nelsonmuntz
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Because that half won't stop any school in the AAC from leaving to the B12, and that action might make the B12 go ahead and invite those schools to get all of what the contract calls for.
There's much more being left on the table for G5 schools than TV money. The playoff bowl revenue, the NCAA tournament credits, the tier 3 rights (particularly for UConn/BYU). Doubling, tripling, quadrupling what we'll get once the exit fee money runs out isn't enough to keep up. For someone who so often rails on the financial shortfall we're facing, it's astonishing that you don't see that.
In your example, another conference has to cut the new team in on that revenue. Which conference is going to do that? If any league wanted the AAC schools, they would have already added the AAC schools. The only reason it has come up with the Big 12 is because of some quirks in the Big 12 TV contract, that will never appear in any conference TV contract ever again. There is no catalyst for additional conference expansion on the horizon. The leagues are the leagues.
The experts are talking about half and quarter shares for the prospective Big 12 additions right now.