While it may seem surprising, UNC was a good defensive team last season, and Diamond was probably a good part of the reason why. Last season, UNC ranked 23rd in the nation in points per possession (PPP), which is a defensive metric that removes pace so we can see how effective a defense really is. (Not surprisingly, UConn led the country in defensive PPP, and it really wasn't close. While some of their huge lead is attributable to their relatively weak SOS (strength of schedule), UConn clearly had the best defense last season. Here are the defensive PPP of some top teams:
1. 0.67 UConn
7. 0.79 Louisville, South Carolina
11. 0.81 Rutgers, Notre Dame
15. 0.82 West Virginia, Texas A&M, Baylor, Texas
23. 0.83 UNC, Georgia, Tennessee
While UNC had a helter skelter offense, their defense was actually quite good, especially when one considers that the freshman class received a ton of minutes and defensive concepts take a while to learn. As for offensive PPP:
1. 1.16 UConn
2. 1.13 Notre Dame
3. 1.09 Maryland, Baylor
5. 1.08 Stanford
7. 1.07 Duke
8. 1.06 NC State
11. 1.05 South Carolina, DePaul
15. 1.04 Louisville, Tennessee, Nebraska, Iowa St.
25. 1.02 West Virginia, Michigan
30. 1.01 Oregon
36. 1.00 Oklahoma, Villanova, Kentucky
48. 0.99 UNC, GTech, Syracuse, Michigan St., Oregon St.
North Carolina certainly wasn't terrible on offense, but they were stronger defensively than they were offensively. As Diamond develops, I anticipate her being an absolute terror on defense. She is tall and very mobile, so it really will come down to the coaching she receives and the effort she extends to that aspect of her game.