Year 1. If Gilbert is healthy, I expect us to squeak into the tournament. The upside is higher if one of the sophomores to be or Wilson pops.
Year 2 could be a step back. Losing Adams is a killer and while I expect a very good recruiting class, guys in the 50-100 range aren't always immediate impact (something to keep in mind with our current class - Sid is the consensus #89 recruit. Look at the track record of guys in that range.)
Year 3 should be upper echelon AAC and a solid tournament time. I expect a very good class with 4 guys in the 50-100ish range. By year 2, they should be legit impact players.
Year 4. We should be Cincinnati from here on out, without the huge March failures. Hopefully Gilbert is finishing up a legendary UCONN career, and probably on his way to a Doctorate.