I'm torn on whether Uconn gets to the final and loses, and Florida runs it, whether Uconn keeps it. Florida is going to have 4 wins against tourney teams, which would be to our 0, from here on out. That is material. I didn't play out their SECT run last night.
Pending Arizona/Duke/Michigan games, we are the 4th 1 and relegated to the South as the #4 1 seed.
How the committee might look at it (in a pairwise fashion):
It's fun to speculate about, and it's good for bragging rights and historical counting stats.
I have to imagine that Tech is going to be on the 3-line. Their top end wins beat most others.
Cal gave his team no chance to win. Track meet with 7 players. He absolutely has no game plan
Wish I could love this post @tzznandrew. This is why I think it's huge to get on the 1 line.
Why does it have to be easy?
I understand if they do that, but then who cares about the Non-Conference. There has to be some consistency, and last year the Committee talked about the importance of Non-Conference games and teams like UConn scheduled accordingly. Not UConn's fault the Big East is not as good as the SEC (but the SEC is not that great this year), and they beat Florida. I just don't see how winning the conference tournament should matter in the end based on last year. Don't get me wrong, I see your point and you play who you play, but that would seem inconsistent with everything they said last year.
No one said it has to be easy. You play who you play, but if you polled coaches and asked would you rather play Houston or Nebraska in the 16s, every single one of them would say Nebraska.
The sec does not have really good second team. Florida is beating inferior teams so not picking much imo. Arkansas and Alabama severely flawed. It will be interesting to see how they handle a close game against the big boys. I suspect they will choke similar to duke last year. Right now st johns would be second best in sec.
All 5 of Houston’s losses have been to top NET 20 teams. I could see them getting a 2 but getting shipped out of the South.
No way
If you polled coaches in 1999 and asked "would you rather play Stanford or Gonzaga in the regional final" what would the answer have been? I will go to my grave believing we would have beaten Stanford comfortably. Gonzaga ended up giving us fits for the entirety of the game.
Agreed. That would really be penal to the 2 seed and the 1 for that matter to have 3 seed potentially getting 2 home games. Seems Houston may likely be a 2 and get shipped out to another region.
They have some ridiculous wins this year - credit that coach. Yesterday's dominating win seemed so improbable. It makes you wonder if they had Toppin if they could have been in that contender box.
So much more data and information out these days to assess/evaluate and understand opponents and match ups. Match ups are everything.
That I agree with. In the end you have to beat good teams, don't get me wrong. But I still think, especially with UConn likely being in the South, you would prefer to be the 1 seed rather than the 2.
Yes, there is far more data available, but I doubt it would have changed any of the seeds in prior tournaments that I referenced if the data had been then.
They shouldn’t but they will. It’ll be a make up for last year when they had to play 4 seed Purdue in Indianapolis
They didn't make an 11 seed play us in DC, the 11 seed earned it. The 2 seed was Tennessee, the 3 seed was UNC, and the 4/5 was Washington/Illinois. Other than UNC, UConn would have the clear home court against any of them.
The only one there that really matters is Cuse; that’s a tough draw for OKST.
This is revisionist. Uconn and purdue were viewed as the best two teams. They were. And Uconn was a lot better.
www.cbssports.com
Yeah we should definitely keep in mind that the Florida winning out scenario is a minority outcome, KenPom puts it like 30% or so (and that's only giving 20% chance to Kentucky, which you seem to think is higher, and I probably agree).