Great timely thread....
I think that Katie Lou, Pheesa and Crystal are locks... I also think that MW is a lock too because while not in spectacular fashion, she earned it. I think the last spot comes down to Kyla Irwin and Batouly Camara. Out of the gate and based on Geno's substitution pattern this past season I will go with Kyra Irwin getting the start. She is more consistent, understands the UConn sets both offensively and defensively better than Batouly. She can be a consistent foul line jumper threat and Geno will play more zone to cover up his weaknesses. Batouly will probably play somewhat similar minutes as Kyla and the last spot will be filled by the two of them. Meanwhile both CW and Ono will be brought along slowly so that by the end of the season...mid to end of February they will commanding more significant minutes. As far as breaking into the starting line-up...I do not see either CW replacing Crystal or Walker. I do see a possibility for Ono to crack the starting line-up but she will have to work hard, prove that she has bounced back from her injury and learn the UConn system, all of which are a daunting task for a freshmen. The only reason I give her a shot at cracking the starting line-up is because her talent / size are ahead of Kyla and Batouly, but I remain somewhat skeptical as to it actually happening.
So, with that being said: Here is my annual prediction as to scoring / rebounds per individual player....I have been fairly close in this exercise over the past half a dozen seasons. This exercise is interesting because it attempts to see where we get the points and rebounds lost by our graduating seniors/ transfers. A lot of people wonder where can we make up 41.4 points and 18.4 rebounds. Luckily with what we have returning and what we have coming in we can get pretty close to last years numbers while being fairly conservative in our estimated projections for next season. What is not apparent or ascertained in this exercise is what we lose on the defensive end with Azure and Gabby's blocking abilities, with Gabby's perimeter and around the basket defense and Kia's perimeter defense as well as what we lose by Kia and Gabby getting in the passing lanes disrupting passes, getting tips and steals. But, at least this gives us a glimpse into the offensive potential that we can expect.
2017-2018
Katie Lou...17.4 points.....4.5 Rebounds.....29.7 minutes
Napheesa...16.1 points.....7.4 Rebounds.....28.8 minutes
Dangerfield...... 9.5 points.....2.1 Rebounds.....28.7 minutes
Walker....5.8 points.....3.3 Rebounds.....15.5 minutes
Kyla....2.4 points.....1.3 Rebounds..9.4 minutes
Batouly....1.3 points......1.3 Rebounds..4.8 minutes
Combs......1.1 points---------.8 Rebounds..6.7 minutes
Molly Bent....1.0 points......1.2 Rebounds......7.5 minutes
Lexi Gordan----------.4 points----------.5 Rebounds......3.9 minutes
TOTALS: 96.4 points / 222.8 minutes (counts overtime minutes) / game; 40.8 rebound / 222.8 minutes (counts overtime minutes) / game
Minutes lost from: Azura, Gabby, Kia and Espinosa-Hunter = 80.8 minutes
Points lost from: Azura, Gabby, Kia and Espinosa-Hunter = 41.4
Rebounds lost from: Azura, Gabby, Kia and Espinosa-Hunter = 18.4
2018-2019
Katie Lou.......19 points.....5,0 rebounds.....32 minutes
Napheesa.......18 points.....8.0 rebounds....32 minutes
Dangerfield....12 points.....2.5 rebounds.....30 minutes
Walker.......14 points.....6.0 rebounds....28 minutes
Kyla........6 points.....3.0 rebounds.....17 minutes
Batouly........5 points......5.0 rebounds....17 minutes
Combs.........4 points......1.5 rebounds.....10 minutes
Molly Bent........2 points......1.5 rebounds.....10 minutes
Lexi Gordon.....4 points.......1.5 rebounds....10 minutes
Christyn Williams......5 points.......2.0 rebounds....15 minutes
Olivia Nelson-Ododa.6 points.......4.5 rebounds.....15 minutes
TOTALS: 95.0 points / 222.8 minutes (assuming the same overtime minutes) / game; 40.5 rebounds / 222.8 minutes (assuming the same overtime minutes) / game