA Bid | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Wins needed for 2019 NCAA Bid

Very exciting weekend. Those two losses to College of Charleston are the only real negative on the season.

Need to keep momentum going and beat UVA. And please, please learn how to dominate those mid-week non-conference games. Those have held us back in recent years.
 
Interesting early view of UConn (from RPI perspective): Connecticut Huskies Nitty Gritty Report & Team Sheet 2019 College Baseball - WarrenNolan.com

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Very exciting weekend. Those two losses to College of Charleston are the only real negative on the season.

Need to keep momentum going and beat UVA. And please, please learn how to dominate those mid-week non-conference games. Those have held us back in recent years.
HuskyHawk, I totally agree. In past we have had trouble winning mid-week games and had some terrible losses. These games usually don't do a great deal to help you when you win, but they do big damage when you lose. Hopefully with what seems like a deeper team, we can take care of business for mid-week games

Go Huskies
 
And please, please learn how to dominate those mid-week non-conference games. Those have held us back in recent years.

But not last season. UConn dominated the New England non-conference games last season, going 8-1-1 (loss to Rhode Island, tie to Bryant, which always seems to have a solid team) in a weather reduced schedule. Given the oddness of baseball where an inferior team seems to always have a shot against a better team, that's an excellent record.
 
Friday: Feole, Saturday: Kersten, Sunday: Wang/Haus

That leaves one of Wang/Haus along with Simeone & Dunlop for midweek New England games. I think those guys will be able to get the job done.
 
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Friday: Feole, Saturday: Kersten, Sunday: Wang/Haus

That leaves one of Wang/Haus along with Simeone & Dunlop for midweek New England games. I think those guys will be able to get the job done.

This is purely a guess, but based on his solid performance this past weekend I think Haus will start this Sunday. Jimmy Wang also did very well in his first start, but I'm inclined to go a little slower with him and not throw him to the wolves in a starting role against conference opponents. Wang is still very new to college baseball, and just hasn't pitched all that much since high school.

Of course, Coach Penders definitely has a tendency to try to stick young talented pitchers into the weekend starting rotation as quickly as possible, but in Jimmy Wang's case, I think he needs some time to develop and grow into this role. Obviously, we'll see in which direction Penders goes on this.

After this weekend, two weekday starters will be needed. Assuming he doesn't blow up in his presumed start against Virginia, I would think one will be Colby Dunlop, who has done well with his last two relief stints. I think the other will be Jimmy Wang. The weekday starting assignments are a great little training ground for future weekend starters, and I think that is where Jimmy Wang will eventually land, whether it is later this season or next season. Joe Simeone returns to the bullpen where he sounded very comfortable in his relief stint this past weekend.

As I have said before, the starting rotation is a work in progress, but after this past weekend, I'm encouraged that it is heading in the right direction. It may not be great, but I expect it to be at the very least serviceable. Both Haus and Wang got into the 5th inning in their last starts over the weekend, hopefully they just need to build their arm strength to be able to go a bit longer than that.
 
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This is purely a guess, but based on his solid performance this past weekend I think Haus will start this Sunday. Jimmy Wang also did very well in his first start, but I'm inclined to go a little slower with him and not throw him to the wolves in a starting role against conference opponents. Wang is still very new to college baseball, and just hasn't pitched all that much since high school.

Of course, Coach Penders definitely has a tendency to try to stick young talented pitchers into the weekend starting rotation as quickly as possible, but in Jimmy Wang's case, I think he needs some time to develop and grow into this role. Obviously, we'll see in which direction Penders goes on this.

After this weekend, two weekday starters will be needed. Assuming he doesn't blow up in his presumed start against Virginia, I would think one will be Colby Dunlop, who has done well with his last two relief stints. I think the other will be Jimmy Wang. The weekday starting assignments are a great little training ground for future weekend starters, and I think that is where Jimmy Wang will eventually land, whether it is later this season or next season. Joe Simeone returns to the bullpen where he sounded very comfortable in his relief stint this past weekend.

As I have said before, the starting rotation is a work in progress, but after this past weekend, I'm encouraged that it is heading in the right direction. It may not be great, but I expect it to be at the very least serviceable. Both Haus and Wang got into the 5th inning in their last starts over the weekend, hopefully they just need to build their arm strength to be able to go a bit longer than that.

Th problem with the starts last weekend wasn't Haus and Wang. It wa Mason and Kirsten.
 
Th problem with the starts last weekend wasn't Haus and Wang. It wa Mason and Kirsten.

I don't think there is any question that Feole and Kersten are staying in the rotation for now. I was commenting on who was coming after them. Haus and Wang were the bigger question marks considering they had one UConn career start between them. Feole is still coming back and getting into pitching form. I'm not worried about him. Kersten gave up 4 runs in his start, but after his early rough patch in the 2nd inning he settled down and was able to get through 6 innings, and that definitely counts for something.
 
Thinking about what we need to do the next 4 games to have a possibility of being ranked. Without any research, I felt winning 3 of 4 would do the trick. But I think we need to sweep to have a shot. I based this on teams in front of us having decent weeks. Obviously if many lose big, that would change things.

Teams currently ranked 21 -25 in Baseball America and NCAA/ D1 Baseball.com, have an average winning % of .744 and RPI of 66. If we were to win our next 4 games, our record would be 15-6 (.714) and our RPI should still be below 20. Also we would have won 10 of last 11. This would all be accomplished without playing a home game.

That should get us good consideration for a top 25 ranking. With that being said, I would sign up for a 3-1 week right now.

Go Huskies
 
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Conference play is shaping up to be incredible:



That, or you fell for a misleading headline. What if the headline were the more relevant "AAC goes 1-4 in non-league play." Our league is lower rated by RPI than it was last year. Doesn't mean it isn't a good league, but broadcasting good wins and ignoring bad losses doesn't tell anyone anything.
 
That, or you fell for a misleading headline. What if the headline were the more relevant "AAC goes 1-4 in non-league play." Our league is lower rated by RPI than it was last year. Doesn't mean it isn't a good league, but broadcasting good wins and ignoring bad losses doesn't tell anyone anything.

Rated lower same time period YOY? AAC is sitting @ #5 now, I think they touched #4 last year but not till late in the season.
 
Rated lower same time period YOY? AAC is sitting @ #5 now, I think they touched #4 last year but not till late in the season.

No, just noting the conference at the moment is rated one slot lower than where I remember it being last year.

My prior post probably came out more harshly than I meant it. Thank you for the link. My point, having nothing to do with you and directed at the AAC, is it takes politician level disingenuousness to have a positive headline on a night the conference went 1-4.
 
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Rated lower same time period YOY? AAC is sitting @ #5 now, I think they touched #4 last year but not till late in the season.

If my memory from last year is correct, you are right. It seems to me every year the AAC RPI tends to rise a bit as the season progresses.

I also think there is a value in reporting these top 25 victories. One of the metrics for NCAA tourney selection seems to be wins over highly rated teams. As long as you don't have a bunch of losses to VERY lowly rated teams to cancel it out, it does seem to help in getting selected to the tourney.
 
Always have a tough time posting after a loss, so did not update chart after disappointing loss to Virginia. Only if we could have put our foot on their throats with bases loaded no outs and up 3-0. But that is baseball.

Nice victory last night. GREAT pitching from Feole. This is a big boost. Bats need to get out again. Need to get at least i of next 2.

All green below ( Post season criteria), even though still very early.

Go Huskies




Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI
1 - 0 / 1.000% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
1 - 0 / 1.000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season

0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 12 -7 / .632 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 20 .... <50- RPI

(3) Tied 1st .......Top 4 AAC



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
Was thinking last night as I was following everyone's game updates (thank you), what a weird game baseball is. If you win 60% of Major league baseball games, you would win approximately 96 games. That would be considered a very good year for almost any team. In college baseball if you win 60% of your games ( assuming play 60) , you would win 36 games. That would place you in decent position for an NCAA at-large bid.

Put it always feels like we are not playing well, when we lose 4 of 10 games. So far we have won exactly 60% of our games, and our Chart below is mostly green. A win today would be a good way to end the week, and get 2 of 3 road conference games vs a team we have had trouble with.

Go Huskies



Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI
1 - 0 / 1.000% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games

1 - 1 / .500 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 12 -8 / .600 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 23 .... <50- RPI

(3) Tied 3rd ..Top 4 AAC



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
Was thinking last night as I was following everyone's game updates (thank you), what a weird game baseball is. If you win 60% of Major league baseball games, you would win approximately 96 games. That would be considered a very good year for almost any team. In college baseball if you win 60% of your games ( assuming play 60) , you would win 36 games. That would place you in decent position for an NCAA at-large bid.

Put it always feels like we are not playing well, when we lose 4 of 10 games. So far we have won exactly 60% of our games, and our Chart below is mostly green. A win today would be a good way to end the week, and get 2 of 3 road conference games vs a team we have had trouble with.

Go Huskies

Excellent post! This is a point that I have been trying to make here all this time. Baseball is the one college sport where you can lose this often and would still be considered a quality team likely to make the NCAA tournament.
 
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Big win today to win our first AAC weekend. Very happy with teams progress, especially since every game has been away from home. Want to single out 3 players. (1)Jimmy Wang who seems to have an early lock as our Sunday starter. Very good performance today. ( 2) Caleb Wurster (Uconnbaseball's main man), who has done an unbelievable job so far. We have a very good bullpen with him , CJ and Jake. Starters get us 5-6 innings and I am feeling confident. (3) Mike Woodworth has been exceptional. Surprised me last year on how well he played, moves to a different position and is playing better. Love him

Post season criteria chart ALL green.

Go Huskies


Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI
1 - 0 / 1.000% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
2 - 1 / .667 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season

0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 13 -8 / .619 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 23 .... <50- RPI

(3) Tied 2nd ..Top 4 AAC



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
We did what we needed to do today. Got an easy victory over a team we should have beaten. Again these games are not as much about how the win helps, but how bad the loss would have been. Good job by Kenny Haus. Pitching 5 innings with just 1 earned run. Also got some gameday experience for some players.

Tomorrow we have a 12-11 ( rpi 81) Boston College team. Always nice to get wins over any BC team.

Go Huskies


Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI
2 - 0 / 1.000% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
2 - 1 / .667 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season

0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 14 -8 / .636 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 26 .... <50- RPI

(3) Tied 2nd ..Top 4 AAC



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
We did what we needed to do today. Got an easy victory over a team we should have beaten. Again these games are not as much about how the win helps, but how bad the loss would have been. Good job by Kenny Haus. Pitching 5 innings with just 1 earned run. Also got some gameday experience for some players.

For me, these midweek games are also for getting some little used pitchers some game work. It's something that I always look forward to. It's always possible that these guys may emerge later in the season and throw some more important innings at some point.
 
Nice win this afternoon vs arguably our toughest Northeast team. Great pitching effort all around. Really like the depth of our pitching staff. Would love to get 2 of 3 this weekend in another away AAC series.

Love anytime we beat BC ( in anything). Post season criteria chart ALL green.

Go Huskies



Current record.. season goal
3 - 3 / .500% .... 5 - 4 / .556 - Top 55 RPI
7 - 4 / .636% .... 7 - 4 / .636 - Over 55 RPI
3 - 0 / 1.000% ... 9 - 2 / .818 - New England games
2 - 1 / .667 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season

0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 15 -8 / .652 ..... 37-22 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 18 .... <50- RPI

(3) Tied 2nd ..Top 4 AAC



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 


UConn as a #2 seed in the Raleigh NC Regional w/ NC State as the #1. East Carolina is a #1 seed in Greenville NC and Houston is a projected #3 seed in the Austin Regional.

UCF is in the “next four out” category.
 
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