It also depends on whether the Big 12 goes with 8 or 9 conference games. I have a strong suspicion that the Playoff Structure will encourage aggressive non-conference scheduling, like it does in hoops, and TV loves inter-conference games. The ACC is locked into 9 games, but if the Big 12 goes with 8, but with a guarantee of quality OOC matchups, you could see the equivalent of an extra home game for FSU every 3 or 4 years by being in the Big 12.
Today from vetted southern football site "out kick the coverage." First 3 points of the fsu/big12 money trail have been discussed at length
"But here's the kicker that no one is talking about:
4. The redistributed playoff share will be much more substantial for Florida State in the Big 12.
Assume that the ACC would rarely have a team qualify for the playoff. And if it did qualify that money would be split 14 ways. Now assume that the Big 12 with Florida State -- and Miami or Clemson -- along with Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and Texas would qualify just about every year. Plus, and this is key, that the Big 12 would have a good chance of occasionally getting two teams.
That money would then be split just 12 ways.
We're talking about tremendous amounts of playoff money.
At a bare minimum a playoff will sell for $500 million a year.
Right now payouts for teams advancing to a BCS bowl are around $18 million.
Plan on that at least doubling to $36 million per team. (The real battle will be over how much a second team gets. Right now that's capped at a lower figure. Let's assume that's half.)
So advancing two teams to the playoff could end up worth around a bare minimum of $54 million to a conference. Divided twelve ways that's an additional $3-$5 million a year in playoff money.
At minimum.
It could be much higher than that.
So you're talking about $15 million more a year for Florida State in the Big 12.
Suddenly that exit fee doesn't seem like such a big deal, does it?
In light of the SEC -- Big 12 alliance today and these numbers above, I really think FSU is headed to the Big 12."