whaler11
Head Happy Hour Coach
- Joined
- Aug 27, 2011
- Messages
- 44,364
- Reaction Score
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Fairly safe to toss the 2 loss teams out at least for now.
12 teams with 0 or 1 loss.
Toss out Duke, Colorado State and Marshall. Too far behind in poll.
Leaves 9 real candidates:
5 to me are locks if they win out they are in:
Miss St, Alabama, FSU, Oregon, TCU
Arizona State if they win out I'd say they are going to get in.
Ohio State and Nebraska are in trouble. Nebraska has almost no shot of being 12-1 anyway but even if they pulled it off they look screwed.
Baylor is at least 95% out unless TCU loses.
If you are a fan of anyone besides Florida State - FSU @ Miami might be your last shot at salvation. Unless someone finally just puts Winston in jail.
Your max number of p5 1 loss teams or better is 8by my calc:
Miss St, Alabama, Baylor, TCU, FSU, Duke, Pac12, Big 10.
I think if you get 7 teams with one loss or better you get: Bama, Miss St, Pac 12 winner, TCU.
12 teams with 0 or 1 loss.
Toss out Duke, Colorado State and Marshall. Too far behind in poll.
Leaves 9 real candidates:
5 to me are locks if they win out they are in:
Miss St, Alabama, FSU, Oregon, TCU
Arizona State if they win out I'd say they are going to get in.
Ohio State and Nebraska are in trouble. Nebraska has almost no shot of being 12-1 anyway but even if they pulled it off they look screwed.
Baylor is at least 95% out unless TCU loses.
If you are a fan of anyone besides Florida State - FSU @ Miami might be your last shot at salvation. Unless someone finally just puts Winston in jail.
Your max number of p5 1 loss teams or better is 8by my calc:
Miss St, Alabama, Baylor, TCU, FSU, Duke, Pac12, Big 10.
I think if you get 7 teams with one loss or better you get: Bama, Miss St, Pac 12 winner, TCU.