Doesn't the 18 school target infer that the B1G would be going for GT, UNC, UVA and Duke (i.e., the AAU schools of the ACC)? Under this scenario, it would seem that we'd end up in a conference with what's left (i.e., the best 18 remaining remants of BE/ACC/Big 12) when all is said and done....and we'd be in 1 of the 4 "power conferences".
I can definitely live with that.
UNC and UVA top the B1G wish list (assuming, obviously, that ND and Texas "continue to monitor the landscape"). Connecticut's competition for slots 17-18 (and perhaps 19-20) is GTCH, DUKE, Kansas, Missouri and bc.
I think bc's only hope is ND. Hopefully ND continues to stall, Delaney says F&*K them and moves along.
I don't worry much about Duke, because I don't believe they bring a market, national basketball appeal notwithstanding. And I don't see UNC challenging Delaney to a game of chicken over Duke. Those two can still play (twice a year if TV wants) national TV games as non-conference foes (ala USC-ND). I do think UNC has political entanglements with NCST. Same State board ultimately governs both schools, so UNC's move is complicated by timing/assurance of NCST's SEC invite (as would UVA's with VATech).
I don't see Kansas taking on the test case to litigate the GOR, so until Texas ultimately determines where it wants to be, Kansas is stuck.
Missouri scares me somewhat. Mizzu sees itself fitting snugly into the neighborhood puzzle with Illinois, Nebraska and Iowa. They're still licking their wounds from their inaugural SEC tour of duty, and the B1G $$ and academic prestige still beckon. Hopefully without KU in play, Delaney passes on the Tigers again and continues to lean east.
I've read the arguments here and elsewhere that the SEC is a barrier to entry to the BTN's attempt to establish a foothold in Georgia. Hopefully, this is the case; if not, I believe GA Tech represents a real threat to those other schools dreaming B1G.
I fear that Connecticut's geographical isolation may relegate us safety school status with Mr. Delaney. So if in fact the B1G does value Connecticut's metrics and overall profile, out best shot is for politics to bog down either UNC or UVA for a bit, and for most if not all of the other factors I outlined above coming to fruition.