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Kenpom Climb Watch

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caw said:
on the plus side if Bouknight continues this play the committee could view it as a game lost without a significant contributor who is now playing. Assuming we are in position to worry about such things.
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How adorable that you would think that the NCAA selection committee would look at the loss rationally like you stated in that context.

The reality is that we'll get penalized for it regardless and no consideration will be given to Bouk's absence. Add that to AAC conference and we'll get screwed by 2 or 3 seeds than we should.
(yes I'm confident we'll make the tourney if we stay healthy, and yes we're doomed now that I've typed this)
 
Boukworm23 said:
St. Joe’s will be an albatross around our neck all year because they stink.
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Not if we force the starting guards to watch the replay Robot Chicken style whenever they don't think they're getting enough shots.
 
Keep winning and it’ll jump more progressively. Gotta remember there are teams ahead who have played 5/6 cupcake teams, so their ranks won’t drop. Once conference games start, plenty of mid pack power 5 teams will fall.
 
When you look at KenPom along with Bracketology - we are hovering around with teams that are on the bubble. Which I think that puts us in a good spot. We continue to play like we are and win games we will easily climb and find our way into the bracket projections as well. Given that we lost a game we should have won (St Joes) and a tough game to Xavier - I'm pretty happy where we sit today.
 
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I think this team has turned a corner. I don't think we'll be losing many close games like last year. That is if the seniors continue to let the game come to them. They finally have a taste of winning some games. No way we lose to Indiana either.
 
I think others have brought this up but worth reiterating: the Kenpom rankings still are taking last year into account to some degree. Provided we reasonably take care of business against cupcakes, we'll go up in the rankings because we'll be flushing out statistical noise from last year.
 
If we play as we did against Miami there's no reason we can't win the league, except Memphis' size and the skills they've shown to date.

Reasons for such optimism?
When has anyone seen JC make interior passes when double teamed?
When has anyone seen our guards recognize the double teams, the openings in the lane, and moved into position to catch the pass and get the layup?
When has anyone seen our bigs so effectively double the ball handlers and stop the penetration?
When (in the last five years) has anyone seen a shot blocker like Akok?
When has anyone seen (in the last five years) enough competent depth to play ten players meaningful minutes?
When has anyone (in the last seven years) seen player development in one year such as shown by Whaley and Adams, and the team's reduction in selfish play (especially vs. Miami)?

Finally, how do you keep the team thinking unselfishly while Bouknight's play demands more time on the floor? Do they all know in their hearts how good he is and will be willing to accept a reduction in playing time so the team can be the best it can be?
 
Up to 55 due to PC's awfulness (I have no idea how they only dropped down to 61).
 
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Dooooooomed said:
As of 11/30:

Villanova #13
Seton Hall #15
Butler #20
Marquette #24
Xavier #29
Houston #32
Memphis #42
Cincinnati #45
Wichita #52
UConn #53
DePaul #58
Providence #60
Creighton #61
Georgetown #62
Temple #73
SMU #83
St. John's #93
UCF #112
Tulsa #117
USF #143
Tulane #224
ECU #242
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Thanks for altering the font to really demonstrate how much better the NBE is right now. Their entire bottom half minus StJohns is better than the bottom 2/3 of the AAC and it’s not super close besides Temple lol

Entire conference in the top 100, I don’t even remember that from the BE
 
Dooooooomed said:
As of 11/30:

Villanova #13
Seton Hall #15
Butler #20
Marquette #24
Xavier #29
Houston #32
Memphis #42
Cincinnati #45
Wichita #52
UConn #53
DePaul #58
Providence #60
Creighton #61
Georgetown #62
Temple #73
SMU #83
St. John's #93
UCF #112
Tulsa #117
USF #143
Tulane #224
ECU #242
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ThE aAc iS bEtTer tHaN tHe BiG EaSt #bEunDeNiaBLe
 
Very cool Visual....For giggles, I loaded up the P5 in top 50....to see conferences visually.

Dooooooomed said:
As of 11/30:


Michigan St.
Louisville
Virginia
Ohio State
Duke
Kentucky
Kansas
Purdue
North Carolina
Baylor
Michigan
Villanova #13
Auburn
Seton Hall #15
Florida State
Maryland
Oregon
Arizona
Butler #20
Tennessee
Oklahoma St.
Arkansas
Marquette #24
Penn State
Indiana
Xavier #29
Colorado
Florida
Houston #32
West Virginia
Texas
LSU
Oklahoma
Iowa State
Illinois
Memphis #42
Mississippi St.
NC State
Cincinnati #45
Iowa
Notre Dame
Wichita #52
UConn #53
DePaul #58
Providence #60
Creighton #61
Georgetown #62
Temple #73
SMU #83
St. John's #93
UCF #112
Tulsa #117
USF #143
Tulane #224
ECU #242
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Rocktheworld said:
Thanks for altering the font to really demonstrate how much better the NBE is right now. Their entire bottom half minus StJohns is better than the bottom 2/3 of the AAC and it’s not super close besides Temple lol

Entire conference in the top 100, I don’t even remember that from the BE
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So many more T1 and T2 win opportunities in the BE than the AAC.

So much easier to make the Tournament and secure a protected seed.
 
BLUEDOGHOUSE said:
The sweet spot for offensive efficiency is 30. If you crack top 30 the odds go up exponentially that you can make a Final 4 run. History dictates that per KP. UConn 13-14 was the only real anomaly.
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And top 20 defensively.
 
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How is providence 60th lol. We lose to Charleston and we’re 100+
 
Tenspro2002 said:
So much easier to make the Tournament and secure a protected seed.
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Except for one important aspect, we have to actually beat the majority of all those far superior teams.

I think folks think that once these teams see “UConn” on our jerseys, everyone is just gonna lay down. Remember folks, we are still rebuilding. We are on the right path but next year when we are in a basketball conference with the top to bottom strength of the Big East, we are going to see how far we have come and how far we still need to go. I don’t see us walking in next year and dominating. Obviously I hope I am wrong. But I am not assuming an easy road to the tournament just because we are in the Big East.
 
Marbles90 said:
Except for one important aspect, we have to actually beat the majority of all those far superior teams.

I think folks think that once these teams see “UConn” on our jerseys, everyone is just gonna lay down. Remember folks, we are still rebuilding. We are on the right path but next year when we are in a basketball conference with the top to bottom strength of the Big East, we are going to see how far we have come and how far we still need to go. I don’t see us walking in next year and dominating. Obviously I hope I am wrong. But I am not assuming an easy road to the tournament just because we are in the Big East.
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Oh ye of little faith.
 
Anyone with a kenpom account know what the spread for the Maine game is?
 
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Marbles90 said:
Except for one important aspect, we have to actually beat the majority of all those far superior teams.

I think folks think that once these teams see “UConn” on our jerseys, everyone is just gonna lay down. Remember folks, we are still rebuilding. We are on the right path but next year when we are in a basketball conference with the top to bottom strength of the Big East, we are going to see how far we have come and how far we still need to go. I don’t see us walking in next year and dominating. Obviously I hope I am wrong. But I am not assuming an easy road to the tournament just because we are in the Big East.
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Yes, we have to beat those teams. But it's still going to be much easier to go 12-6 in the BE and get a good seed than to go 14-4 in the AAC and get a good seed.
 
Dream Jobbed 2.0 said:
Even if we win our next two, our kenpom won’t climb much and could actually drop. Indiana is very big game on 12/10.
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Whether we climb or not just depends on the points scored and given up. If we win by 21, as the current numbers predict, we should hold roughly constant. Win by more and our stats will improve, win by less (or lose obviously) and our stats will deteriorate.

This is the same for any game... the "bigness" of the name on the other team's jersey doesn't really factor into it.
 
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