What an original opinion that definitely hasn’t been posted 1000 times by other idiots. Maybe we’d look better in the predictive metrics if we hadn’t played a bunch of games at a level that had even a large percentage of this board questioning how good we are. We’re also ranked way above all those teams in WAB which, and you’re not going to believe this, also counts as math.
I guess Miami OH is the best team in the country? They're just winning after all.
Yeah the narrative changed drastically when Duke beat Michigan and they have the clear path to the #1 overall. I don’t think we will drop below the “best 2 seed” unless we lose to Marquette and then on the Thursday of the BET. In other words, we’re not gonna be in the East.
2 in the East w/Duke vs 1 in the South w/Florida is an interesting argument. Let's not forget Florida played Duke down to the wire in Cameron this year.
It’s for the South, so slots 4 & 5 on S-curve. Marginal opponent difference in each round. The 1 vs. the 2 is the same, marginal.
I agree it’s a coin flip regarding which is a better match up. I just don’t think there’s any way we’re in the East unless we go 0-2 in next 2. And even then, probably still the best 2 seed. Never know.
The only path is Florida winning out and winning the SECT, which gives them another 3 Q1A wins and a Q1. Q1A at Kentucky (.72), Q1 n-Kentucky (.57), Q1A n-Tennessee (.73), (Q1A n-Alabama (.71) or Q1A n-Arkansas (.67)).
@auror if Florida wins out, what would UConn's "magic number" be in your opinion to clinch the last 1 seed.
A loss to anyone not named Villanova or St John’s would probably mean a #2 seed. In the same region. As Florida.
Florida is nicely set up, as they are a superior team in a conference full of second rate Q1 teams. I'd expect them to win out. They have the one remaining game against Miss St at home, then @ UK.
Per the graphic from the show, Florida has 1 more Quad 1 win than UConn, but took them 4 more games to do it.
One reason is that you can have a Iowa State, Houston, and/or Michigan State as a 3. Not an easy 16 game. I think the 4 seeds are noticeably weaker than the 3 seeds.
Always nice to get a 1 for notoriety. Affords the presumed easiest path to the F4.
Big question is how the Committee handles the seeding. Last year, the 1 seeds sounded like they were locked in before the conference tournaments. If they do that, I think you see UConn as the likely 1 unless they are upset by Marquette. If they want to hold out the last 1 seed to see how the tournaments go that's their call, but based on last year they looked at the entire season, and although I think Florida is a great team, the did not have any big Non-Conference wins and get beat head up by UConn.
In that scenario, being a 1 is huge cause you really want to avoid having to play Iowa State, Illinois, and Purdue as 3 seeds. Having to win those games and then play the 1 is not easy.
The I would assume they do is this - they would have Florida/Uconn set for the same region, and have their hypothetical play out based on how each performs in their conference tourney. Uconn wins out, they are 1 in the south, Florida 2 in the south, Uconn trips up and they flip. That is my assumption.
Didn't you think UConn was a safely a 1 seed as of last night? Not surprised you are flip flopping.
The South according to this 1-14 would be Gonzaga.
