Another example: the 2004-05 Huskies. That team was pretty loaded with high school AAs. Junior class was the #1 recruiting class in the country and had played a key role in two NC teams. Freshman class was super talented as well: Mel, Ketia, Charde. But that team ended up barely in the top 10 and lost convincingly in the Sweet 16. Is it unreasonable to think the 2012-13 LVs could end up somewhere between the 2004-05 Huskies and 2008-09 LVs?
The 04-5 team was much more talented and experienced than the TN 12-13 team. And they suffered from the losses of their senior leader in Taurasi and Conlon. Of course, DT was irreplaceable, but they had a senior center and very good juniors coming back. It didn't matter.
In that respect, there is a similarity between the two teams. Losing Stricklen and Johnson are huge losses. Fortunately for Tennessee, they return their "starting" guards in Massingale and Simmons. That will help if those two can improve on how they played last season. But without their two go to players, it changes the dynamics of the team. Who do they look for in tough situations?
We continue to talk about the offense, but Tennessee was not a very good defensive team last year and without Baugh and Johnson, they will not be as good next year. They have a smallish backcourt and a weak post in Harrison. Physically, she reminded me of Michala Johnson. Burdick can be a nice offensive player, but her defense needs a lot of work. She is slow a foot.
Depending on the schedule, I can't see them doing better than 24-12.
I'll use Vanderbilt as an example. They split last year. In the game in Knoxville, Tennessee killed them. And in that game, Stricklen scored 20, Johnson 16/13 and Baugh 16/7. Vandy returns all their starters. I can't see Tennessee beating them.
There are other SEC teams that return more and played UT tough last year. Those teams will be salivating with a chance to beat Tennessee.