I have a theory on this: the big conferences are going to lead the way toward a regulated pay-for-play system. The NCAA is feckless, but Greg Sankey and the SEC are very powerful. They will lead the charge. I envision a system where schools pay their revenue sport athletes (m/w basketball, football) as unionized employees (the red states will acquiesce for this collegiate sports exception). Schools will have a salary cap for each individual sport-but it will differ for every school based on their revenues (including student fees). Every school will be given a % of their revenue for that sport as an amount to spend on wages. Schools do not have to opt in but they will struggle mightily to recruit. Schools will no longer allowed to be involved in NIL at all. NIL collectives will be forbidden. If a player wants an NIL, he/she will either need to be proactive in the local community or hope some big company comes calling. The transfer portal will stay the same. I have no problem with that. The kids will be on one-year contracts with an option to renew yearly. Most of these kids will realize going forward that their older brothers and cousins and friends made a mistake by entering the portal and will not be so quick to do so.