Playoff Bracket

Vowelguy · Oct 5, 2024

Mich, Mizzou, Tenn out
Ole Miss in and likely LSU and ND

Barring an epic comeback Miami out replaced by Clemson

Bama likely drops to only 6

Vowelguy · Oct 6, 2024

After Week 6
Tex back at #1
Mo, Mich out replaced by return of Miss & Clem

8 Tenn @ 7 Bama // 1 Texas SUG
17 Boise @ 3 Ore // 11 IaSt FIE
10 Clem @ 4 PnSt // 6 Mia PCH
9 Miss @ 5 Ga // 2 OhSt ROS

Bubble
AtL: 11 ND, 13 LSU, 15 TAMU, 18 Ind, 18 Okla
B12: 14 BYU, 16 Ut, 18 KSt
ACC: 22 Pitt, 25 SMU
G5: Navy, Army

Next Week
2 Oh St @ 3 Ore
1 Tex v 18 Okla
9 Miss @ 13 LSU
4 PnSt @ USC
11 IaSt @ WV
Ariz @ 14 BYU

6 Mia, 15 TAMU, 16 Ut, 18 Ind IDLE

Purple Stein · Oct 9, 2024

Vowelguy said:
After Week 6
Tex back at #1
Mo, Mich out replaced by return of Miss & Clem

8 Tenn @ 7 Bama // 1 Texas SUG
17 Boise @ 3 Ore // 11 IaSt FIE
10 Clem @ 4 PnSt // 6 Mia PCH
9 Miss @ 5 Ga // 2 OhSt ROS

Bubble
AtL: 11 ND, 13 LSU, 15 TAMU, 18 Ind, 18 Okla
B12: 14 BYU, 16 Ut, 18 KSt
ACC: 22 Pitt, 25 SMU
G5: Navy, Army

Next Week
2 Oh St @ 3 Ore
1 Tex v 18 Okla
9 Miss @ 13 LSU
4 PnSt @ USC
11 IaSt @ WV
Ariz @ 14 BYU

6 Mia, 15 TAMU, 16 Ut, 18 Ind IDLE

Simmed out the Week 6 bracket!

Round One
7. Alabama 21 8. Tennessee 17
3. Oregon 35 17. Boise State 23
4. Penn St 22 10. Clemson 7
5. Georgia 51 9. Mississippi 14

Quarterfinals
1. Texas 35 7. Alabama 24
3. Oregon 31 11. Iowa St 17
6. Miami 51 4. Penn St 24
2. Ohio St 38 5. Georgia 17

Semifinals
3. Oregon 38 1. Texas 9
2 Ohio St 61 6. Miami 38

Championship
3. Oregon 19 2. Ohio St 16

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)

3 weeks, 3 different teams in the finals. Good parity!

Vowelguy · Oct 9, 2024

Purple Stein said:
3 weeks, 3 different teams in the finals. Good parity!

Or a janky model?

Purple Stein · Oct 9, 2024

Here are the standings of these sims, henceforth to be known as the "Vowelguy Rankings":

Week 6 Vowelguy Top 15

	Team	W	L	PCT
1	Georgia	7	2	0.777777777777778
2	PSU	5	3	0.625
3	Oregon	4	2	0.666666666666667
4	Texas	4	2	0.666666666666667
5	Boise St	3	3	0.5
6	Tennessee	3	3	0.5
7	Ohio State	3	3	0.5
8	Alabama	2	3	0.4
9	Mississippi	1	2	0.333333333333333
10	Miami	1	3	0.25
11	Missouri	0	2	0
12	Iowa State	0	2	0
13	Michigan	0	1	0
14	Utah	0	1	0
15	Clemson	0	1	0

Vowelguy · Oct 9, 2024

Purple Stein said:
Here are the standings of these sims, henceforth to be known as the "Vowelguy Rankings":

Week 6 Vowelguy Top 15

Team
W
L
PCT
1
Georgia
7
2
0.777777777777778
2
PSU
5
3
0.625

Clearly your model is not familiar with James Franklin's ouevre

Purple Stein · Oct 19, 2024

We missed Week 7! Here's how the matchups would have shaken out:

5. Georgia/15. Boise State ----> 9. Iowa State
8. LSU/4. Ohio State -----> 1. Texas
7. Alabama/10. Clemson ------> 2. Oregon
11. Tennessee/3. Penn State ---->6. Miami

And here's the sim!
15. Boise St 45 5. Georgia 10
4. Ohio State 37 8. LSU 24
7. Alabama 62 10. Clemson 24
3. Penn State 41 11. Tennessee 34

Quarterfinals
9. Iowa State 31 15. Boise State 13
1. Texas 27 4. Ohio State 23
2. Oregon 41 7. Alabama 31
6. Miami 33 3. Penn State 13

Semifinals
1. Texas 28 9. Iowa State 20
6. Miami 38 2. Oregon 20

Championship
6. Miami 36 1. Texas 30

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)
Week 7: Miami 36 Texas 30 (Miami 1 Championship)

4 weeks, 4 champions -- Texas is the only team to appear in two championship games.

Purple Stein · Oct 19, 2024

Week 7 Vowelguy Top 16

	Team	W	L	PCT	Total
1	Georgia	7	3	0.7	10
2	Texas	6	3	0.666666666666667	9
3	Oregon	5	3	0.625	8
4	PSU	6	4	0.6	10
5	Miami	4	3	0.571428571428571	7
6	Boise St	4	4	0.5	8
7	Ohio State	4	4	0.5	8
8	Tennessee	3	4	0.428571428571429	7
9	Alabama	3	4	0.428571428571429	7
10	Mississippi	1	2	0.333333333333333	3
11	Iowa State	1	3	0.25	4
12	Michigan	0	1	0	1
13	Utah	0	1	0	1
14	LSU	0	1	0	1
15	Missouri	0	2	0	2
16	Clemson	0	2	0	2

Only movement is the top 5 is Miami climbing in and Boise State falling out.

Vowelguy · Oct 19, 2024

Purple Stein said:
We missed Week 7! Here's how the matchups would have shaken out:

5. Georgia/15. Boise State ----> 9. Iowa State
8. LSU/4. Ohio State -----> 1. Texas
7. Alabama/10. Clemson ------> 2. Oregon
11. Tennessee/3. Penn State ---->6. Miami

Thanks, Sorry but that’s not the bracket this week. It would be:

8 LSU @ 7 Ala // 1 Tex
Boise @ 3 PennSt // 9 iowast
11 Tenn @ 4 Ohiost // 6 miami
10 Clem @ 5 Ga // 2 oregon

Vowelguy · Oct 20, 2024

After Week 8
ACC & B12 now have 2 teams in
SEC down to 4 & BiG to 3

8 LSU @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore ROS
17 Bois @ 3 PnSt // 10 IaSt FIE
11 BYU @ 4 OhSt // 6 Mia PCH
9 Clem @ 5 Tex // 2 Ga SUG

Bubble
Atl: 12 ND, 13 Ind, 14 TAMU, 15 Bama
B12: 16 KSt
ACC: 19 Pitt
G5: 23 Army, 24 Navy

Vowelguy · Oct 20, 2024

Thru 9 brackets

A = 1st round bye
B = 1st round host
C = bottom 4

OhioSt 7A - 2B - 0C = 9 total (out of 9)
Geor 4-5-0=9
Texa 4-5-0=9
Oreg 2-3-4=9
PnSt 0-3-6=9

Miam 8-0-0=8
Bama 1-7-0=8

Tenn 0-4-3=7
Bois 0-0-7=7

OlMs 0-5-1=6
Utah 5-0-0=5
Mizz 0-1-4=5
IaSt 4-0-0=4
Clem 0-0-3=3
NDme 0-1-1=2
L SU 0-0-2=2
Mich 0-0-2=2
NIll 0-0-2=2
FlSt 1-0-0=1
B YU 0-0-1=1

Purple Stein · Oct 23, 2024

Here is the Week 8 sim!

Round One
7. Tennessee 52 8. LSU 24
17. Boise St 30 3. Penn St 17
4. Ohio St 37 11. BYU 20
5. Texas 42 9. Clemson 21

Quarterfinals
1. Oregon 45 7. Tennessee 23
17. Boise St 38 10. Iowa St 28
4. Ohio State 43 6. Miami 38
5. Texas 35 2. Georgia 30

Semifinals
17. Boise St 34 1. Oregon 27
4. Ohio St 38 5. Texas 31

Championship
4. Ohio St 49 17. Boise St 16

The sim continues to love Potato U!

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)
Week 7: Miami 36 Texas 30 (Miami 1 Championship)
Week 8: Ohio St 49 Boise State 16

5 weeks, 5 champions -- Texas, Ohio State, and Boise State are the only teams to appear in two championship games.

Purple Stein · Oct 23, 2024

Week 8 Vowelguy Top 17

1	Ohio State	8	4	0.666666666666667
2	Georgia	7	4	0.636363636363636
3	Texas	8	5	0.615384615384615
4	Oregon	6	4	0.6
5	Boise St	7	5	0.583333333333333
6	PSU	6	5	0.545454545454545
7	Miami	4	4	0.5
8	Tennessee	4	5	0.444444444444444
9	Alabama	3	4	0.428571428571429
10	Mississippi	1	2	0.333333333333333
11	Iowa State	1	4	0.2
12	Michigan	0	1	0
13	Utah	0	1	0
14	BYU	0	1	0
15	LSU	0	2	0
16	Missouri	0	2	0
17	Clemson	0	3	0

Ohio State is your new number 1 - Boise is back in the top 5!

Vowelguy · Oct 27, 2024

After Week 9
BYU moves ahead of IaSt for bye
ND returns, TAMU enters

8 ND @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore ROS
15 Bois @ 3 PnSt // 9 BYU FIE
11 Clem @ 4 OhSt // 5 Mia PCH
10 TAMU @ 6 Tex // 2 Ga SUG

Bubble
Atl: 11 IaSt, 13 Ind, 14 Bama, 16 LSU
B12: 17 KSt, 23 Col
ACC: 18 Pitt, 20 Miss
G5: 21 Army, 27 Memp, 28 Tul, 29 Navy

==================

A = 1st round bye
B = 1st round host
C = bottom 4

OhSt 7-3-0=10 total (out of 10)
Geor 5-5-0=10
Texa 4-6-0=10
Oreg 3-3-4=10
PnSt 0-4-6=10

Miam 9-0-0=9

Bama 1-7-0=8
Tenn 0-5-3=8
Bois 0-0-8=8

OlMs 0-5-1=6
Utah 5-0-0=5
Mizz 0-1-4=5
IaSt 4-0-0=4
Clem 0-0-4=4
NDme 0-1-2=3
B YU 1-0-1=2
L SU 0-0-2=2
Mich 0-0-2=2
NIll 0-0-2=2
FlSt 1-0-0=1
TAMU 0-0-1=1

Purple Stein · Nov 3, 2024

Almost missed the Week 9 sim!

Round One
7. Tennessee 35 8. Notre Dame 10
3. Penn State 37 15. Boise State 20
4. Ohio St 61 11. Clemson 21
10. Texas A&M 21 2. Texas 17

Quarterfinals
1. Oregon 30 7. Tennessee 10
3. Penn St 48 9. BYU 7
4. Ohio St 41 5. Miami 23
2. Georgia 17 10. Texas A&M 13

Semifinals
1. Oregon 35 3. Penn St 27
2. Georgia 44 4. Ohio St 40

Championship
1. Oregon 42 2. Georgia 26

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)
Week 7: Miami 36 Texas 30 (Miami 1 Championship)
Week 8: Ohio St 49 Boise State 16 (Ohio State 1 Championship)
Week 9: Oregon 49 Georgia 26 (Oregon 2 Championships)

Oregon is the only team to win 2 championships
Oregon, Georgia, Texas, Ohio State, and Boise State have all appeared in two championship games.

Purple Stein · Nov 3, 2024

And your Vowelguy top 19 -- Oregon is your new number one!

1	Oregon	9	4	0.692307692307692
2	Ohio State	10	5	0.666666666666667
3	Georgia	9	5	0.642857142857143
4	Texas	8	6	0.571428571428571
5	PSU	8	6	0.571428571428571
6	Boise St	7	6	0.538461538461538
7	Texas A&M	1	1	0.5
8	Tennessee	5	6	0.454545454545455
9	Miami	4	5	0.444444444444444
10	Alabama	3	4	0.428571428571429
11	Mississippi	1	2	0.333333333333333
12	Iowa State	1	4	0.2
13	Michigan	0	1	0
14	Utah	0	1	0
15	Notre Dame	0	1	0
16	BYU	0	2	0
17	LSU	0	2	0
18	Missouri	0	2	0
19	Clemson	0	4	0

Vowelguy · Nov 3, 2024

Clem, TAMU out
Indi and 2-loss Bama in
4 SEC, 4 BiG

The B12 better hope BYU doesn’t lose, or Boise could steal the final bye.

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 3 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 2 Ga — SUG

Of course everything changes when we get the CFP rankings on Tuesday.

Vowelguy · Nov 6, 2024

Vowelguy said:
Clem, TAMU out
Indi and 2-loss Bama in
4 SEC, 4 BiG

The B12 better hope BYU doesn’t lose, or Boise could steal the final bye.

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 3 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 2 Ga — SUG

Of course everything changes when we get the CFP rankings on Tuesday.

CFP Rankings remarkably consistent with AP (only OSU/Ga flipped, which doesn’t affect bracket)

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 2 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 3 Ga — SUG

DoctorWho85 · Nov 7, 2024

Vowelguy said:
CFP Rankings remarkably consistent with AP (only OSU/Ga flipped, which doesn’t affect bracket)

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 2 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 3 Ga — SUG

That should be a fun playoff

Redding Husky · Nov 7, 2024

An ESPN show last weekend had SMU at #13, the first team out (after they thrashed Pitt).

Patman · Nov 7, 2024

I've been running what I assume is the old Massey model with a modification. On that so far the SEC is getting overrated. But I don't think any yelling on my part would change it

If I ranked it straight the 5th aq would be georgia.

Purple Stein · Nov 9, 2024

The Week 10 Sim!

First Round
8. Indiana 37 7. Tennessee 17
2. Ohio St 42 12. Boise State 31
11. Alabama 34 5. Texas 0
6. Penn St 40 10 ND 3

Quarterfinals
1. Oregon 42 8. Indiana 37
2. Ohio St 24 9. BYU 13
4. Miami 38 11. Alabama 34
3. Georgia 26 6. Penn St 13

Semifinals
2. Ohio State 42 1. Oregon 24
4. Miami 37 3. Georgia 30 (OT)

Championship
4. Miami 48 2. Ohio St 34

Indiana with an impressive debut, but it’s Miami winning its second title!

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)
Week 7: Miami 36 Texas 30 (Miami 1 Championship)
Week 8: Ohio St 49 Boise State 16 (Ohio State 1 Championship)
Week 9: Oregon 49 Georgia 26 (Oregon 2 Championships)
Week 10: Miami 48 Ohio State 34 (Miami 2 Championships)

Oregon and Miami are the only teams to win 2 championships.
Ohio State has appeared in 3 championship games.
Oregon, Georgia, Texas, Miami, and Boise State have all appeared in two championship games.

Purple Stein · Nov 9, 2024

And your new Vowelguy rankings. Ohio State takes over at number one, Miami surges into the top 5, and Indiana debuts at 8.

Vowelguy Top 20

1	Ohio State	13	6	0.68421052631579
2	Oregon	10	5	0.666666666666667
3	Georgia	10	6	0.625
4	Miami	7	5	0.583333333333333
5	PSU	9	7	0.5625
6	Texas	8	7	0.533333333333333
7	Texas A&M	1	1	0.5
8	Indiana	1	1	0.5
9	Boise St	7	7	0.5
10	Alabama	4	5	0.444444444444444
11	Tennessee	5	7	0.416666666666667
12	Mississippi	1	2	0.333333333333333
13	Iowa State	1	4	0.2
14	Michigan	0	1	0
15	Utah	0	1	0
16	Notre Dame	0	2	0
17	LSU	0	2	0
18	Missouri	0	2	0
19	BYU	0	3	0
20	Clemson	0	4	0

Vowelguy · Nov 9, 2024

Vowelguy said:
CFP Rankings remarkably consistent with AP (only OSU/Ga flipped, which doesn’t affect bracket)

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 2 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 3 Ga — SUG

1 Ore v Md
2 OhioSt def Pur 45-0
3 Ga LOST @ 16 OleMiss 28-10
4 Mia LOST @ GaTech 28-23
5 Texas def Fla 49-17
6 PennSt v Wash
7 Tenn v MissSt
8 Indi W Mich 20-15
9 BYU @ Utah
10 NDame v FlaSt
11 Bama @ 15 LSU
12 Boise v Nevada
13 SMU idle
14 TAMU idle
15 LSU v 11 Bama
16 OleMiss W 3 Ga 28-10
17 IowaSt LOST @ Kansas 45-36
18 Pitt v UVa
19 KanSt idle
20 Colorado W @ TexTech 41-27

Vowelguy · Nov 9, 2024

Ore - OhSt - Tex are the clear top 3. No idea who they're going to put 4th.

huskymedic · Nov 10, 2024

Vowelguy · Nov 10, 2024

If the AP poll were used it’d be
8 ND @ 6 Tenn / 1 Ore
14 SMU @ 2 OhSt / 13 Bois
10 OMiss @ 4 PnSt / 7 BYU
9 Ala @ 5 Ind / 3 Tex

Kolumbo · Nov 12, 2024

A current CFP projection has 4 each from Big 10 and SEC. #10 Ole Miss is the highest ranked team to be left out due to Boise State at 13. Notre Dame at 8 takes a spot. Indiana is the surprise this year. If not for Notre Dame, SEC would have 5. A few years of this and the P2 will eventually find a way to get it all.

Big 10	SEC	Big 12	ACC	Indie	G5
2 Ohio State	9 Alabama	7 BYU	12 Miami	8 ND	13 Boise State
1 Oregon	11 Georgia
4 Penn State	3 Texas
5 Indiana	6 Tennessee

Kolumbo · Nov 12, 2024

Vowelguy said:
Ore - OhSt - Tex are the clear top 3. No idea who they're going to put 4th.

If you are talking about the top 4 seeds, "The four highest-ranked conference champions will be seeded one through four and will receive a first-round bye."

About the 12-Team College Football Playoff Format

collegefootballplayoff.com

Vowelguy · Nov 12, 2024

Kolumbo said:
If you are talking about the top 4 seeds, "The four highest-ranked conference champions will be seeded one through four and will receive a first-round bye."

About the 12-Team College Football Playoff Format

About the 12-Team College Football Playoff Format

collegefootballplayoff.com

No I was talking about who is going to be ranked 4th.

Of course I know the rule, have you not been paying attention to this thread?

Playoff Bracket

I like to sim things.

I like to sim things.

I like to sim things.

I like to sim things.

I like to sim things.

I like to sim things.

I like to sim things.

I like to sim things.

UConn ‘84 SMU ‘93

I like to sim things.

I like to sim things.

Forum statistics