This post is fixing be to be a conspiracy theory post, so feel free to ignore. I caught up with some friends for a CFB watch party and some interesting convos came out.
Actual goal of B12 expansion talk: Raise money for UConn Football NIL.
Stretch goal of B12 expansion talk: Get UConn into the B12.
Brett Yormack is a very intentional guy. He's very strategic and thinks about problems on different levels. He wants UConn in the B12, but he knows UConn football needs to get much better, faster. So Yormack and Benedict allows for a "leak" to happen a couple weeks before football season starts to get people talking about UConn.
What better way to get people to do something than by telling the, "No." Supposedly, the actual goal has been accomplished, which also happens to be a prereq to get to the long-term real goal.
Other interesting tidbits:
- My Austin HS football group was surprised at how much resistance there was to joining the B12 FROM THE UCONN FANBASE themselves. To them, it comes off as, "Hey, we're throwing you a life line and you don't want it? We have to drag you kicking and screaming as well?" And not just the fanbase, but the media and legislatures. That was really off-putting to them.
- There is a general belief that we aren't done with realignment. That there will be some total or partial collapse of the NCAA. It's reason #1 why Texas bolted for the SEC instead of being the King of the B12. The more money part was a side benefit. A side benefit in all of this latest "failed UConn to B12 run" is that there is more support overall in UConn joining the B12 among the B12 fanbases. Hearts and minds are changing.
- On the 6 (yes) and 2 (no) votes, my UT AD friend guarantees the following: Yes - Baylor, Houston, AZ, Cincy, WV, Kansas. No - BYU, Utah. This is assuming those were the eight that were polled. It could be others, but those are our six strongest "yes" and "no". He also believes TCU, UCF, Iowa St, Texas Tech, and Colorado would be "yes" as well. Even if OKST and KST were "no", they would follow the majority and want Yormack wanted.
So it seems like we had the votes now and last year before the PAC12 collapsed. Obvious question then, why isn't UConn in the B12? There's some other unknown, unreported reason. Pressing further, my AD friend said the 75% super majority requirement -- even though reported as such and part of the B12 by-laws -- is not entirely accurate. For something like expansion, they need/want 100%. It's not enough for BYU and Utah to be revenue neutral to put up UConn football. "99% of the time, it's about money. Not enough wheels were greased."
Lots of conjecture here. With people that are in the industry, but not directly involved with UConn of the B12. But thinking about it further, everything seems to track.