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UCF has got this.
LSU isn't as good on offense as half the AAC, and they have liabilities defensively. Greedy Williams in particular is an awful player that has gotten scorched by good receivers all year - UCF needs to target himm
I know that there are still contractual obligations with certain bowls for certain conferences; but, the fact that #8, undefeated and conference champion UCF is assigned to the Fiesta Bowl against #11 LSU who has 3 loses and came in 3rd in their division (not conference) says a lot. Its fear. Because if UCF beats LSU, then P5 mouthpieces will remind everyone that LSU lost 3 games, got shut-out by Alabama, almost lost to lowly Arkansas, and forgot how to play defense against A&M for the reason that UCF is still not good enough to be in the playoffs.
Now, if they wanted UCF to finally prove themselves on the field (winning isn't the issues here, it's the money), UCF would be playing Georgia in the Fiesta or Peach Bowl with Florida or LSU taking Georgia's spot to play a Texas team with 4 losses. That would have matched-up 2 of the next 3 highest ranked teams as the B1G is contractually required to send their best team, Ohio St, to the Rose Bowl unless that team is selected for the playoffs. The problem here for the P5 is that they have already stated that Georgia should have been in the playoffs because they just lost to #1 Alabama, while fogetting that LSU trashed the Dawgs. So, if UCF beat Georgia, what would have been the excuse not to have them in the playoffs? That was a question to be avoided at all costs.