the AAC is a dead conference walking. As soon as the next round of realignment happens, which will happen, UCF, USF, Houston, and/or Cinci are gone. This is a preemptive strike. We have games scheduled out against P5 teams and we will fill in the rest. In a few years, stuff will shuffle and we’ll be in the ACC.
I completely disagree. I know you might want to think of it that way but in reality the AAC is a solid conference. Basketball, Football, and Baseball. UConn simply was not able to be successful beyond WBB and baseball this year for a variety of reasons. But for Cinci, Houston, UCF, Memphis it's a good fit.
To be honest ESPN will miss the WBB TV ratings but the AAC and NBE will both get stronger with this move. A school like Liberty, UTSA, Rice, SoMiss will be a much better fit for them much like the NBE is a better fit for UConn, aside from football/baseball.
I used to share your opinion and believe that the AAC will lose a bunch more schools but there is nowhere for them to go. At best Cinci and Houston leave for the Big 12 but I think that is less and less likely. Nebraska made 54 million in TV money last year. OU made around 40. The folks in Norman and Lawrence are not going to allow the Huskers and Tigers to make 100+ million more than they do by choice the next decade. The gap has become too big to ignore.
What that means is the Big 12 is going to lose KU to the B1G, OU to the B1G or SEC, and as a result UT to the ACC (ESPN). ESPN won't let them go, they will make them an offer for indy FB with oly sports in the ACC keeping LHN with several FB games so they can claim superiority over aTm with a 60+ million pay day for TV.
At that poing the PAC is going to also grab a few schools in the Central time zone to help solve their issues and expand footprint. So I am really not sure if there will be a Big 12 left once everyone leaves.
AAC could easily survive that and possibly only lose 1 school (Houston to PAC). At that point they would be much stronger than the MW. One thing to keep an eye on is the MW TV deal. If Boise is not given special treatment or the payout is half the AAC I think they could be a West division for the AAC.
In teh end I think the AAC might have better chances of surviving than the Big 12. That has changed in the last year as I used to think the AAC would lose a few to the Big 12 but that simply is never going to happen when the B1G and SEC are making 50+ million per year on TV. Would be like OU, KU, and UT giving up hundreds of millions of dollars, which they won't do.