What makes you feel Wich st would have had a 4-5 seed when smu and cinncy had a 6 with the years they had?
First, the AAC had a down year, but in its 4 years has put in 5, 2, 4*, 2 teams in. MVC put in 1, 2, 2, 1.
In the NIT, the AAC had 1, 3, 1, 2; MVC: 0, 1, o, 1
So the difference in the leagues is obvious.
Second, you're taking my BE comparison out of context. The basic point--and why I used Memphis--is do you want to play a bunch of bad teams and compile a gaudy record, or do you want to play a bunch of good to mediocre teams (and with the AAC, some bad too, though the BE had DePaul) and have a slightly less great record, but one that might translate to better chances of success.
Further, SMU and Cincy had 4 Top 25 and 5 Top 50 wins
combined. And 3 of those Top 50 wins were vs. each other. So, that's why they got 6 seeds. The AAC wasn't great, but they only had 4 sub-150 teams. That helped SMU to an RPI of 15 and Cincy to an RPI of 12. Temple, UConn, and Memphis were in down years, too, otherwise those are much better RPI boosters.
Wichita State had a great record, but was only RPI 31 because of an SOS of 138. They had 0 Top 25 wins (3 games) and only 2 Top 50 wins. Hell, they only had 6 Top 100 wins...and
23 sub-150 wins! 16 in conference. That's 7 sub-150 teams. It's a freaking disaster of a conference. By RPI this UConn team--the worst we had in 30 years--would have been the
third best team. And not just by the crappy RPI, by KenPom.
So, this is a long way of saying that people who think the AAC get hosed don't look closely at their resume, and conveniently forget that a less-than-mediocre Tulsa team got in last year. If Gonzaga can get a 1-seed, an AAC team can. The conference can get a series of good seeds just like the peak CUSA did (not that this is what I wish UConn were in), but it needs a variety of good teams. If you add last years WSU in, the RPI's of all the teams rise because you're replacing a bad game with at least one good one.
For instance, I replaced one game against USF and one against ECU for Cincy (RPI 12 mind you) with two against WSU. Even though they won both the original games and I had them split with WSU, their RPI went up from 12 to 10. And there isn't a lot of room to improve.
UConn's RPI goes from 118 to 101 with replacing our ECU loss and an USF loss with
two Wichita State losses.
So imagine that effect spread throughout the conference? It's how some conferences (ACC) get overrated, but a team like WSU can help a good way to at least get the AAC RPI closer to its advanced metrics (where the conference looked better).
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*SMU was in if they weren't banned.