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Playoff Bracket

Purple Stein

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Here's a sim of that Week 5 bracket:

7 Penn State 38
6 Oregon 31
21 Boise St 34 2 Texas 21
4 Tenn 27 10 Michigan 3
5 Georgia 25 9 Missouri 6

1 Alabama 35 7 Penn St 14
21 Boise St 38 16 Iowa St 27
4 Tenn 41 8 Miami 10
5 Georgia 34 3 Ohio State 20

21 Boise St 41 1 Alabama 27
5 Georgia 37 4 Tenn 23

5 Georgia 33 21 Boise St 27

The sim loves Potato U!

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
 
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Here's a sim of that Week 5 bracket:

7 Penn State 38 6 Oregon 31
21 Boise St 34 2 Texas 21
4 Tenn 27 10 Michigan 3
5 Georgia 25 9 Missouri 6

1 Alabama 35 7 Penn St 14
21 Boise St 38 16 Iowa St 27
4 Tenn 41 8 Miami 10
5 Georgia 34 3 Ohio State 20

21 Boise St 41 1 Alabama 27
5 Georgia 37 4 Tenn 23

5 Georgia 33 21 Boise St 27

The sim loves Potato U!

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
No way Boise State beats Alabama or Georgia or Texas. The sim you a running is off. I could see Boise have a chance against Big 12 champion but I think they would struggle against Clemson and Miami and low chance against any of SEC teams make the CFP.
 
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Mizzou will drop out
Opportunity for Ole Miss to get back in with a win at 3-1 SoCar
 
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Vandy is pretty good but can you keep Bama in the top 10 after losing to the Commodores?
 
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Mich, Mizzou, Tenn out
Ole Miss in and likely LSU and ND

Barring an epic comeback Miami out replaced by Clemson

Bama likely drops to only 6
 
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After Week 6
Tex back at #1
Mo, Mich out replaced by return of Miss & Clem

8 Tenn @ 7 Bama // 1 Texas SUG
17 Boise @ 3 Ore // 11 IaSt FIE
10 Clem @ 4 PnSt // 6 Mia PCH
9 Miss @ 5 Ga // 2 OhSt ROS


Bubble
AtL: 11 ND, 13 LSU, 15 TAMU, 18 Ind, 18 Okla
B12: 14 BYU, 16 Ut, 18 KSt
ACC: 22 Pitt, 25 SMU
G5: Navy, Army

Next Week
2 Oh St @ 3 Ore
1 Tex v 18 Okla
9 Miss @ 13 LSU
4 PnSt @ USC
11 IaSt @ WV
Ariz @ 14 BYU

6 Mia, 15 TAMU, 16 Ut, 18 Ind IDLE
 

Purple Stein

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After Week 6
Tex back at #1
Mo, Mich out replaced by return of Miss & Clem

8 Tenn @ 7 Bama // 1 Texas SUG
17 Boise @ 3 Ore // 11 IaSt FIE
10 Clem @ 4 PnSt // 6 Mia PCH
9 Miss @ 5 Ga // 2 OhSt ROS


Bubble
AtL: 11 ND, 13 LSU, 15 TAMU, 18 Ind, 18 Okla
B12: 14 BYU, 16 Ut, 18 KSt
ACC: 22 Pitt, 25 SMU
G5: Navy, Army

Next Week
2 Oh St @ 3 Ore
1 Tex v 18 Okla
9 Miss @ 13 LSU
4 PnSt @ USC
11 IaSt @ WV
Ariz @ 14 BYU

6 Mia, 15 TAMU, 16 Ut, 18 Ind IDLE
Simmed out the Week 6 bracket!

Round One
7. Alabama 21 8. Tennessee 17
3. Oregon 35 17. Boise State 23
4. Penn St 22 10. Clemson 7
5. Georgia 51 9. Mississippi 14

Quarterfinals
1. Texas 35 7. Alabama 24
3. Oregon 31 11. Iowa St 17
6. Miami 51 4. Penn St 24
2. Ohio St 38 5. Georgia 17

Semifinals
3. Oregon 38 1. Texas 9
2 Ohio St 61 6. Miami 38

Championship
3. Oregon 19 2. Ohio St 16

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)

3 weeks, 3 different teams in the finals. Good parity!
 

Purple Stein

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Here are the standings of these sims, henceforth to be known as the "Vowelguy Rankings":

Week 6 Vowelguy Top 15
Team
W
L
PCT
1​
Georgia​
7​
2​
0.777777777777778​
2​
PSU​
5​
3​
0.625​
3​
Oregon​
4​
2​
0.666666666666667​
4​
Texas​
4​
2​
0.666666666666667​
5​
Boise St​
3​
3​
0.5​
6​
Tennessee​
3​
3​
0.5​
7​
Ohio State​
3​
3​
0.5​
8​
Alabama​
2​
3​
0.4​
9​
Mississippi​
1​
2​
0.333333333333333​
10​
Miami​
1​
3​
0.25​
11​
Missouri​
0​
2​
0​
12​
Iowa State​
0​
2​
0​
13​
Michigan​
0​
1​
0​
14​
Utah​
0​
1​
0​
15​
Clemson​
0​
1​
0​
 
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Here are the standings of these sims, henceforth to be known as the "Vowelguy Rankings":

Week 6 Vowelguy Top 15
Team
W
L
PCT
1​
Georgia​
7​
2​
0.777777777777778​
2​
PSU​
5​
3​
0.625​

Clearly your model is not familiar with James Franklin's ouevre
 

Purple Stein

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We missed Week 7! Here's how the matchups would have shaken out:

5. Georgia/15. Boise State ----> 9. Iowa State
8. LSU/4. Ohio State -----> 1. Texas
7. Alabama/10. Clemson ------> 2. Oregon
11. Tennessee/3. Penn State ---->6. Miami

And here's the sim!
15. Boise St 45 5. Georgia 10
4. Ohio State 37 8. LSU 24
7. Alabama 62 10. Clemson 24
3. Penn State 41 11. Tennessee 34

Quarterfinals
9. Iowa State 31 15. Boise State 13
1. Texas 27 4. Ohio State 23
2. Oregon 41 7. Alabama 31
6. Miami 33 3. Penn State 13

Semifinals
1. Texas 28 9. Iowa State 20
6. Miami 38 2. Oregon 20

Championship
6. Miami 36 1. Texas 30

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)
Week 7: Miami 36 Texas 30 (Miami 1 Championship)

4 weeks, 4 champions -- Texas is the only team to appear in two championship games.
 

Purple Stein

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Week 7 Vowelguy Top 16
Team
W
L
PCT
Total​
1​
Georgia​
7​
3​
0.7​
10​
2​
Texas​
6​
3​
0.666666666666667​
9​
3​
Oregon​
5​
3​
0.625​
8​
4​
PSU​
6​
4​
0.6​
10​
5​
Miami​
4​
3​
0.571428571428571​
7​
6​
Boise St​
4​
4​
0.5​
8​
7​
Ohio State​
4​
4​
0.5​
8​
8​
Tennessee​
3​
4​
0.428571428571429​
7​
9​
Alabama​
3​
4​
0.428571428571429​
7​
10​
Mississippi​
1​
2​
0.333333333333333​
3​
11​
Iowa State​
1​
3​
0.25​
4​
12​
Michigan​
0​
1​
0​
1​
13​
Utah​
0​
1​
0​
1​
14​
LSU​
0​
1​
0​
1​
15​
Missouri​
0​
2​
0​
2​
16​
Clemson​
0​
2​
0​
2​

Only movement is the top 5 is Miami climbing in and Boise State falling out.
 
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We missed Week 7! Here's how the matchups would have shaken out:

5. Georgia/15. Boise State ----> 9. Iowa State
8. LSU/4. Ohio State -----> 1. Texas
7. Alabama/10. Clemson ------> 2. Oregon
11. Tennessee/3. Penn State ---->6. Miami

Thanks, Sorry but that’s not the bracket this week. It would be:

8 LSU @ 7 Ala // 1 Tex
Boise @ 3 PennSt // 9 iowast
11 Tenn @ 4 Ohiost // 6 miami
10 Clem @ 5 Ga // 2 oregon
 
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After Week 8
ACC & B12 now have 2 teams in
SEC down to 4 & BiG to 3

8 LSU @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore ROS
17 Bois @ 3 PnSt // 10 IaSt FIE
11 BYU @ 4 OhSt // 6 Mia PCH
9 Clem @ 5 Tex // 2 Ga SUG

Bubble
Atl: 12 ND, 13 Ind, 14 TAMU, 15 Bama
B12: 16 KSt
ACC: 19 Pitt
G5: 23 Army, 24 Navy
 
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Thru 9 brackets

A = 1st round bye
B = 1st round host
C = bottom 4

OhioSt 7A - 2B - 0C = 9 total (out of 9)
Geor 4-5-0=9
Texa 4-5-0=9

Oreg 2-3-4=9
PnSt 0-3-6=9


Miam 8-0-0=8
Bama 1-7-0=8

Tenn 0-4-3=7

Bois 0-0-7=7

OlMs 0-5-1=6
Utah 5-0-0=5
Mizz 0-1-4=5
IaSt 4-0-0=4
Clem 0-0-3=3
NDme 0-1-1=2
L SU 0-0-2=2
Mich 0-0-2=2
NIll 0-0-2=2
FlSt 1-0-0=1
B YU 0-0-1=1
 
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Purple Stein

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Here is the Week 8 sim!

Round One
7. Tennessee 52
8. LSU 24
17. Boise St 30 3. Penn St 17
4. Ohio St 37 11. BYU 20
5. Texas 42 9. Clemson 21

Quarterfinals
1. Oregon 45
7. Tennessee 23
17. Boise St 38 10. Iowa St 28
4. Ohio State 43 6. Miami 38
5. Texas 35 2. Georgia 30

Semifinals
17. Boise St 34
1. Oregon 27
4. Ohio St 38 5. Texas 31

Championship
4. Ohio St 49
17. Boise St 16

The sim continues to love Potato U!

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)
Week 7: Miami 36 Texas 30 (Miami 1 Championship)
Week 8: Ohio St 49 Boise State 16

5 weeks, 5 champions -- Texas, Ohio State, and Boise State are the only teams to appear in two championship games.
 

Purple Stein

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Week 8 Vowelguy Top 17
1​
Ohio State​
8​
4​
0.666666666666667​
2​
Georgia​
7​
4​
0.636363636363636​
3​
Texas​
8​
5​
0.615384615384615​
4​
Oregon​
6​
4​
0.6​
5​
Boise St​
7​
5​
0.583333333333333​
6​
PSU​
6​
5​
0.545454545454545​
7​
Miami​
4​
4​
0.5​
8​
Tennessee​
4​
5​
0.444444444444444​
9​
Alabama​
3​
4​
0.428571428571429​
10​
Mississippi​
1​
2​
0.333333333333333​
11​
Iowa State​
1​
4​
0.2​
12​
Michigan​
0​
1​
0​
13​
Utah​
0​
1​
0​
14​
BYU​
0​
1​
0​
15​
LSU​
0​
2​
0​
16​
Missouri​
0​
2​
0​
17​
Clemson​
0​
3​
0​

Ohio State is your new number 1 - Boise is back in the top 5!
 
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After Week 9
BYU moves ahead of IaSt for bye
ND returns, TAMU enters

8 ND @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore ROS
15 Bois @ 3 PnSt // 9 BYU FIE
11 Clem @ 4 OhSt // 5 Mia PCH
10 TAMU @ 6 Tex // 2 Ga SUG

Bubble
Atl: 11 IaSt, 13 Ind, 14 Bama, 16 LSU
B12: 17 KSt, 23 Col
ACC: 18 Pitt, 20 Miss
G5: 21 Army, 27 Memp, 28 Tul, 29 Navy


==================

A = 1st round bye
B = 1st round host
C = bottom 4

OhSt 7-3-0=10 total (out of 10)
Geor 5-5-0=10
Texa 4-6-0=10
Oreg 3-3-4=10
PnSt 0-4-6=10

Miam 9-0-0=9


Bama 1-7-0=8
Tenn 0-5-3=8
Bois 0-0-8=8


OlMs 0-5-1=6
Utah 5-0-0=5
Mizz 0-1-4=5
IaSt 4-0-0=4
Clem 0-0-4=4
NDme 0-1-2=3

B YU 1-0-1=2
L SU 0-0-2=2
Mich 0-0-2=2
NIll 0-0-2=2
FlSt 1-0-0=1
TAMU 0-0-1=1
 

Purple Stein

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Almost missed the Week 9 sim!

Round One
7. Tennessee 35
8. Notre Dame 10
3. Penn State 37 15. Boise State 20
4. Ohio St 61 11. Clemson 21
10. Texas A&M 21 2. Texas 17

Quarterfinals
1. Oregon 30
7. Tennessee 10
3. Penn St 48 9. BYU 7
4. Ohio St 41 5. Miami 23
2. Georgia 17 10. Texas A&M 13

Semifinals
1. Oregon 35
3. Penn St 27
2. Georgia 44 4. Ohio St 40

Championship
1. Oregon 42
2. Georgia 26

Historical Results
Week 4: Texas 39 Penn State 33 (Texas 1 Championship)
Week 5: Georgia 33 Boise State 27 (Georgia 1 Championship)
Week 6: Oregon 19 Ohio State 16 (Oregon 1 Championship)
Week 7: Miami 36 Texas 30 (Miami 1 Championship)
Week 8: Ohio St 49 Boise State 16 (Ohio State 1 Championship)
Week 9: Oregon 49 Georgia 26 (Oregon 2 Championships)

Oregon is the only team to win 2 championships
Oregon, Georgia, Texas, Ohio State, and Boise State have all appeared in two championship games.
 

Purple Stein

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And your Vowelguy top 19 -- Oregon is your new number one!

1​
Oregon​
9​
4​
0.692307692307692​
2​
Ohio State​
10​
5​
0.666666666666667​
3​
Georgia​
9​
5​
0.642857142857143​
4​
Texas​
8​
6​
0.571428571428571​
5​
PSU​
8​
6​
0.571428571428571​
6​
Boise St​
7​
6​
0.538461538461538​
7​
Texas A&M​
1​
1​
0.5​
8​
Tennessee​
5​
6​
0.454545454545455​
9​
Miami​
4​
5​
0.444444444444444​
10​
Alabama​
3​
4​
0.428571428571429​
11​
Mississippi​
1​
2​
0.333333333333333​
12​
Iowa State​
1​
4​
0.2​
13​
Michigan​
0​
1​
0​
14​
Utah​
0​
1​
0​
15​
Notre Dame​
0​
1​
0​
16​
BYU​
0​
2​
0​
17​
LSU​
0​
2​
0​
18​
Missouri​
0​
2​
0​
19​
Clemson​
0​
4​
0​
 
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Clem, TAMU out
Indi and 2-loss Bama in
4 SEC, 4 BiG

The B12 better hope BYU doesn’t lose, or Boise could steal the final bye.

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 3 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 2 Ga — SUG

Of course everything changes when we get the CFP rankings on Tuesday.
 
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Clem, TAMU out
Indi and 2-loss Bama in
4 SEC, 4 BiG

The B12 better hope BYU doesn’t lose, or Boise could steal the final bye.

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 3 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 2 Ga — SUG

Of course everything changes when we get the CFP rankings on Tuesday.
CFP Rankings remarkably consistent with AP (only OSU/Ga flipped, which doesn’t affect bracket)

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 2 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 3 Ga — SUG
 
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CFP Rankings remarkably consistent with AP (only OSU/Ga flipped, which doesn’t affect bracket)

8 Indi @ 7 Tenn // 1 Ore — ROS
12 Bois @ 2 OhSt // 9 BYU — FIE
11 Ala @ 5 Tex // 4 Mia — PCH
10 ND @ 6 PnSt // 3 Ga — SUG
That should be a fun playoff
 

Redding Husky

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An ESPN show last weekend had SMU at #13, the first team out (after they thrashed Pitt).
 

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