Key tweets, and it's all gone to Hell.

[UConnJim]

Look how everything is lining up:

ACC: Can exit ACC for less than $100 million in 2029/2030
Big 10: media deal expires in 2029/2030
Big 12: media deal expires in 2030
CFP: deal expires in 2031
SEC: media contract expires in 2034

So, by 2026/2027, the conference realignment wheels will be rolling!

 

[Fishy]

The best case scenario for UConn was that the exit fee structure remain in place.

Now, the Big 12 can at least imagine a scenario where they can grab Clemson or FSU or Miami or whoever.

As always, the worst case scenario for us is always the scenario that plays out.

 

[UConnTrumbull]

The best case scenario for UConn was that the exit fee structure remain in place.

Now, the Big 12 can at least imagine a scenario where they can grab Clemson or FSU or Miami or whoever.

As always, the worst case scenario for us is always the scenario that plays out.

But the Big 12 doesn’t pay better than the ACC, if I’m not mistaken. Kind of feels like it’s a P2 or nothing for those programs you named. The only way I see the Big 12 as attractive for those programs is if the ACC goes bye-bye like the PAC and you have new money available.

 

[Kolumbo]

So it would appear that the numbers thrown around include programs keeping their media rights. Does this mean that the GOR issue is settled too? Does that end in 2030?

 

[dayooper]

But the Big 12 doesn’t pay better than the ACC, if I’m not mistaken. Kind of feels like it’s a P2 or nothing for those programs you named. The only way I see the Big 12 as attractive for those programs is if the ACC goes bye-bye like the PAC and you have new money available.

Depends on how much the Big12 can get in their next media deal. It seems that FSU is he’ll bent on getting out of the ACC and, if FSU/Clemson can’t get into the Big10, how much more would the Big12 contract get if they were in the league.

 

[nelsonmuntz]

The best case scenario for UConn was that the exit fee structure remain in place.

Now, the Big 12 can at least imagine a scenario where they can grab Clemson or FSU or Miami or whoever.

As always, the worst case scenario for us is always the scenario that plays out.

Huh? Clemson and FSU got almost nothing out of this lawsuit. They wanted a guaranteed disproportionate revenue advantage over the rest of the ACC. They got a performance split. They wanted to walk immediately, they got a declining exit fee starting in 2030 that is still massive and exposes them to UNC and UVa beating them to the door.

The Big 12 has a long wait ahead of them for FSU and Clemson. I don’t know that “nothing changes for the ACC” really hurts UConn relative to where we were before.

 

[Fishy]

Huh? Clemson and FSU got almost nothing out of this lawsuit. They wanted a guaranteed disproportionate revenue advantage over the rest of the ACC. They got a performance split. They wanted to walk immediately, they got a declining exit fee starting in 2030 that is still massive and exposes them to UNC and UVa beating them to the door.

Where did I say that they got anything out of the lawsuit?

 

[ramses 2.0]

Depends on how much the Big12 can get in their next media deal. It seems that FSU is he’ll bent on getting out of the ACC and, if FSU/Clemson can’t get into the Big10, how much more would the Big12 contract get if they were in the league.

Probably not as much as they would get if they wait until the ACC is able to get full market rate deal. So for them & their fan base it's likely SEC or bust. Also they won't take deals like Oregon/UW did just to get in

 

[Ldandy]

That’s an interesting point. But lots of schools are cutting wrestling.

I wonder if that’s Title IX and not money related.

It’s definitely a large part of the equation. Cutting any of the 9.9 equivalency programs on the men’s side allows schools with football programs a way to balance the books without adding more scholarships to the female side. It’s crappy but it’s reality.

 

[Ldandy]

Huh? Clemson and FSU got almost nothing out of this lawsuit. They wanted a guaranteed disproportionate revenue advantage over the rest of the ACC. They got a performance split. They wanted to walk immediately, they got a declining exit fee starting in 2030 that is still massive and exposes them to UNC and UVa beating them to the door.

The Big 12 has a long wait ahead of them for FSU and Clemson. I don’t know that “nothing changes for the ACC” really hurts UConn relative to where we were before.

I’m not sure I agree with FSU and Clemson getting almost nothing. This was a negotiation where both sides needed to look like they got something. The ACC bought itself a few years of relative quiet, and FSU/Clemson got a workable number that makes leaving the ACC entirely possible. If performance based payments are based on ratings, then they made out there as well. FSU and Clemson will almost always be cashing the biggest checks without making it look like The Boston Colleges and Wakes are being completely extorted.

 

[NowInStorrs]

So we need to be in the Big 12 by 2029?

 

[CTFAN4LIFE]

So we need to be in the Big 12 by 2029?

20 minutes.

 

[huskymedic]

Look how everything is lining up:

ACC: Can exit ACC for less than $100 million in 2029/2030
Big 10: media deal expires in 2029/2030
Big 12: media deal expires in 2030
CFP: deal expires in 2031
SEC: media contract expires in 2034

So, by 2026/2027, the conference realignment wheels will be rolling!