I think we have no chance at a 1 seed unless something highly improbable happens--like a top-5 team going on a 3-game losing streak. Getting a 1 seed, at a minimum, requires us running the table. That's possible. The Tennessee game, of course, is key.
Getting a 2 seed is very possible. It requires us either running the table or having only 1 loss, a close one to Tennessee. We need to take care of what we can control. Several of the teams seeded 5-10 have multiple tough games. Texas just lost to Oklahoma. They could also lose to Baylor. Indiana and Michigan can lose to Iowa and/or Maryland.
In terms of location, I believe the NCAA would move us out of Bridgeport. Most of the tickets are already sold. The stronger our resume, the more likely the NCAA keeps us in Bridgeport, I believe. Teams with the best record get the best treatment. We need to run the table, pass the eye test, and have a healthy Paige back. Or at least 2 of those 3.
Keep in mind that two #3 seeds have won the championship. Tennessee as a #3 seed had a 23-10 record going into the 1997 tourney and got their injured PG back just in time to run the table. I can see a similar scenario with UConn if Paige is back.
For me, the biggest key is avoid being a 5 seed. That would knock us out of Storrs and give us a top-16 team on the road in round 2. Winning the DePaul game was critical in that regard. If we had lost that game, lose to Tennessee, and lose one other, a 5 seed was very realistic. The key is to win out--control what we can control.