Kenpom Climb Watch | Page 5 | The Boneyard

Kenpom Climb Watch

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rayrayfor3 said:
Simple, the St Joes loss is dragging us down. If we want to be ranked, we need to not lose to the Iona and beat Indiana. I would be very surprised if we are not ranked if we are 7-2 on 12/16.
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We’ll get votes if we beat Iona and Indiana, but it would take a lot of losses by other teams for us to go from receiving no votes to being ranked in just a week.
 
Palatine said:
The past is gone. the St. Joe's loss will weigh us down less as the season moves on.

Indiana would have a positive effect. They are 7-0 and in the top 40.
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Indiana's 7-0 is completely meaningless. They've played absolutely no one. Their game tonight against FSU will be a barometer of how legit they are.

For us, votes/rankings are nice but ultimately irrelevant. In order to sniff a tournament bid, we have to build an OOC resume. Through 7 games we have 2 RPI top 50 wins against major conference schools, 3 top 100 wins, and an SOS of 52. That puts us in a significantly better position than we've been in in a long time.
 
We need to steal a couple of games to make up for it. That loss makes the Xavier loss that much more painful. They would have just about cancelled each other out.
 
Storrs South said:
For those who do not have KenPom, this site has some interesting analytics:

T-Page for Connecticut - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

  • Has UConn at 36% of making the tourney currently
  • Notes Bouknight, Adams, Polley, Vital, and Carlton have been the best 5 players to date
  • The team is elite at shot blocking, but also gets blocked on their own shots just as much which is no surprise since...
  • The team is being held back by an awful 2P%; the only players that rate positive in terms of finishing at the rim are Brendan Adams and James Bouknight
  • All of the guards are shooting exceptionally well from the charity stripe, Alterique being the lowest at 75% which is very good.
  • Notes that Alterique and Christian have very positive ratings with assists
  • The defense seems to be carrying the team at the moment as there are few deficiencies on that side of the ball currently
  • Currently projects UConn at 20-11 (11-7), which seems in line with everyone's preseason expectations
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Bouk and Adams continue to impress. Boul hasn't really even been unleashed yet.

Thanks. I haven't had kenpom for a whole and miss this stuff.
 
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ucawn said:
UConn up 3 spots to 50. Indiana sitting at 21
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Indiana has overperformed their talent they’re due for a let down game let’s hope it’s against us and not Wisconsin. I think we match up very well against them...
 
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ucawn said:
UConn up 3 spots to 50. Indiana sitting at 21
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As far as the polls go, if we beat Indiana we'll join Indiana, Xavier, and Florida in the 25-35 "also receiving votes" group. Which is where we belong, at present.

If the freshman can advance their games enough, we can be ranked later this year.
 
lange10 said:
Were up to 49 now. Kenpom projects Indiana to win 72-68. If we win we’d probably find ourselves in the 42-45 range.
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Which pretty much puts us in the “at-large bid“ bubble.
 
CL82 said:
Which pretty much puts us in the “at-large bid“ bubble.
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Temple got in as an at large at 69 on KenPom in 2019
Alabama was 57 in 2018 as an at large
Providence as 60 in 2017
Tulsa as 65 in 2016

Based on recent history, between 50-60 on KenPom seems to be about 50/50 shot of getting in the tourney, about 70/30 chance between 40-50, and about 80/20 chance between 30-40. Top 30 is basically guaranteed in, but 40-60 is firmly on the bubble.
 
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Not sure if it's been mentioned here but Joe Lunardi in his latest bracketology update on twitter had us under "receiving consideration" or something along those lines.. first time i've seen us mentioned. Pumped for the game Tuesday
 
pj said:
But we're in the American and the American gets no respect.
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From the two examples above, the selection committee seems to have been generous to the AAC in terms of getting in the tourney, but history has shown the conference gets no respect in terms of seeding (the year UConn was a 7 seed they were top 25 in the country in AP/USA Today and should have been on the 5 or 6 line). Seeding is also overrated as UConn fans know better than anyone.
 
Storrs South said:
From the two examples above, the selection committee seems to have been generous to the AAC in terms of getting in the tourney, but history has shown the conference gets no respect in terms of seeding (the year UConn was a 7 seed they were top 25 in the country in AP/USA Today and should have been on the 5 or 6 line). Seeding is also overrated as UConn fans know better than anyone.
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Seeding in April is all I care about baby!
 
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Yea you can see the flaws in KenPom and it’s basis on pre season ranking(which correlate with last seasons) as Cuse leapfrogs us into the #48 spot and somehow Kofi’s Illini are still above us with a home loss to Miami, and a blowout loss to Arizona and no quality wins.
 
Does anyone else see some comparisons between this year’s squad and 2007-2008. Returning the majority of the previous years squad, Finally showing some competitiveness coming off a year of being largely uncompetitive, knowing that we are probably one year away. The turning point that year that turned us from a decent hard nosed team to being in the national conversation was the Indiana game.
 
Still have almost 30 games left to play this year! A lot of time to increase our ranking/seeding/KenPom.
 
UcannUconn said:
Does anyone else see some comparisons between this year’s squad and 2007-2008. Returning the majority of the previous years squad, Finally showing some competitiveness coming off a year of being largely uncompetitive, knowing that we are probably one year away. The turning point that year that turned us from a decent hard nosed team to being in the national conversation was the Indiana game.
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Bruh we were a 4 seed in the tourney that year
 
UcannUconn said:
Does anyone else see some comparisons between this year’s squad and 2007-2008. Returning the majority of the previous years squad, Finally showing some competitiveness coming off a year of being largely uncompetitive, knowing that we are probably one year away. The turning point that year that turned us from a decent hard nosed team to being in the national conversation was the Indiana game.
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In my circles @HitTheBoneyard and @campcalhoun2009 we call this the D-Bev Game.
 
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