Men - Wins Needed for a 2025 At Large Bid | Page 8 | The Boneyard

Men Wins Needed for a 2025 At Large Bid

huskymedic said:
Before Conference Tournaments begin:

d1baseball.com

2025 D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: May 18 • D1Baseball

Another wild weekend of action means there are new top eight and top 16 seeds in our latest field.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

CLEMSON, S.C.
1Clemson (12)
2Alabama
3Connecticut*
4Bryant*

Creighton second Big East team as #3 in Fayetteville Regional

LAST FOUR IN
Creighton
Notre Dame
Virginia
Troy

FIRST FOUR OUT
UT Rio Grande Valley
Xavier
Western Kentucky
Cal Poly
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businesslawyer said:
Today becomes a must win. 1-1 from here is iffy. Get to the finals and I’m confident
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I kind of agree. I believe that we need two more wins to lock up a bid but in all candor, shy of getting the automatic bis by winning the tournament, I won't feel comfortable about getting in.
 
About 12:45am in Italy, and about to fall asleep. Thx for all posts on game, greatly appreciated. I thought it was a must win today, and we got the job done. With 1 more win, I believe we would be in. But still would be a bit nervous.

Let’s get in done!!

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
9 - 10/ .474% ........ 12 - 7 / .631% - National
10 - 5/ .667....... 10 - 5 / .667 - Northeast
17 - 4 / .810 ...... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
1 - 1 / .500 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tournament

Post season Criteria
(1) 37 - 20/ .655..... 39 - 20 / .661
(2) 39 ...... < 50 RPI
(3) 11…….. < 10 Conf RPI
(4) T 1st…… Top 2 BE
 
.-.
ucjoet said:
About 12:45am in Italy, and about to fall asleep. Thx for all posts on game, greatly appreciated. I thought it was a must win today, and we got the job done. With 1 more win, I believe we would be in. But still would be a bit nervous.

Let’s get in done!!

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
9 - 10/ .474% ........ 12 - 7 / .631% - National
10 - 5/ .667....... 10 - 5 / .667 - Northeast
17 - 4 / .810 ...... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
1 - 1 / .500 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tournament

Post season Criteria
(1) 37 - 20/ .655..... 39 - 20 / .661
(2) 39 ...... < 50 RPI
(3) 11…….. < 10 Conf RPI
(4) T 1st…… Top 2 BE
Expand ...
Hah, nobody believed you when you said you might not be posting updates. We're the lucky beneficiaries of your addiction.
 
huskymedic said:
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Don’t know how critical today is but I’ll say this — if we lose to X for the 4th time in 5 games, they will be ahead of us. And if Creighton then wins the tourney, whatever our accomplishments are we would need the Committee to take three Big East teams.

We’re not definitely in with a win and we’re not definitely out with a loss, but today is huge. Our chances of winning the tourney have been killed by Pudvar and Ellison not giving us enough innings. Any chance of winning three straight from here require Long and Finn to get us through today without having to go back to Brady and Cooke (even better is being up huge after 5 or 6 so we can throw second tier pitching after Long), but we will do whatever it takes to win today and worry about tomorrow tomorrow.
 
If X doesn’t win the tourney, they will finish with a whopping 9 conference losses. Their RPI is what it is - but great competition, meh results. Winning 4 out of 5 against us would be the trump card though. Hard to figure out other than winning tonight is a must. Could be that winning the tourney is a must for any of the 3 teams. All have warts the committee could identify as deal breakers - hard data and/or more subjective means and biases
 
d1baseball.com

2025 D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: May 23 • D1Baseball

There's a new Top 16 host and much more in our latest Field of 64 entering Friday's action.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

Today’s point in time

CLEMSON, S.C.
1Clemson (12)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Bryant*

LAST FOUR IN
Xavier
Connecticut
Troy
Virginia

Bids by conference: SEC (13), ACC (10), Big 12 (8), Big Ten (3), Sun Belt (3), Big East (3)

I’m not buying Big East as 3 bid league if chaos reigns across the board.
 
.-.
Feels like today is essentially an NCAA tournament play-in game.

The winner of UConn-Xavier is in and the loser is looking at a long Selection Monday with a likely disappointing outcome.

While the goal is obviously a BE Championship, I wonder if Penders will play take it as an all or nothing game and go all-in with the pitching and hold nothing back for a potential BE Finals given the situation.
 
UConnSportsGuy said:
Feels like today is essentially an NCAA tournament play-in game.

The winner of UConn-Xavier is in and the loser is looking at a long Selection Monday with a likely disappointing outcome.

While the goal is obviously a BE Championship, I wonder if Penders will play take it as an all or nothing game and go all-in with the pitching and hold nothing back for a potential BE Finals given the situation.
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Based on everything I've heard from Kendrall Rogers, AaronFitt, et al, this ^^^ is 100% spot on. It is essentially a play-in game -- wouldn't be surprised if we had some guys going on crazy short rest.
 
Anyone who has watched more than 5 minutes of playoff baseball in their life knows that good (and deep!) pitching is paramount. If we lose tonight, I will find solace in the fact that, from a pitching standpoint, this was just not our year -- and as a result, the NCAA tournament would likely be more of the same.
 
Absent a lot of help elsewhere, this is absolutely a play-in game. Creighton as complex champs and in the final is in. Second spot goes to today's winner. There will not be a third Big East team going. Both may even need to win today and the first game tomorrow to feel safe.
 
SubbaBub said:
Absent a lot of help elsewhere, this is absolutely a play-in game. Creighton as complex champs and in the final is in. Second spot goes to today's winner. There will not be a third Big East team going. Both may even need to win today and the first game tomorrow to feel safe.
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I don’t think Creighton is safe at all. They only have 1 Q1 win all season (Xavier yesterday), their SOS is pretty bad and their RPI is still only borderline for an at large. I think it is still very possible that the Big East goes 1 bid if Xavier or UConn wins
 
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Based on the latest projections from the twitter college baseball beat writers, we are firmly on the bubble, either first four in or first four out. A loss today would drop us to about 44/45 in the RPI and I think we would be out of the tournament unfortunately. It seems crazy to me how one game is swinging the RPI this much after 57 other games.
 
Followed game till we were up 6-0. Then had to get some sleep. Said a quick prayer that I wasn’t going to wake up to a massive Xavier comeback. Very happy prayer worked. Huge win in what was almost certainly a play- in game.

Wouldn’t say we are 100% in , but would be extremely surprised if we were left out.

Let’s add to our resume today, and make the chart below even greener!!!!

Go Huskies!!!!

current record........... season goal
9 - 10/ .474% ........ 12 - 7 / .631% - National
10 - 5/ .667....... 10 - 5 / .667 - Northeast
17 - 4 / .810 ...... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
2 - 1 / .500 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tournament

Post season Criteria
(1) 38 - 20/ .655..... 39 - 20 / .661
(2) 35 ...... < 50 RPI
(3) 11…….. < 10 Conf RPI
(4) T 1st…… Top 2 BE
 
.-.
huskymedic said:
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The shell game continues:

www.baseballamerica.com

2025 NCAA Baseball Tournament Bracket: Final Projected Field Of 64

With Selection Monday on the doorstep, Baseball America presents its final Field of 64 bracket projection.
www.baseballamerica.com www.baseballamerica.com

Chapel Hill, N.C.
1. (4) North Carolina^* (ACC)
2. Oklahoma (SEC)
3. Connecticut (Big East)
4. Holy Cross* (Patriot)

Creighton is the Big East auto-bid 3 seed in the Fort Worth Regional.

Last Four In​

Arizona State (Big 12)
Troy (Sun Belt)
Connecticut (Big East)
Virginia (ACC)

First Four Out​

UTRGV (Southland)
Western Kentucky (CUSA)
Notre Dame (ACC)
Cal Poly (Big West)

Next Four Out​

Hawaii (Big West)
Southeastern Louisiana (Southland)
Texas A&M (SEC)
Nebraska (Big Ten)
 
ucjoet said:
You cracked me up with the above post!!! The chart is updated. For all you do for the Boneyard, how can I not post an update.

PS. My wife thinks I’m nuts, laying in bed in Italy updated the baseball chart.
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Toughen up. I’m trying to follow this week on an Alaskan cruise with a four hour time difference, no cell service for days and only a totally inadequate text only cruise ship satellite internet.
 
Xavier in as a 3-seed in Auburn, Northeastern a 2-seed in Fayetteville.
 
UConnRock said:
Last 4 In - Current RPI
Az St - 49
Troy - 45
UConn - 35
UVA - 60
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Based on that, I don’t think we’re that close to being left out. A strong case can be made, and was last year, that our RPI underrates us because of how long we have to go before we get any home games. Said another way, while the computer rewards us for playing all our competitive OOC games on the road the first half of the season, it doesn’t take into account the extra burden we carry of barely being home the first two months.

That’s my theory and I’m sticking to it. I will be sweating on Monday if we don’t win at least the first game today, but intellectually I think at this point we’ve earned it even more than last year.
 
d1baseball.com

2025 D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: May 24 • D1Baseball

There's a new Top 16 host and much more in our latest Field of 64 entering Saturday's action.
d1baseball.com d1baseball.com

New location;

HATTIESBURG, MISS.
1Southern Miss (15)
2Alabama
3Connecticut
4Holy Cross*

LAST FOUR IN
Connecticut
Troy
Xavier
Virginia

FIRST FOUR OUT
Notre Dame
Western Kentucky
SE Louisiana
UT Rio Grande Valley
 
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