Posted this on the other board--any top recruit landed seems to have less than a 50% chance they'll suit up as seniors for the school they originally picked:
2018 is now up to 3 of the top 10 and 8 of the top 20 who are transferring. Plus two other top 21 recruits (Aquino/Nicoletti) havent suited up yet due to health/injury, so 10/21 we havent seen or have transferred. Currently at 52% have played and stuck it out at their original school so far if we look at top 21 recruits. If we count Collier's decommit in HS, it drops to 48%. Percentage who stay likely continues to decrease as the offseason continues.
If Carter opts for the pros, none of the top 7 recruits in 2017 HG class will be suiting up for the same school they did as freshmen. That is nuts.
12 of the top 20 (assuming Carter leaves) have transferred or left early from the school they signed with, meaning only 40% have stayed at their original school.
2016 had 9 of the top 20 stay loyal to one program all 4 years, 45%.