There is no sure thing. But let’s at least be serious about Owens. Geno saw her play a few times with her AAU team in early 2015. He then saw her play once in HS in December 2015. She didn’t have a particularly good game, supposedly because she saw Geno at the game, and she got nervous. There was no subsequent contact between UConn and Owens that I could find, so my assumption is that Geno didn’t feel that she was a fit at UConn.
As information, that trip by Geno to watch Owens took place approximately 1 full year before Charli Collier committed to UConn. So Geno had no commitments from any other Big in the Class of 2018 when he decided to stop recruiting Owens.
As I mentioned, in her first year at MD, Owens played in just 16 games, averaging 4 minutes and 1 point per game. Her best game was vs the Coppin St Cupcakes, early that season. I have no idea what health issue kept her out of her entire sophomore season, but it obviously raises a serious red flag.
Not every player over 6’3” is worth recruiting. Quite frankly, I don’t understand the fixation by some UConn fans on seemingly every single player over 6’ that hits the transfer portal. The vast majority of these players cannot possibly help the Huskies.