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Arkansas Scouting Report

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I have no clue on analytics honestly. Talking heads did say yesterday he’s the best perimeter defender left in the tournament. But they say a lot of stuff haha. I will say he has a tendency to reach in sometimes and overplay, so quick fouls happen every so often.
Hawk doesn’t drive much but he is quick. At the same time his handle isn’t great. I assume he’ll look for more 3s, as he usually does. I don’t know if length will bother him a ton though, he has one of the quicker releases i’ve seen. Should be a good game my man!
 
I have no clue on analytics honestly.
Im starting to like you.

Over heyah we've been over run by

nerds GIF
 
Hawk doesn’t drive much but he is quick. At the same time his handle isn’t great. I assume he’ll look for more 3s, as he usually does. I don’t know if length will bother him a ton though, he has one of the quicker releases i’ve seen. Should be a good game my man!
I’m excited! In my late twenties so I didn’t get to experience the 80’s and 90’s, seeing Arkansas back has been so much fun! Finally get to see what my dad was talking about.
 
Hawk doesn’t drive much but he is quick. At the same time his handle isn’t great. I assume he’ll look for more 3s, as he usually does. I don’t know if length will bother him a ton though, he has one of the quicker releases i’ve seen. Should be a good game my man!
After watching their KS game, I’d be moderately surprised if Hawkins doesn’t get fouled on at least one 3 pt attempt. They overplay close outs and make up for it with athleticism and length, but Hawkins’ quick release has a tendency to draw contact in this situations.

Edit: with their propensity to overplay and slap at the ball on drives, my guess is we see Hurley try to prioritize Hawkins driving the ball too.
 
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I’m excited! In my late twenties so I didn’t get to experience the 80’s and 90’s, seeing Arkansas back has been so much fun! Finally get to see what my dad was talking about.
Sidney Moncrief was special.

By the way, I saw your coach without a shirt. He needs a different last name.
 
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Im starting to like you.

Over heyah we've been over run by

nerds GIF
Let’s see what the numbers have to say:

Muss - NBA pedigree game planner du jor:
took over for a KP end of season 54th ranked team.
He took them to these rankings:
47
18
18
19

Hurley took over a end of season 179th ranked team:
98
52
21
22
4

The KP trends are fairly similar over the last 4 years, with the notable exception that this UConn team, at least on paper, has moved passed an apparent ceiling for the hogs. They don’t play the game on paper though.

Teddy Allen has entered the chat.

that’s why using a 6 game sample set (4 in UConn’s case) to judge a coaches pedigree for game planning might not be the best approach. And I say this to our hot seaters and our new friend @Westhamhog

thus, time will tell.
 
Newton is another guard who could go off for 20. He has two triple-doubles this year. Scored 15+ 7x this season. Has 4 20pt games.

Karaban (PF) hasn't scored much in the tournament, but has scored double-digits 19x this year. Scored 15+ 6x.

Alleyne, Calcaterra score 5-10 on a good night.

Jackson has scored double-digits 9x... He's streaky.
I’ve felt that Karabans limited production has been more about the fact that Sanogo hasn’t been doubled too much so far. Most big east teams packed in on Adama which got Karaban open for outside shots and got him the space to make back cuts for easy buckets. Also, a lot of the field goals down the stretch have been from Sanogo/Hawkins which definitely hasn’t been a bad thing.

They’re good but I’m feeling okay here, hoping the staff is going to have Adama hold back his block attempts early and tell AJax to start the game at a reasonable pace so we don’t get into foul trouble.

I think they overplay Hawkins and he ends up drawing plenty of fouls on his jumpers, and if Sanogo can cook close to the way he has we’ll be in a good position to gut out a win
 
After watching their KS game, I’d be moderately surprised if Hawkins doesn’t get fouled on at least one 3 pt attempt. They overplay close outs and make up for it with athleticism and length, but Hawkins’ quick release has a tendency to draw contact in this situations.

Edit: with their propensity to overplay and slap at the ball on drives, my guess is we see Hurley try to prioritize Hawkins driving the ball too.
We have fouled several three point shooters. Not in the past month or so but it happened quite often earlier in the season.
 
Muss is a former nba coach with three straight sweet 16s, and he’s the best game planner and best at making in game adjustments in the country.
If he is the best game planner, then why would he need to be making in game adjustments? Lol.
 
Last year against Gonzaga we let Timme have his (25 points), and stopped their guards and 3P shooting (top 30 three point % team, held to 5/21). This is a proven formula in the NCAAT, take the guards and the 3 out of the game. Focus on disrupting Hawkins and running he and others off the 3.


something additional to look out for: Arkansas can be a poor FT shooting team. So even if UConn fouls stack up, there is no guarantee we make those FT’s
 
Joking about
That's their defensive strength as a team, however Council is their weakest perimeter non-big while Makhel Mitchell, if he plays, is their only big who isn't an average-or-better perimeter big.

After a made bucket, Black is the guy who brings the ball up the court, however, sometimes Council brings the ball up when he gets ISO calls.

Ball pressure definitely disrupts Arkansas' halfcourt offense. For example, four of their last six losses were against Texas A&M (2x), Mississippi State and Tennessee, all teams that rank within the top-50 in defensive turnover rate.

The "Andre Jackson" style of defense would be a viable defensive option for Arkansas. Listen, we've played two very good defensive teams this tournament and we face another on Thursday...I guess the good news is that UConn will be mentally conditioned (both via the players and the coaches) for that type of style of play.

The biggest difference between Iona/Saint Mary's and Arkansas is that they have size at the 4 and 5 spot, Arkansas doesn't.

I'll keep you guessing here. If I were Moore or Young, that would mean I either a) occasionally post on The Boneyard in-game; or b) give someone else access to my account during the game to perpetuate the guise.

Either way, I'm not showing my hand, but the few people here who know me personally know the true answer...
joking about the Moore and Young reference. As a hoop junkie and absolute Huskymaniac I love your thorough reports. Be great to have an opportunity speak and exchange ideas. I do scout high school players and teams here in Vermont. Not nearly the talent there is in other states but high school basketball is big here and lots of fun
 
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Hawk doesn’t drive much but he is quick. At the same time his handle isn’t great. I assume he’ll look for more 3s, as he usually does. I don’t know if length will bother him a ton though, he has one of the quicker releases i’ve seen. Should be a good game my man!
Prosper is tall and athletic with plenty of reach and shut down Hawk in 2 of the 3 games we played. And we list those games
 
Last year against Gonzaga we let Timme have his (25 points), and stopped their guards and 3P shooting (top 30 three point % team, held to 5/21). This is a proven formula in the NCAAT, take the guards and the 3 out of the game. Focus on disrupting Hawkins and running he and others off the 3.


something additional to look out for: Arkansas can be a poor FT shooting team. So even if UConn fouls stack up, there is no guarantee we make those FT’s
Most stat nerds will tell you its not the % from 3 that indicates a good perimeter defense, its the attempts. Hence Tennessee's early success and regression to the mean.
 
Last year against Gonzaga we let Timme have his (25 points), and stopped their guards and 3P shooting (top 30 three point % team, held to 5/21). This is a proven formula in the NCAAT, take the guards and the 3 out of the game. Focus on disrupting Hawkins and running he and others off the 3.


something additional to look out for: Arkansas can be a poor FT shooting team. So even if UConn fouls stack up, there is no guarantee we make those FT’s

Im not so worried about fouls stacking up, Im worried about who they stack up on. I don't want Andre Jackson with 3 first half fouls. Or Karaban. We can withstand foul trouble in a lot of areas because of our depth, but those two make the team tick. 1 from energy on both ends. the other just from a very intelligent,poised floor game.
 
Im not so worried about fouls stacking up, Im worried about who they stack up on. I don't want Andre Jackson with 3 first half fouls. Or Karaban. We can withstand foul trouble in a lot of areas because of our depth, but those two make the team tick. 1 from energy on both ends. the other just from a very intelligent floor game.
Agreed - Jackson foul trouble usually spells disaster. Which is why its so frustrating when he picks up his 1 foul per game playing textbook defense: Moving his feet, arms back, chest out. Offensive player jumps into him creating contact and he gets called for it. Happened against Kolek and its happened 1-2 times in the tourney. Maddening.
 
Im not so worried about fouls stacking up, Im worried about who they stack up on. I don't want Andre Jackson with 3 first half fouls. Or Karaban. We can withstand foul trouble in a lot of areas because of our depth, but those two make the team tick. 1 from energy on both ends. the other just from a very intelligent,poised floor game.
Can't believe a seasoned and astute poker player like yourself is opening up the Kimono like this. Shocking
 
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Im not so worried about fouls stacking up, Im worried about who they stack up on. I don't want Andre Jackson with 3 first half fouls. Or Karaban. We can withstand foul trouble in a lot of areas because of our depth, but those two make the team tick. 1 from energy on both ends. the other just from a very intelligent,poised floor game.
Hurley doesn’t let guys get 3 first half fouls
 
Listening to this guy you wouldn’t know he was talking about an 8th seeded team who finished below .500 in conference play. They’re talented, but they ain’t that “good”. We bring our A game on defense and we win. Offense will take care of itself
 
Listening to this guy you wouldn’t know he was talking about an 8th seeded team who finished below .500 in conference play. They’re talented, but they ain’t that “good”. We bring our A game on defense and we win. Offense will take care of itself
They just beat the 1 seed in our region and one of the pre-tournament favorites, they’re playing well. Besides, the guy has come in and been respectful and added insight, he hasn’t been boasting about his team really, besides the post about Musselman.
 
He is of that school, but is not as married to it as JC was. Its happened this season.
Fair, I just think since we’re so far along, he wouldn’t allow it to happen now. Plus, with the way we’ve been playing in 2nd halves, he’ll want to have his players playing without worry of getting a 4th early.
 
They just beat the 1 seed in our region and one of the pre-tournament favorites, they’re playing well. Besides, the guy has come in and been respectful and added insight, he hasn’t been boasting about his team really, besides the post about Musselman.
FDU beat a 1 seed too. That 1 seed they beat was also without their head coach, whose pretty good. I watched that game, and it was just as much about Kansas choking the game away as it was Arkansas being impressive. And make no mistake this UConn team is more than capable of choking in the same manner. But also don’t make the mistake of thinking we aren’t clearly the better team. And it wasn’t a shot at the poster. They just are a lot more scary in theory than they are in reality
 
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Listening to this guy you wouldn’t know he was talking about an 8th seeded team who finished below .500 in conference play. They’re talented, but they ain’t that “good”. We bring our A game on defense and we win. Offense will take care of itself

Why do you always do this? I mean always. You short sell our opponents constantly and religiously. They certainly aren't the 90's Chicago Bulls no one is saying that even the poster you are referring to isn't saying that.
 
Why do you always do this? I mean always. You short sell our opponents constantly and religiously. They certainly aren't the 90's Chicago Bulls no one is saying that even the poster you are referring to isn't saying that.
Did I really short sell Providence? As that is all you could be referring to. They ended up being the “plucky” team I said they were. All I’ve pointed out is facts about Arkansas. They’re an 8 seed who finished under .500 in conference play. We’re better. Doesn’t mean we’ll win. But we are better. Period.

Instead of being contrary to my pint for the sole purpose of playing that role. Point out the error in anything I said.
 
FDU beat a 1 seed too. That 1 seed they beat was also without their head coach, whose pretty good. I watched that game, and it was just as much about Kansas choking the game away as it was Arkansas being impressive. And make no mistake this UConn team is more than capable of choking in the same manner. But also don’t make the mistake of thinking we aren’t clearly the better team. And it wasn’t a shot at the poster. They just are a lot more scary in theory than they are in reality
I think it’s a tough matchup. As others have said, we struggles containing the direct drives to the hoop. That’s kinda their M/O. Perimeter D needs to be on point.
 
I think it’s a tough matchup. As others have said, we struggles containing the direct drives to the hoop. That’s kinda their M/O. Perimeter D needs to be on point.
Which is why I said, “if we bring our A game defensively”. There’s no disagreement there. Clingan will be huge. He played double digit first half minutes in game one. I can see him doing so again. I’ve also pointed out the problem playing Joey C might cause on defense. I’m not ignorant to the danger Arkansas poses.
 
He is of that school, but is not as married to it as JC was. Its happened this season.
We rank 365/363 D1 teams in 2 foul participation at 3.6%. It's about as married to it as you can be.

Stats only go back to 2010 on it, but Calhoun ranked 331 in 11 at 3.5%, 318 in 2011 at 6.8%, 232 at 13.6% in 2012.

Historically, Hurley has been willing to play players with two fouls (his first few years at UConn were ~20%), but when he has deep teams he doesn't (2018 URI was 3.4% and 2017 URI was 5.4%).
 
Listening to this guy you wouldn’t know he was talking about an 8th seeded team who finished below .500 in conference play. They’re talented, but they ain’t that “good”. We bring our A game on defense and we win. Offense will take care of itself
What seed was UNC last year? It’s about matchups and who’s playing best at the end of March, and not seeding or record. We’re playing our best basketball right now obviously, but y’all are a very tough matchup for us.
 
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