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(1) The third dragon rider is one of the hardest predictions to defend with real substance, but Tyrion is my guy for 3 reasons. First, I think there's a very strong chance that in the books Tyrion will be proven to be a Targaryean rather than a Lannister. Second, in both the books and the show they emphasize how much Tyrion has always loved dragons since he was a little boy when he wanted to ride one. Third, he is the best and most beloved character on the show.
(2) I think the show is working on a big Stark Reunion and don't expect any real infighting there. They really don't have enough episodes to fight each other and the dead.
Fair points. I think Little Finger will twist Sansa just enough to make her betray Jon who she sees as strong but naive like her dad and Rob. I think this forces Jon to stay with Danny and produce the "the Prince that is promised". The only way to secure her freedom is to be in total control. I also watched the Blackwater episode again recently. Her exchanges with Cersi were interesting. I think she does admire her as Jon said. Cersi would never give control back to anyone.
Tyrion's initial interaction with the two dragons that were locked up supports your theory...they didn't eat him. I don't think Bran will physically ride one. Rather he will control one.
I am not sure how they are going to adequately wrap all of this up in two seasons.