UConn projected 2.6 wins, rated 124th in Brad Powers’ 2021 CFB Power Rankings and Preview | Page 2 | The Boneyard

UConn projected 2.6 wins, rated 124th in Brad Powers’ 2021 CFB Power Rankings and Preview

I’m guessing some don’t know how to handle UConn in their models so it’s a best guess @ this early point in time (obviously some are closer to eventual reality than others, i.e. Clemson).

Even Bill Connelly is struggling in his 2021 SP+ projections w/ regards to UConn:

-> "A quick note: For the three FBS teams that canceled their fall seasons (Old Dominion, UConn and New Mexico State), I am using last year's preseason projections as a placeholder. After their rosters are updated this spring, and after I've had a chance to tinker with some different approaches, I'll produce more 2021-specific projections for the Monarchs, Huskies and Aggies in August." <-​
 
billybud said:
Since Vandy went 0 for 9 last year...not a brash call.
Expand ...
Pretty brash when 3 of those loses were by less than a touchdown to Texas &M, Mississippi State and Kentucky. UConn's last game in 2019 was a 32 point loss to Temple.
I know UConn has been winning practice every day, but I think other schools have been practicing also (and some even played games in 2020).
 
Anything better than 128 is a gift. Prognosticators have no 2020 data upon which to base any sort of opinion for UConn, ODU, and NMSU.

You know who should be ticked off? Akron, UTEP, UL-M, Bowling Green, and UMass. Poorly or not, they all played games last season.
 
Last edited:
Vandy did come within a TD of two teams who, themselves, had losing records...The Aggie game was the opener and an anomaly of sorts...3 Aggie fumbles and a penalty that caused a Safety...

The Commodores also lost to 3-7 Tennessee by 25
to 5-5 Mississippi by 33
to 2-8 S. Carolina by 33
to 5-5 LSU by 33

losing by 33 was a Vandy thing.
 
Looking at those lines.... I would say if there is anyone who would actually take your bet on those lines, there is money to be made. Those lines are based on how UConn played in 2019. They seem fair if you assume UConn is the same team now that it was in 2019.

I don't love Edsall...I think he struggles to evolve with the game....I get frustrated with his "kids are different today" whining....I think he is stubborn...I think he blames the players too much. He isn't media savvy or fan friendly. Yes the first few years of RE2.0 were horrendous...and it felt like he could have found a way to rebuild the team without making them one of the worst teams ever in FBS history.

But...he knows how to build a team (slowly). He recruits quality kids. He knows how to develop strong well conditioned players. He gets the most out of the players. His teams generally perform above expectations.

I truly believe the 2021 Huskies will be significantly better than they were in 2019. If the 2021 results happen according to those betting lines, he should be fired mid season. But I don't see that happening. Edsall may not be the coach to get UConn back into the top 25,, but I also don't think he is the coach who loses to Yale.
 
.-.
ShakyTheMohel said:
Looking at those lines.... I would say if there is anyone who would actually take your bet on those lines, there is money to be made. Those lines are based on how UConn played in 2019. They seem fair if you assume UConn is the same team now that it was in 2019.

I don't love Edsall...I think he struggles to evolve with the game....I get frustrated with his "kids are different today" whining....I think he is stubborn...I think he blames the players too much. He isn't media savvy or fan friendly. Yes the first few years of RE2.0 were horrendous...and it felt like he could have found a way to rebuild the team without making them one of the worst teams ever in FBS history.

But...he knows how to build a team (slowly). He recruits quality kids. He knows how to develop strong well conditioned players. He gets the most out of the players. His teams generally perform above expectations.

I truly believe the 2021 Huskies will be significantly better than they were in 2019. If the 2021 results happen according to those betting lines, he should be fired mid season. But I don't see that happening. Edsall may not be the coach to get UConn back into the top 25,, but I also don't think he is the coach who loses to Yale.
Expand ...
When Edsall was here the first time UConn was always a great bet... I think we might be at that point again in terms of covering spreads
 
I want the money line on that Fresno game.
 
people on here talking about “respect”?

this model is giving UConn too much respect, in my opinion.

I’d be shocked if UConn won more than two games.

as long as we don’t lose to Yale and Holy Cross - and we fire Edsall at some point - I’ll call this season a success and move on
 
We all know 2021 will result in the “Told You So’s”from either the haters-doubters or the apologists-eternally patient crowd. We don’t need a conference - all the tension is built right into our own fanbase.

As for prognosticators - anyone predicting more than 2 wins is out of their gourd considering we skipped 2020 and our what the world saw from us in 2018 and 2019. But I am referring to pro and objective prognosticators - which are very different from fan bases. Fans are supposed to have rosy ideas about the season. Fans are supposed to dream up scenarios for a better results. Scientific me says 2 to 3 wins, fan me says 5 to 6 wins, 7 would be a dreamboat. Four would be the murky middle.
 
Guapo said:
people on here talking about “respect”?

this model is giving UConn too much respect, in my opinion.

I’d be shocked if UConn won more than two games.

as long as we don’t lose to Yale and Holy Cross - and we fire Edsall at some point - I’ll call this season a success and move on
Expand ...
Please explain to the rest of us why you don't see any improvement in wins from 2 years ago.
 
.-.
Guapo said:
people on here talking about “respect”?

this model is giving UConn too much respect, in my opinion.

I’d be shocked if UConn won more than two games.

as long as we don’t lose to Yale and Holy Cross - and we fire Edsall at some point - I’ll call this season a success and move on
Expand ...
Seriously? Shocked if they won more than two games with that schedule?

You really are in a dark place with UConn football.
 
I see four wins and an opportunity to pick up a fifth....six wins would take pulling off a big upset vs the odds line.
 
ShakyTheMohel said:
Seriously? Shocked if they won more than two games with that schedule?

You really are in a dark place with UConn football.
Expand ...

What wins do you see other than Holy Cross and Yale?
 
.-.
Seems like expectations can't be fully set until after the HC game. At that point we should know if the team stinks or if they can be competitive in most other games. But seeing as they haven't played a real game in quite a while, no one can really know what to expect of them.

Everyone just needs to relax while we wait and see how things play out.
 
Guapo said:
What wins do you see other than Holy Cross and Yale?
Expand ...
You said "shocked" if they win more than two games....to me that means you consider every game other than Holy Cross and Yale to be unwinnable.

Again...here is the schedule...

@ Fresno +19
Holy Cross -2
@ Purdue +27
@ Army +22
Wyoming +17
@ Vanderbilt +10
@ UMass -5
Yale +4
MTSU +5
@ Clemson +54
@ UCF +32
Houston +20

Here are the games I would be "shocked" to see them win....Purdue, Clemson, UCF and Houston. Those are the only shocking wins.

Unlikely (or surprised) to beat Army, Vandy and Fresno. They have a legit shot against Wyoming and MTSU at home. They should beat UMass.

I get being pessimistic...but saying you would be "shocked" if they beat UMass (along with Holy Cross and Yale)...or even MTSU...seems a bit extreme.
 
ShakyTheMohel said:
You said "shocked" if they win more than two games....to me that means you consider every game other than Holy Cross and Yale to be unwinnable.

Again...here is the schedule...

@ Fresno +19
Holy Cross -2
@ Purdue +27
@ Army +22
Wyoming +17
@ Vanderbilt +10
@ UMass -5
Yale +4
MTSU +5
@ Clemson +54
@ UCF +32
Houston +20

Here are the games I would be "shocked" to see them win....Purdue, Clemson, UCF and Houston. Those are the only shocking wins.

Unlikely (or surprised) to beat Army, Vandy and Fresno. They have a legit shot against Wyoming and MTSU at home. They should beat UMass.

I get being pessimistic...but saying you would be "shocked" if they beat UMass (along with Holy Cross and Yale)...or even MTSU...seems a bit extreme.
Expand ...

The goal is to be 8-1 and see what happens in the last three games. In terms of tone setting, Frenso may be the biggest game in years.

Do I expect them to be 8-1 after 9 games, no. But an average squad should have a shot in all of them. Winning any of the last three would be a sure sign of progress.

That said I'd rather be 5-4 than 4-5, as the former means every game this season would be meaningful. That in itself would be a huge step. Sitting at 4 or fewer wins would be an early end to the season. Decidedly, not a step forward and would require a long discussion on the state of the program.
 
Last edited:
If the FB team wins three games or less in 2021, goodbye to Randy Edsall, his son, and UConn does whatever it can to avoid the likely pressures to bring the team down to FCS. The next coach has to be believe in winning, excellence, and not providing excuses.
 
.-.
Guapo said:
people on here talking about “respect”?

this model is giving UConn too much respect, in my opinion.

I’d be shocked if UConn won more than two games.

as long as we don’t lose to Yale and Holy Cross - and we fire Edsall at some point - I’ll call this season a success and move on
Expand ...
If we beat Holy Cross and Yale do we have a shot at the FCS Playoffs?
 
Yeah, I'm just going to say it. UConn Football just depresses me right now. No games in a over a year. No evidence of material development just a few Randyisms. Don't get me wrong, I'll get my mind right by the start of the season, but I'm just not feeling it right now.

[shrugs]
 
CCSUblue said:
Seems like expectations can't be fully set until after the HC game. At that point we should know if the team stinks or if they can be competitive in most other games. But seeing as they haven't played a real game in quite a while, no one can really know what to expect of them.

Everyone just needs to relax while we wait and see how things play out.
Expand ...
That is where I am. I'm sure we have improved, just because we will be two years more mature. But are our personnel just more jacked-up versions of mediocre-at-this-level players? My gut tells me no, there was potential there that needed to grow up. However, we won't really know until the first game, not before.
 
plain and simple, our players MUST gel into brothers and be willing to go to war in all 12 battles for one another... At this point (with the probably much needed time to grow) that's what this is all about. Ill preparedness, mediocrity, fading at the end of games can't be tolerated....

I think we've truly truly "circled the wagons" and you'll see a much much improved product on the field... I refuse to see/believe it being any worse than where we've been lately... Upward we go...

Here's looking forward to seeing this team shut a whole lot of us up... (Doubt kills)...
 
.-.
You must log in or register to reply here.

Forum statistics

Threads
168,299
Messages
4,562,009
Members
10,453
Latest member
Storytory


Top Bottom