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OT: British Open

UCDaveD

UCDaveD

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Who you got?

I think Eldrick misses the cut.

Koepka outside of top-10.

I like Adam Scott and Ricky to be in contention. Possibly Rahm, although the Open has been his worst major.

Heard Dustin Johnson might be there too.
 
My dark horse is none other than Lee Westwood. He's recently adopted an "I don't give a fudge" attitude, has stopped using pro caddies, and he's got this year and next to win the damned thing before he's essentially done and becomes a ceremonial golfer and captain of the 2022 Ryder Cup team.

Call it a sentimental pick, but I think he's gonna be there on Sunday.
 
Henrik Stenson with his trusty, long 3 wood off the tee and his putter will show up unlike this past weekend.

Maybe Matt Wallace!
 
UCDaveD said:
Who you got?

I think Eldrick misses the cut.

Koepka outside of top-10.

I like Adam Scott and Ricky to be in contention. Possibly Rahm, although the Open has been his worst major.

Heard Dustin Johnson might be there too.
Expand ...

Why do you think Koepka is outside the top 10?
 
Rahm would be my pick this week. Coming off a win two weeks ago and is in great form
 
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Just heard Boomer on Fan saying he's played this course (where open hasn't been played in over 50yrs ) and it's totally stunning like playing on the moon. Can't wait to see should make for great TV.
 
Course is relatively new to all the field. Even the Northern Irishmen haven't played the course often with the hole changes and layout changes they made the past 18 months to prep the course for the Open.

Going to be plenty of wind, elevation changes and blind shots. Winner needs to be a solid ball striker who is confident in swing all the time. Putting seems to be more of a wild card at the Open. Winner obviously has to putt great that week but doesn't have to be a great putter like you need at Oakmont or Augusta.

Weather is going to suck as Portrush is way up on north tip of the isle.

I'm going with younger guys whose bodies can recover and are solid ball strikers- Cantlay, Kisner, Fleetwood, Koepka or Rory.
 
donyell34 said:
Just heard Boomer on Fan saying he's played this course (where open hasn't been played in over 50yrs ) and it's totally stunning like playing on the moon.
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My brother played it a couple of years ago. He said his caddy advised against ordering Jameson.
 
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Brooks Koepka 10-1
Dustin Johnson 12-1
Tiger Woods 16-1
Jon Rahm 16-1
Justin Rose 20-1
Francesco Molinari 20-1
Xander Schauffele 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Tommy Fleetwood 25-1
Rickie Fowler 25-1
Jason Day 30-1
Adam Scott 30-1
Louis Oosthuizen 30-1
Justin Thomas 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Matt Kuchar 40-1
Bryson DeChambeau 40-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Henrik Stenson 50-1
Graeme McDowell 50-1
Marc Leishman 50-1
Matt Wallace 50-1
 
mauconnfan said:
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Brooks Koepka 10-1
Dustin Johnson 12-1
Tiger Woods 16-1
Jon Rahm 16-1
Justin Rose 20-1
Francesco Molinari 20-1
Xander Schauffele 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Tommy Fleetwood 25-1
Rickie Fowler 25-1
Jason Day 30-1
Adam Scott 30-1
Louis Oosthuizen 30-1
Justin Thomas 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Matt Kuchar 40-1
Bryson DeChambeau 40-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Henrik Stenson 50-1
Graeme McDowell 50-1
Marc Leishman 50-1
Matt Wallace 50-1
Expand ...

First time I haven’t seen Spieth on one of these in a while. Not terribly surprised though.
 
.-.
My horses:

Justin Thomas
Rahm
Bryson
Xander
Leishman
Kuchar
Cabrera Bello
Scott

After further consideration, I’m now out on Ricky.
 
UCDaveD said:
My horses:

Justin Thomas
Rahm
Bryson
Xander
Leishman
Kuchar
Cabrera Bello
Scott

After further consideration, I’m now out on Ricky.
Expand ...

All have a shot except Cabrero Bello I think. Think he has some Ricky in him, not a closer. Once again he gagged 2 weekends ago at the Irish Open badly had a big lead going in to the back 9 and folded like a cheap suit. Leishman, yeah he's close and almost due. Kuchar played pretty well at the Scottish Open but he has that same tendency in the big ones as Ricky and Bello, just not as obvious.
 
mauconnfan said:
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Brooks Koepka 10-1
Dustin Johnson 12-1
Tiger Woods 16-1
Jon Rahm 16-1
Justin Rose 20-1
Francesco Molinari 20-1
Xander Schauffele 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Tommy Fleetwood 25-1
Rickie Fowler 25-1
Jason Day 30-1
Adam Scott 30-1
Louis Oosthuizen 30-1
Justin Thomas 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Matt Kuchar 40-1
Bryson DeChambeau 40-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Henrik Stenson 50-1
Graeme McDowell 50-1
Marc Leishman 50-1
Matt Wallace 50-1
Expand ...

I could see Rose, Oosthuizen or Leishman as decent bets for some money. And eventually Schauffele has to break through as well.

I wouldn't touch Tiger, Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Fowler, Casey, Stenson, DeChambeau or Kuchar for a nickel.
 
Chin Diesel said:
I could see Rose, Oosthuizen or Leishman as decent bets for some money. And eventually Schauffele has to break through as well.

I wouldn't touch Tiger, Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Fowler, Casey, Stenson, DeChambeau or Kuchar for a nickel.
Expand ...

Rosey and Louie always decent bets as well as Leishman. I like what I saw from Stenson this weekend and with the trust of one's drivers or tee balls need a huge confidence boost because of blind shots etc, his 3 wood was gold and usually is. He missed some family easy putts but I think he may make a few this weekend. I like Henrik in this one, would lay some $$$$ on him.

Agree on the rest of the duds though!
 
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mauconnfan said:
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Brooks Koepka 10-1
Dustin Johnson 12-1
Tiger Woods 16-1
Jon Rahm 16-1
Justin Rose 20-1
Francesco Molinari 20-1
Xander Schauffele 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Tommy Fleetwood 25-1
Rickie Fowler 25-1
Jason Day 30-1
Adam Scott 30-1
Louis Oosthuizen 30-1
Justin Thomas 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Matt Kuchar 40-1
Bryson DeChambeau 40-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Henrik Stenson 50-1
Graeme McDowell 50-1
Marc Leishman 50-1
Matt Wallace 50-1
Expand ...
I like all 3 at 20-1.
 
.-.
I'll go with Rory playing more or less his home course (next to it). Only a handful of these guys have ever played there. Helps that he's also playing really well.
 
100% one half of the draw is gonna get blasted by bad weather. Always a bit of luck involved at The Open.
 
mauconnfan said:
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Brooks Koepka 10-1
Dustin Johnson 12-1
Tiger Woods 16-1
Jon Rahm 16-1
Justin Rose 20-1
Francesco Molinari 20-1
Xander Schauffele 20-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Tommy Fleetwood 25-1
Rickie Fowler 25-1
Jason Day 30-1
Adam Scott 30-1
Louis Oosthuizen 30-1
Justin Thomas 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Matt Kuchar 40-1
Bryson DeChambeau 40-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Henrik Stenson 50-1
Graeme McDowell 50-1
Marc Leishman 50-1
Matt Wallace 50-1
Expand ...
OddsShark has it a little difference (including Spieth who seems to be missing from your list as @Robertelamin noted):
Koepka 7.5-1
Rory 8:1
DJ 12:1
Tiger 12:1
Rahm 14:1
Rose 14:1
Molinari 20:1
Spieth 20:1
Schauffele 22:1
Fowler 25:1
Fleetwood 25:1
Scott 30:1
DeChambeau 33:1
Stenson 33:1
Day 33:1
Justin Thomas 33:1
Cantlay 33:1
Matsuyama 40:1
Oosthuizen 40:1
Casey 40:1
Garcia 40:1
Woodland 50:1
Leishman 50:1
Kuchar 50:1
Mickelson 50:1
Lowry 50:1
Finau 50:1
Simpson 50:1

I usually have a pretty strong opinion going into these. This time I don't. If you made me bet $600 on three players, I'd probably go $300 on Rory, $200 on Koepka and $100 on Rahm. Not much of a stretch, but this one is just going to be weird. And a $50 flier on Cantlay cause you made me start betting.
 
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I’m on Rory McIllroy despite the terrible odds. He’s playing well, Dominated the old course here, He’ll be motivated in front of his home crowd/hasn’t won a major in a while, the course of filled with these long approach shots something that he’s great at.
 
UcannUconn said:
I’m on Rory McIllroy despite the terrible odds. He’s playing well, Dominated the old course here, He’ll be motivated in front of his home crowd/hasn’t won a major in a while, the course of filled with these long approach shots something that he’s great at.
Expand ...
Rory’s strokes gained tee to green is otherworldly. .6 strokes in front of the next guy (Justin Thomas)
 
UcannUconn said:
I’m on Rory McIllroy despite the terrible odds. He’s playing well, Dominated the old course here, He’ll be motivated in front of his home crowd/hasn’t won a major in a while, the course of filled with these long approach shots something that he’s great at.
Expand ...

Can the crowd make him in to the putter he is not for a weekend? We will see but he's just not a good putter, streaky is the best I can come up with but he misses too many I should make.
 
I think Cantlay has the best value out there right now, but I think Mcilroy is the most likely to win. Not touching him at those odds though.
 
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