OT: - Hurricane Henri | Page 8 | The Boneyard

OT: Hurricane Henri

ClifSpliffy said:
'Predicting weather, let alone tropical systems, with any sort of accuracy in terms of location, track, and intensity more than a day or two in advance is notoriously next to impossible.'
no, it's not. my pals and i do it a lot, and many, many others as well. it's called normal people, hmmmm, outdoorsy types, who often look up and around, and can remember things for longer than a nanosecond. works pretty well for other things too, like health and finance.
it is often hype and fear mongering for the shut in crowd who apparently live their lives indoors, watching tv. the good thing is that we're getting wise to all the baloney.
Gallup: American Trust in Media Plummets; Only Congress Less Trusted (mediaite.com)
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found here in these pages yesterday eve.
'next up? henry going over the wall of the gulfstream, a good thing. changes, particularly for windspeed lessening, are reasonable expected.'
noaa, now (the source! accept no substitutes!);
'Henri's presentation in both satellite and radar imagery has
degraded significantly since the previous advisory due to the
cyclone having moved over much cooler water.'
you know who else knew of this likely possibility? local seafarers from 300 years ago. im pretty sure they didn't have cable.
 
Dove said:
I'm sure your future father in-law has Eversource installing a whole-house generator right now.

Congrats on the engagement. Didn't know.
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Yeah he makes them jumpy.
 
August_West said:
Couldn’t get it on the plane.
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get well soon. i forget if it was ankle or knee rubber bands that you messed up, but as soon as you reasonably can, get into that surf to a level above the problem, and walk. u'll cut way down on ur healing time.
salt water is magic.
 
Dream Jobbed 2.0 said:
Getting whacked really bad in South Windsor at the moment. Water coming in the fireplace
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Some people here are knocking on TV weather incompetence and its focus on ratings over substance, as though it's not a good thing Henrí for many reading this resembles a nothingburger result toward the back end of a Death Storm (mis-)prediction thread during basketball season.

Meantime, your post comes in with the kind of stuff many feared, and the only reaction you gets (so far) is a Like from a poster who regularly gets told, "Shut up."

Well I'm not ready to say, "Big deal - I had a squirrel with its tail aflame come down my chimney" and wave you away just so I can complain that charlatans made me waste a day, and I didn't even get
some untreated sewage in the system overflow finding its way down my block.

I hope that by now you've related and endured the worst of it. As images go, water down the chimney's a good one.

Good wishes to you and anyone else for whom the weather forecasts applied. I'm grateful for an easy time of it so far.
 
.-.
JonnyRI said:
I think I’m the only person in Southern RI who never lost power. Clean up time.

Tried to insert pix of my fire pit burning nine feet high but file too big to load.

Hope things not too bad in CT
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Brutal Damn hurricane messed up my hairdo
 
HuskyHawk said:
Shiri Spear here in Boston is like that. Knows how to rock a dress though.

We lost power around 11:30-1:30. Not bad.
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That Fox 25 team has some FIRE on it.. Shiri Spear for sure but I’m a huge Sarah Underwood is like the 3rdbass holy grail IMO.. what a shame that she’s married to that absolute tool Felger from Sports Hub!
 
Apollo said:
No idea what that means - but shame on them for inciting panic for this, and every other, “storm” to hit the area.
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When it comes to mother nature you should always err on the side of caution. We all saw what happened with Katrina, Maria, Sandy...Currently there's 21 dead and 45 missing in Tennessee and at least 35 missing in North Carolina due to flooding from tropical storm Fred and I've hardly heard anything about it, that's strange to me.
 
superjohn said:
When it comes to mother nature you should always err on the side of caution. We all saw what happened with Katrina, Maria, Sandy...Currently there's 21 dead and 45 missing in Tennessee and at least 35 missing in North Carolina due to flooding from tropical storm Fred and I've hardly heard anything about it, that's strange to me.
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There are problems with causing widespread panic. Loss of confidence in the people supplying the information, shortages, short term inflation, productivity loss, increased stress and anxiety of the population. I think giving the most accurate depiction of what’s happening is the best approach.
 
UcannUconn said:
There are problems with causing widespread panic. Loss of confidence in the people supplying the information, shortages, short term inflation, productivity loss, increased stress and anxiety of the population. I think giving the most accurate depiction of what’s happening is the best approach.
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I don’t think you understand hurricanes. The data was accurate. The forecasts rarely are because it is like trying to predict the path of a cork bobbing in the ocean. One little shift affects the entire path, and those shifts happen constantly. Do you think they are not trying to be accurate?
 
UcannUconn said:
There are problems with causing widespread panic. Loss of confidence in the people supplying the information, shortages, short term inflation, productivity loss, increased stress and anxiety of the population. I think giving the most accurate depiction of what’s happening is the best approach.
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Problems is there are some people in the state who are experiencing the worst predicted weather. Massive flooding,loss of power, etc.

Thing to remember is those predictions aren't a guarantee that everyone will experience those conditions, it's a prediction some will experience them.

Hubris is the worst attitude to take in to one of these storms. And yes, even in 2021 with some of the strongest computer models, hurricanes are still a crap shoot of 60-90 miles of predictability.
 
.-.
Chin Diesel said:
Problems is there are some people in the state who are experiencing the worst predicted weather. Massive flooding,loss of power, etc.

Thing to remember is those predictions aren't a guarantee that everyone will experience those conditions, it's a prediction some will experience them.

Hubris is the worst attitude to take in to one of these storms. And yes, even in 2021 with some of the strongest computer models, hurricanes are still a crap shoot of 60-90 miles of predictability.
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They also have aircrafts going into these hurricanes through out its path to gain a more accurate information. Mother nature is going to be mother nature how can you really predict that?
 
UcannUconn said:
There are problems with causing widespread panic. Loss of confidence in the people supplying the information, shortages, short term inflation, productivity loss, increased stress and anxiety of the population. I think giving the most accurate depiction of what’s happening is the best approach.
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They were giving the most accurate reports from what the radar modeling was telling them, it weakened when it hit cold waters like often happens up north and it shifted multiple timesaving, at least that's my limited understanding of what happened...

It does seem like Fred and the Southern states sure got short shrift on the coverage though, there's towns all over the place down there that ate wiped out and there's cars in tree. I never even heard of Fred until about an hour ago and I've been watching a tremendous amount of cable news lately. Chris Cuomo was going on and on about the Hamptons earlier today and no mention of RI and eastern CT. where this storm was actually hitting and nothing on Fred. I have to imagine people in the South are wondering, what about us?
 
Husky Alien said:
They also have aircrafts going into these hurricanes through out its path to gain a more accurate information. Mother nature is going to be mother nature how can you really predict that?
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Borderline bucket list is going for a ride in the Hurricane Hunters once.
 
superjohn said:
They were giving the most accurate reports from what the radar modeling was telling them, it weakened when it hit cold waters like often happens up north and it shifted multiple timesaving, at least that's my limited understanding of what happened...

It does seem like Fred and the Southern states sure got short shrift on the coverage though, there's towns all over the place down there that ate wiped out and there's cars in tree. I never even heard of Fred until about an hour ago and I've been watching a tremendous amount of cable news lately. Chris Cuomo was going on and on about the Hamptons earlier today and no mention of RI and eastern CT. where this storm was actually hitting and nothing on Fred. I have to imagine people in the South are wondering, what about us?
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Yeah,I think TN and NC got it way worst than expected. Fred kinda petered out as it hit the gulf coast and everyone's attention went to Henri.

But these storms still have tremendous energy and moisture and when they hit inland mountains they dump. TN and NC basically got same impact as Haiti did from Fred.
 
UcannUconn said:
There are problems with causing widespread panic. Loss of confidence in the people supplying the information, shortages, short term inflation, productivity loss, increased stress and anxiety of the population. I think giving the most accurate depiction of what’s happening is the best approach.
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This take is soft
 
I expect see heavy flooding in Western CT, Mass and even through Hudson River valley as all this water funnels from streams and tributaries to larger rivers.

All this water has to go somewhere and gravity and momentum always win out.
 
.-.
Chin Diesel said:
Yeah,I think TN and NC got it way worst than expected. Fred kinda petered out as it hit the gulf coast and everyone's attention went to Henri.

But these storms still have tremendous energy and moisture and when they hit inland mountains they dump. TN and NC basically got same impact as Haiti did from Fred.
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It seems like people get wrapped up so much in the awesome power of wind but most of these events are all about flooding. Water is pretty much like fire in terms of destruction and death.
 
Chin Diesel said:
I expect see heavy flooding in Western CT, Mass and even through Hudson River valley as all this water funnels from streams and tributaries to larger rivers.

All this water has to go somewhere and gravity and momentum always win out.
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If the water does get high, western Connecticut will be fortunate that the flood of 55 happened. So many flood control dams on the upper Naugatuck and Housatonic rivers and their tributaries.
 
8893 said:
I don’t think you understand hurricanes. The data was accurate. The forecasts rarely are because it is like trying to predict the path of a cork bobbing in the ocean. One little shift affects the entire path, and those shifts happen constantly. Do you think they are not trying to be accurate?
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Given everything he posts on this site in reference to the media and non-basketball posts, I think there's a 100% chance he believes they're being purposely inaccurate
 
superjohn said:
It seems like people get wrapped up so much in the awesome power of wind but most of these events are all about flooding. Water is pretty much like fire in terms of destruction and death.
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Your right however for whatever reason or situations some of our population fear wind for loss of power. Not everyone have generators or battery back ups to run their sump pumps which causes flooding issues and property loss and if you live in California and I have. Santa Anna winds can be very horrific and destructive.
 
superjohn said:
They were giving the most accurate reports from what the radar modeling was telling them, it weakened when it hit cold waters like often happens up north and it shifted multiple timesaving, at least that's my limited understanding of what happened...

It does seem like Fred and the Southern states sure got short shrift on the coverage though, there's towns all over the place down there that ate wiped out and there's cars in tree. I never even heard of Fred until about an hour ago and I've been watching a tremendous amount of cable news lately. Chris Cuomo was going on and on about the Hamptons earlier today and no mention of RI and eastern CT. where this storm was actually hitting and nothing on Fred. I have to imagine people in the South are wondering, what about us?
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They were forecasting 6-9 inches and parts of TN got 17 inches in 24 hours.

www.usatoday.com

Devastating scenes of ruin with at least 22 dead, about 20 missing in Tennessee flooding

At least 22\u00a0people were dead and\u00a0dozens remained missing Sunday after record-shattering downpours triggered flooding across parts of Tennessee.
www.usatoday.com www.usatoday.com
 
Husky Alien said:
Your right however for whatever reason or situations some of our population fear wind for loss of power. Not everyone have generators or battery back ups to run their sump pumps which causes flooding issues and property loss and if you live in California and I have. Santa Anna winds can be very horrific and destructive.
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Because I can’t get enough of the storm related song thread…

Here come those Santa Ana winds again…

 
.-.
karstenkibbe said:
Seeing them Nov. 9 at the Capitol Theater in Port Chester. Still so strange seeing Donald without Walter Becker.
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Have not seen them since Walter Becker passed. I can imagine it will be strange with out him on stage. Should still be an exceptional show however. Nice venue too.
 
HuskyHawk said:
Shiri Spear here in Boston is like that. Knows how to rock a dress though.

We lost power around 11:30-1:30.
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