Took a gander at the Rutgers thread suggesting rumor of BC to Big 10. Interesting post came up that I'm on page with:
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Here we go again
We've now heard Miami and BC in the past week for the the B1G
BC does NOT fit the profile of the B1G....PERIOD.
There is only ONE school that is NOT a major state university that could end up B1G....Duke.
And that is because the Duke is such a great academic school and the #1 basketball brand that is worth a LOT of $$$...a LOT. And even that is a question....because what is Duke basketball in 10 years without Coach K.
And the only way Duke ends up in the B1G....is if the B1G goes to 18 teams...and adds
-UVa
-UNC
-Duke
-Ndame
Yes....Duke and Ndame would have to be a package....as the END GAME for Big10...and the only justification to bring the Big10 to a swollen 18 teams....
Ndame remains the end game for B1G....period.
For this to happen....the following would need to occur...which is all a destabilzation of the ACC...and the movement to four superconfrences:
1.) The big12 to take Florida State, Clemson...and go to 14 by adding LVille and Miami OR GTech.... ACC then reduced to 10
2.) The SEC gets to 16 by adding NC State and VTech....giving UNC and UVa politicial cover to move out of the ACC. ACC is reduced to 8
3.) UVa and UNC added to the B1G to make it 16....and the ACC is reduced to 6
4.) NDame then sees the reminants of the ACC 6...and even with UConn and Cincy decides it is not a good enough home for the rest of its sports....and cannot be a legit bowl partner for those years when it is not "BCS" worth
Ndame (not for football)
Duke
Wake Forest
Syracuse
BC
Pitt
GTech/Miami
Then....Delany ends it with NDame and Duke...leaving the ACC officially dead...and WForest, Cuse, Pitt, BC, and Gtech/Miami to joing the BE....
Remember...Delany's goals are TWO fold
1.) Home run candidates (Got PSU and Nebraska)
2.) Eastern seaboard eyeballs for the B1G network...with schools that fit the profile
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Now does this guy's vision play out 100%? Of course not. Although I do think this general methodology plays out. I will forever continue to think Delany will strong arm ND until a point where it's absolutely 110% obvious they will never go to conference affiliation in FB. In the least, I think it's owed to and competetive spirit will position Delany to continue to test this until it's absolute, a situation where ND has nothing but a carcass to belong to with their "everything but football" approach. When it does get there, ND will have to think long and hard about that and understand what's more important to them, football independence or the integrity of all of their other sports. And will there be a legimitate 5th conference left worthy for all sports but football(there may be). The ACC allowed this setup because they're in survival mode - none of the final 4 BCS leagues will committ to that once they are solidified. That is the big domino. Right now, ND can be patient all they want. The only way the ACC survives is if ND committs on the FB end.
So why would Delany dismiss that option at this point and begin filling with a Uconn, a school that may be a filler candidate, but on the back end of a fairly long lineup of options? Big Ten goes for home runs next after taking Maryland/Rutgers. Those two are also fillers, but fillers with purpose/guinea pigs that fit the profile and have potential. They were brought in to set further dominoes in motion(insecurity in the ACC, challenge exit fee) and a cheap partner/NYC market. In essence, adequate/necessary steps(with potential) to bigger fish. Big Ten can play around with Rutgers for a bit, see what they can build it into, have a settlement in NYC, maybe see what comes of MSG, market in NYC, position games in NYC venues to build the brand. It does not need to double up with Uconn right now, who is the distant 2nd best local state U brand in NYC. Why would it? The only way Uconn gets in is if the Big 10 sees value in blowing up to 20 teams. That, to me is once they nail down targets and see what comes of Rutgers value/future program. That to me, is at least 5-6 years out.
Uconn's future likely in an old BE and new BE hybrid with ACC scraps and a couple of the current new schools. Unfortunately, timing on Uconn's FB maturity/potential & geography just not at a point/level where it makes the big boy conferences at the realignment juncture. Although solid on many points, it also just doesn't have enough in many. Geography may be most symbolic, just a little too far from NYC and a little too far from Boston to really develop any kind of brand foothold in either. So I think we're looking at a future conference of solid, but shortcoming schools that fit a similar mode, a bit of an CUSA on roids. This whole process is a survival of the fittest and the drivers are obvious, not many of the abstract/ambigous that guys like HFD like gossiping about. There will be outliers amongst it like a UMD and Rutgers, but very much likely just outliers:
BC
Syracuse
Uconn
Pitt
Wake
Temple
Memphis
South Florida
Louisville
Cinci
UCF
Houston/SMU
ND ends up in a situation where they decide whether this conference is good enough for all sports or finally committ. This is not a bad place for Uconn. Is it the Big Ten? No. But that's a decent FB conference that likely matches up rightfully with the ceiling of potential of UConn's FB caliber. Uconn will never be a big time football state, it just does not have enough. Unlike basketball, there is much more needed in terms of infrastructure, natural fan base and the recruitment of a LOT more players. Where you can put together a great basketball team with one or two big time recruits, not so in FB. This conference will contain some longstanding rivalries, has some recruiting hotbeds in FL and TX and remains a very good BB conference(Cuse, Uconn, Memphis, Temple, Ville, Cinci).
At some point you just have to call a spade a spade - you can hope all you want and list to HuskyDan and his conjecture/rumor mill, but the Uconn program is what it is and the current drivers in realignment are what they are. Best case is very long term and Uconn dominates this conference, joins AAU, the landscape changes further and it finds a way into the big boys and Rutgers shows the value of NYC presence.
We can't get overexcited about Uconn's FB prospects - it had limitations before any of this. What is most important is that we preserve what was built up in BB, finds a solid all sports conference, a capable FB conference, some rivalries and find revenue.