The lowest win% yesterday was 5.1% for PC with around 3 or 4 minutes left and was up to 20% with 2 minutes left. So it was low but not as low as you're claiming. I think the luck statistic is just horribly named, that's really what it means. When you're consistently winning close games all year that's a clutch team, not a lucky team
But you would certainly admit that "actual record doesn't matter" in other contexts. Wagner only has 3 losses. Do you accuse KenPom of criminally underrating them at 130? You question KenPom's usefulness, but imply that a list of D1 teams sorted by win percentage would somehow be useful. No one says any metric is perfect, but in a 350+ team league where most teams don't play each other, you have to look far beyond the win percentage to have any hope at comparing the teams.
But people keep saying Martin was 1/2 a player that game. Why don’t they mention Bynum was 1/2 a player??? He had missed the previous 4 games. Only 1 player was rusty, not both. Oh, it’s because Martin is so good, and Bynum stinks. He was only BE player of the week 2 weeks in a row, and PC’s best player the last month.
Bynum being less than 100% didn’t matter as much.m, because they weren’t missing their best player
I thought Cole played. I will have to rewatch the game I guess.
bracketologists.com
bracketologists.com
I’ve never thought of that, it’s definitely food for thought. No matter what though Howard needed to stick his hands in pockets at end of day.
LolI just realized that I’m debating this with someone who thinks
Team A:
Providence Friars Nitty Gritty at Bracketologists
Has a less impressive resume than team B:
UConn Huskies Nitty Gritty at Bracketologists
Because KenPom told him so.
Yeah that’s not at all about Howard, he should be suspended for the rest of the year. However, I have seen multiple games this year when walkons would normally get minutes and they remain glued to the bench. I don’t have any other reason to explain it.
That's a good question, I'll say no since I think most metrics weed out garbage time stats for that reason. But I think it 100% affects coaching in the 5-10 minute range where the end of bench guys would be playing actual minutes instead of just garbage time with the walk ons
Point differential is not weeded out though.
I could be wrong but I thought it was. I thought once a game was analytically finally they stopped looking. And now after typing that I'm going to say no coach is aware of all that and is playing until the end for the maximum point differential
You don't seem to understand statistics. PC was down 19 yesterday: there's a very low percentage chance of winning those games regularly. Good on PC to do that. It shows a really plucky and gritty team.
I do not want this, but what if UConn plays and loses to PC in the BET, and gets a higher seed in the Big Dance. Would be fun to listen to the whining.
You mean you're not what your record says you are now? I'm so confused.
That would almost certainly negate my point and give PC the higher seed. But, I guess I'm thinking they come down to their metrics.
Your last sentence shows why it is pointless that we've spent 4 pages arguing this. PC has big games to play. UConn has big games to play. They both have BET games to play. If either of them win that tournament they are getting a very low seed.
Guess I could've phrased that better. Their record is 22-3 and nothing is ever going to take that away from them, well except for maybe an NCAA scandal of some kind. They don't pass the 22-3 "eye test" though. Less confused now?
Providence fans in late February
