Men - Wins Needed for a 2025 At Large Bid | Page 9 | The Boneyard

Men Wins Needed for a 2025 At Large Bid


New location;

HATTIESBURG, MISS.
1Southern Miss (15)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Holy Cross*

LAST FOUR IN
Connecticut
Troy
Xavier
Virginia

FIRST FOUR OUT
Notre Dame
Western Kentucky
SE Louisiana
UT Rio Grande Valley

Creighton was listed in this projection as getting the Big East Champion bid into the NCAA Tournament. It will be interesting to see if they get in if they do not win the Big East Tourney, considering their RPI is currently a bit lower than both UConn and Xavier.
 

New location;

HATTIESBURG, MISS.
1Southern Miss (15)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Holy Cross*

LAST FOUR IN
Connecticut
Troy
Xavier
Virginia

FIRST FOUR OUT
Notre Dame
Western Kentucky
SE Louisiana
UT Rio Grande Valley
I always struggle to figure this out. If they are placing us in the 15th overall 1 seed region,that would lead you to believe that we are one of the higher 3 seeds, yet show us as last four in? Interesting that they still have Xavier in. I still feel like our non conference results this year are way more impressive than last year so hard to imagine not getting in. Last year we didn't win a BE tourney game, this year 2 already. I would think we are safely in, but I clearly have no idea how this works that they have us on the bubble. Also, I thought they highly rated how you are currently playing. 25 out of 28 is tough to do regardless of who you are playing.
 
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I always struggle to figure this out. If they are placing us in the 15th overall 1 seed region,that would lead you to believe that we are one of the higher 3 seeds, yet show us as last four in? Interesting that they still have Xavier in. I still feel like our non conference results this year are way more impressive than last year so hard to imagine not getting in. Last year we didn't win a BE tourney game, this year 2 already. I would think we are safely in, but I clearly have no idea how this works that they have us on the bubble. Also, I thought they highly rated how you are currently playing. 25 out of 28 is tough to do regardless of who you are playing.
This teams resume is better than last years. I thought they clinched last night. If Virginia Arizona State or ND get in instead of us then you know it’s fixed. Follow the money.
 
This teams resume is better than last years. I thought they clinched last night. If Virginia Arizona State or ND get in instead of us then you know it’s fixed.
Miami being allegedly ahead of UConn in the pecking order is ridiculous. They have a bubble RPI of 40 (vs UConn current RPI of 35), and UConn won two out of three against Miami at Miami.

I think UConn is in now. But winning the first game tonight locks in an RPI of no worse than 35. Unless there's shenanigans UConn is not getting left out at that number. But the AD of Southeast Louisiana being the NCAA chair has shenanigan potential, with Southeast LA being a fringe bubble team....
 

New location;

HATTIESBURG, MISS.
1Southern Miss (15)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Holy Cross*

LAST FOUR IN
Connecticut
Troy
Xavier
Virginia

FIRST FOUR OUT
Notre Dame
Western Kentucky
SE Louisiana
UT Rio Grande Valley

I wonder if this projection means they expect UConn to lose a game against Creighton tonight. After all, they project Creighton as being the Big East Tournament champ. If so, it would seem that they project UConn as being more likely to be selected to the NCAA Tournmanent.
 
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I wonder if this projection means they expect UConn to lose a game against Creighton tonight. After all, they project Creighton as being the Big East Tournament champ. If so, it would seem that they project UConn as being more likely to be selected to the NCAA Tournmanent.
Good question
 
X is ahead of us in the RPI at the moment. 38 to 40. Crossing fingers.
 
X is ahead of us in the RPI at the moment. 38 to 40. Crossing fingers.

Based on that, I don’t think we’re that close to being left out. A strong case can be made, and was last year, that our RPI underrates us because of how long we have to go before we get any home games. Said another way, while the computer rewards us for playing all our competitive OOC games on the road the first half of the season, it doesn’t take into account the extra burden we carry of barely being home the first two months.

That’s my theory and I’m sticking to it. I will be sweating on Monday if we don’t win at least the first game today, but intellectually I think at this point we’ve earned it even more than last year.
I agree our resume is better this year. Xavier has us in RPI and head to head. They are also 14-13 there last 27 and UConn is 23-4. There best win is Kentucky and UConn. UConn’s is Vandy and NC. Xavier was swept by Vandy. UConn co reg season champs and made it to the championship game. Xavier 3rd in the league and 3rd in Conference tournament. They are 5 games over .500. UCONN should get in before X, Miami, Troy and Virginia
 
Latest from D1 Baseball after dark:

Bids by conference: SEC (13), ACC (9), Big 12 (8), Big Ten (3), Sun Belt (3), Big East (2), American (2), Conference USA (2)

EUGENE, ORE.
1Oregon (13)
2Arizona*
3Connecticut
4North Dakota State*

LAST FOUR IN
Kentucky
Arizona State
Connecticut
Troy

FIRST FOUR OUT
Virginia
SE Louisiana
Xavier
Notre Dame
 
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I know each season should stand on its own. However Uconn should hold some favor with the selection committee as they have proven themselves in the past to be deserving and played well when in the field. That teputation cant hurt. Hope they make it as it has been a tougher season but they are dangerous.
 
Sorry did not post earlier, crazy long day of traveling. A win yesterday would have been huge. I still think we sneak in, but definitely not 100% confident.

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
9 - 10/ .474% ........ 12 - 7 / .631% - National
10 - 5/ .667....... 10 - 5 / .667 - Northeast
17 - 4 / .810 ...... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
2 - 2 / .500 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tournament


Post season Criteria
(1) 38 - 21/ .655..... 39 - 20 / .661
(2) 40 ...... < 50 RPI
(3) 11…….. < 10 Conf RPI
(4) T 1st…… Top 2 BE
 
Sorry did not post earlier, crazy long day of traveling. A win yesterday would have been huge. I still think we sneak in, but definitely not 100% confident.

Go Huskies!!!




current record........... season goal
9 - 10/ .474% ........ 12 - 7 / .631% - National
10 - 5/ .667....... 10 - 5 / .667 - Northeast
17 - 4 / .810 ...... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
2 - 2 / .500 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East
tournament

Post season Criteria
(1) 38 - 21/ .655..... 39 - 20 / .661
(2) 40 ...... < 50 RPI
(3) 11…….. < 10 Conf RPI
(4) T 1st…… Top 2 BE
Appreciate all your work this year with the chart, always a great way to keep up with the team!

We’re certainly about to put the accuracy of these season goals to the test, we’re hovering right around the target in most categories
 
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CCSU clinches as article hits:



-> “We feel as though our resume speaks for itself,” Penders said, “we’re not going to go politicking or tweeting or begging for a bid. We’ll let the entirety of the season will speak for itself and merits pretty well. That being said, the committee has a hard job to do and we’re going to be right on that edge.” <-

-> “We’ve been there six straight times and we know what an NCAA-caliber team looks like and we feel as if we have one,” Penders said. “But it’s up to other folks. It’s just a frustrating feeling when you’re a competitor and you’re no longer competing, you’re wishing and hoping for another opportunity to compete.” <-
 

Screenshot_20250525-222652_X.jpg
 
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Split decision:

Last Four In

Oklahoma State (Big 12)
Southern California (Big Ten)
Xavier (Big East)
Arizona State (Big 12)

First Four Out

Kentucky (SEC)
Connecticut (Big East)
Virginia (ACC)
Troy (Sun Belt)

-> Kentucky, Connecticut and Troy were previously included as at-large bids but have since fallen from our projection with Western Kentucky, Cal Poly and Nebraska stealing automatic bids. <-
 
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