Men - Wins Needed for a 2025 At Large Bid | Page 10 | The Boneyard

Men Wins Needed for a 2025 At Large Bid

Anyone who has watched more than 5 minutes of playoff baseball in their life knows that good (and deep!) pitching is paramount. If we lose tonight, I will find solace in the fact that, from a pitching standpoint, this was just not our year -- and as a result, the NCAA tournament would likely be more of the same.
 
Absent a lot of help elsewhere, this is absolutely a play-in game. Creighton as complex champs and in the final is in. Second spot goes to today's winner. There will not be a third Big East team going. Both may even need to win today and the first game tomorrow to feel safe.
 
SubbaBub said:
Absent a lot of help elsewhere, this is absolutely a play-in game. Creighton as complex champs and in the final is in. Second spot goes to today's winner. There will not be a third Big East team going. Both may even need to win today and the first game tomorrow to feel safe.
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I don’t think Creighton is safe at all. They only have 1 Q1 win all season (Xavier yesterday), their SOS is pretty bad and their RPI is still only borderline for an at large. I think it is still very possible that the Big East goes 1 bid if Xavier or UConn wins
 
Based on the latest projections from the twitter college baseball beat writers, we are firmly on the bubble, either first four in or first four out. A loss today would drop us to about 44/45 in the RPI and I think we would be out of the tournament unfortunately. It seems crazy to me how one game is swinging the RPI this much after 57 other games.
 
Followed game till we were up 6-0. Then had to get some sleep. Said a quick prayer that I wasn’t going to wake up to a massive Xavier comeback. Very happy prayer worked. Huge win in what was almost certainly a play- in game.

Wouldn’t say we are 100% in , but would be extremely surprised if we were left out.

Let’s add to our resume today, and make the chart below even greener!!!!

Go Huskies!!!!

current record........... season goal
9 - 10/ .474% ........ 12 - 7 / .631% - National
10 - 5/ .667....... 10 - 5 / .667 - Northeast
17 - 4 / .810 ...... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
2 - 1 / .500 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tournament

Post season Criteria
(1) 38 - 20/ .655..... 39 - 20 / .661
(2) 35 ...... < 50 RPI
(3) 11…….. < 10 Conf RPI
(4) T 1st…… Top 2 BE
 
huskymedic said:
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The shell game continues:

www.baseballamerica.com

2025 NCAA Baseball Tournament Bracket: Final Projected Field Of 64

With Selection Monday on the doorstep, Baseball America presents its final Field of 64 bracket projection.
www.baseballamerica.com www.baseballamerica.com

Chapel Hill, N.C.
1. (4) North Carolina^* (ACC)
2. Oklahoma (SEC)
3. Connecticut (Big East)
4. Holy Cross* (Patriot)

Creighton is the Big East auto-bid 3 seed in the Fort Worth Regional.

Last Four In​

Arizona State (Big 12)
Troy (Sun Belt)
Connecticut (Big East)
Virginia (ACC)

First Four Out​

UTRGV (Southland)
Western Kentucky (CUSA)
Notre Dame (ACC)
Cal Poly (Big West)

Next Four Out​

Hawaii (Big West)
Southeastern Louisiana (Southland)
Texas A&M (SEC)
Nebraska (Big Ten)
 
ucjoet said:
You cracked me up with the above post!!! The chart is updated. For all you do for the Boneyard, how can I not post an update.

PS. My wife thinks I’m nuts, laying in bed in Italy updated the baseball chart.
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Toughen up. I’m trying to follow this week on an Alaskan cruise with a four hour time difference, no cell service for days and only a totally inadequate text only cruise ship satellite internet.
 
Xavier in as a 3-seed in Auburn, Northeastern a 2-seed in Fayetteville.
 
UConnRock said:
Last 4 In - Current RPI
Az St - 49
Troy - 45
UConn - 35
UVA - 60
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Based on that, I don’t think we’re that close to being left out. A strong case can be made, and was last year, that our RPI underrates us because of how long we have to go before we get any home games. Said another way, while the computer rewards us for playing all our competitive OOC games on the road the first half of the season, it doesn’t take into account the extra burden we carry of barely being home the first two months.

That’s my theory and I’m sticking to it. I will be sweating on Monday if we don’t win at least the first game today, but intellectually I think at this point we’ve earned it even more than last year.
 
d1baseball.com

2025 D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: May 24 • D1Baseball

There's a new Top 16 host and much more in our latest Field of 64 entering Saturday's action.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

New location;

HATTIESBURG, MISS.
1Southern Miss (15)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Holy Cross*

LAST FOUR IN
Connecticut
Troy
Xavier
Virginia

FIRST FOUR OUT
Notre Dame
Western Kentucky
SE Louisiana
UT Rio Grande Valley
 
huskymedic said:
d1baseball.com

2025 D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: May 24 • D1Baseball

There's a new Top 16 host and much more in our latest Field of 64 entering Saturday's action.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

New location;

HATTIESBURG, MISS.
1Southern Miss (15)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Holy Cross*

LAST FOUR IN
Connecticut
Troy
Xavier
Virginia

FIRST FOUR OUT
Notre Dame
Western Kentucky
SE Louisiana
UT Rio Grande Valley
Expand ...

Creighton was listed in this projection as getting the Big East Champion bid into the NCAA Tournament. It will be interesting to see if they get in if they do not win the Big East Tourney, considering their RPI is currently a bit lower than both UConn and Xavier.
 
huskymedic said:
d1baseball.com

2025 D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: May 24 • D1Baseball

There's a new Top 16 host and much more in our latest Field of 64 entering Saturday's action.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

New location;

HATTIESBURG, MISS.
1Southern Miss (15)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Holy Cross*

LAST FOUR IN
Connecticut
Troy
Xavier
Virginia

FIRST FOUR OUT
Notre Dame
Western Kentucky
SE Louisiana
UT Rio Grande Valley
Expand ...
I always struggle to figure this out. If they are placing us in the 15th overall 1 seed region,that would lead you to believe that we are one of the higher 3 seeds, yet show us as last four in? Interesting that they still have Xavier in. I still feel like our non conference results this year are way more impressive than last year so hard to imagine not getting in. Last year we didn't win a BE tourney game, this year 2 already. I would think we are safely in, but I clearly have no idea how this works that they have us on the bubble. Also, I thought they highly rated how you are currently playing. 25 out of 28 is tough to do regardless of who you are playing.
 
Last edited:
ATLDYKA said:
I always struggle to figure this out. If they are placing us in the 15th overall 1 seed region,that would lead you to believe that we are one of the higher 3 seeds, yet show us as last four in? Interesting that they still have Xavier in. I still feel like our non conference results this year are way more impressive than last year so hard to imagine not getting in. Last year we didn't win a BE tourney game, this year 2 already. I would think we are safely in, but I clearly have no idea how this works that they have us on the bubble. Also, I thought they highly rated how you are currently playing. 25 out of 28 is tough to do regardless of who you are playing.
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This teams resume is better than last years. I thought they clinched last night. If Virginia Arizona State or ND get in instead of us then you know it’s fixed. Follow the money.
 
PASTE04038! said:
This teams resume is better than last years. I thought they clinched last night. If Virginia Arizona State or ND get in instead of us then you know it’s fixed.
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Miami being allegedly ahead of UConn in the pecking order is ridiculous. They have a bubble RPI of 40 (vs UConn current RPI of 35), and UConn won two out of three against Miami at Miami.

I think UConn is in now. But winning the first game tonight locks in an RPI of no worse than 35. Unless there's shenanigans UConn is not getting left out at that number. But the AD of Southeast Louisiana being the NCAA chair has shenanigan potential, with Southeast LA being a fringe bubble team....
 
huskymedic said:
d1baseball.com

2025 D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: May 24 • D1Baseball

There's a new Top 16 host and much more in our latest Field of 64 entering Saturday's action.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

New location;

HATTIESBURG, MISS.
1Southern Miss (15)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Holy Cross*

LAST FOUR IN
Connecticut
Troy
Xavier
Virginia

FIRST FOUR OUT
Notre Dame
Western Kentucky
SE Louisiana
UT Rio Grande Valley
Expand ...

I wonder if this projection means they expect UConn to lose a game against Creighton tonight. After all, they project Creighton as being the Big East Tournament champ. If so, it would seem that they project UConn as being more likely to be selected to the NCAA Tournmanent.
 
dbmill said:
I wonder if this projection means they expect UConn to lose a game against Creighton tonight. After all, they project Creighton as being the Big East Tournament champ. If so, it would seem that they project UConn as being more likely to be selected to the NCAA Tournmanent.
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Good question
 
X is ahead of us in the RPI at the moment. 38 to 40. Crossing fingers.
 
J187Money said:
X is ahead of us in the RPI at the moment. 38 to 40. Crossing fingers.
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businesslawyer said:
Based on that, I don’t think we’re that close to being left out. A strong case can be made, and was last year, that our RPI underrates us because of how long we have to go before we get any home games. Said another way, while the computer rewards us for playing all our competitive OOC games on the road the first half of the season, it doesn’t take into account the extra burden we carry of barely being home the first two months.

That’s my theory and I’m sticking to it. I will be sweating on Monday if we don’t win at least the first game today, but intellectually I think at this point we’ve earned it even more than last year.
Expand ...
I agree our resume is better this year. Xavier has us in RPI and head to head. They are also 14-13 there last 27 and UConn is 23-4. There best win is Kentucky and UConn. UConn’s is Vandy and NC. Xavier was swept by Vandy. UConn co reg season champs and made it to the championship game. Xavier 3rd in the league and 3rd in Conference tournament. They are 5 games over .500. UCONN should get in before X, Miami, Troy and Virginia
 
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