Our Resume Is Set, What's Our Seed? | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Our Resume Is Set, What's Our Seed?

Seed

  • Total voters
    362
  • Poll closed .
Vuce said:
I watched BYU not only hang with them but lead them for a lot of the game the other night. UConn is better than BYU
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Zags are one of the better teams in recent memory.
 
navery12 said:
The only reason I think we'll avoid the 8 line is the committee wanting to avoid matching is up with the 1 seeds. Maybe with the 4th 1 seed but I have a hard time seeing us as the 8 with Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan
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Why would the committee not want us to play a 1?
 
Vuce said:
I watched BYU not only hang with them but lead them for a lot of the game the other night. UConn is better than BYU
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BYU shot 80% from 3 in the first half when they were beating the Zags. Sure, if we shot 80% from 3 we could also hang with and then lose to the Zags.
 
Jbirdp5 said:
Why would the committee not want us to play a 1?
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Because our resume with Bouknight is 11-3 with the only losses to Creighton twice and Villanova, that's not an 8 seed and wouldn't be a fair matchup
 
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So how does Hartford winning their conference help our numbers?
 
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navery12 said:
Because our resume with Bouknight is 11-3 with the only losses to Creighton twice and Villanova, that's not an 8 seed and wouldn't be a fair matchup
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I hope your right that they would think in those terms. I have had a much more pessimistic view.
 
JohnFSilver said:
Have you watched Gonzaga this year?
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Gonzaga is basically Creighton on steroids plus Suggs, who is Bouknight level. Presumably Few would just pull up the video of the three Creighton losses and put the foot on the accelerator.

Also- Timme against our bigs scares the hell out of me. Getting people in foul trouble is what he does and he does it very well.
 
navery12 said:
Because our resume with Bouknight is 11-3 with the only losses to Creighton twice and Villanova, that's not an 8 seed and wouldn't be a fair matchup
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The problem is, our resume with Bouknight is 11-3 with the only marquee win being USC.

Seton Hall is no longer impressive. Xavier (which was actually without Bouk) is no longer impressive.

Georgetown looks good lately -- and we beat them twice while they're not losing to anybody else -- but they're still a .500 team.

What we have going for us is:
  • no bad losses
  • good road/neutral record
  • the eye test, especially with Bouknight (not just beating, but blowing out mediocre to decent teams)

Going against us:
- lack of wins against elite competition
 
Tenspro2002 said:
The problem is, our resume with Bouknight is 11-3 with the only marquee win being USC.

Seton Hall is no longer impressive. Xavier (which was actually without Bouk) is no longer impressive.

Georgetown looks good lately -- and we beat them twice while they're not losing to anybody else -- but they're still a .500 team.

What we have going for us is:
  • no bad losses
  • good road/neutral record
  • the eye test, especially with Bouknight (not just beating, but blowing out mediocre to decent teams)

Going against us:
- lack of wins against elite competition
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Does the “eye test” really help seeding though? I thought the eye test usually would help a bubble team make the tournament. Would the committee really bump us up a seed line because of our record with and without Bouknight?
 
UConn will likely slide down in the others receiving votes category. I don't see how we move higher than 8 or 9. Even if they somehow move up to a 7 or 8, they will be playing a 1 or 2 in Round 2. So the most likely question is, how likely are they to defeat a 1 or 2 in round 2.
 
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Tenspro2002 said:
The problem is, our resume with Bouknight is 11-3 with the only marquee win being USC.

Seton Hall is no longer impressive. Xavier (which was actually without Bouk) is no longer impressive.

Georgetown looks good lately -- and we beat them twice while they're not losing to anybody else -- but they're still a .500 team.

What we have going for us is:
  • no bad losses
  • good road/neutral record
  • the eye test, especially with Bouknight (not just beating, but blowing out mediocre to decent teams)

Going against us:
- lack of wins against elite competition
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I just don't agree on Seton Hall and Xavier not being impressive. If they win 1 more game and are both in the last 4 in suddenly they become good wins again? Just seems like such an arbitrary line to draw, especially in a year where there's such a small difference between bubble teams
 
To get off the 8/9 we'd have to jump good analytical teams without a ton of big wins like us but who have 19-20+ wins in general (San Diego St., Loyola Chicago, BYU)

Or teams with a lot more wins and winning records in Q1+Q2 but worse analytics - Clemson, Florida

Or teams with 5+ Q1 wins to our 3 - Oklahoma, Wisconsin, Missouri

And we need to be ahead of 4-6 of these teams.
 
Uconn77Duke74 said:
We won it all as a 7 seed and had to beat a 2, 3 4 and 1 seed . Seeding is mostly irrelevant, its really about match ups.
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That certainly was an incredible run but not a high percentage route to take and match ups are important. I wouldn't say seedings are mostly irrelevant or everyone wouldn't spend so much time analyzing them
 
BLUEDOGHOUSE said:
If I were a committee member looking at all objective criteria I would slot UConn on the #6 line. That would be my fair evaluation without watching as much basketball this year as usual but still having a good idea of the national scene and most rosters nationwide. I think two teams maybe three outside the top three or four seed lines are very dangerous for Final Four runs.

JMHO per the usual.

View attachment 65713
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Love it. I had Seton Hall and Maryland last year at like 50/60-1. Thought I had some good hedge equity.
 
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Want a 7 seed and face one of them football schools. Ohio State, Oklahoma St, or Bama.
Have a bad feeling we’ll get a 9 seed vs like Loyola Chicago
 
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Watching Michigan Ohio State and I am here thinking... damn we can definitely take on this Michigan team in the second round if we are an 8 seed.
 
UofCT said:
2016 Nova good?
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Absolutely.

They have 3 Naismith positional award finalists. So they have top 5 players in the country at 3 different positions (Suggs, Kispert, Timme). They basically have 3 Bouknights. It's never happened before. Or maybe better put as comps... they have a Derrick Rose, a Georges Niang, and an Ethan Happ alongside role players like a Josh Hart and a Dante Divicenzo (both of the role player comps are actually listed on their KenPom pages).

But that doesn't guarantee them anything in a one loss and you're out tournament.
 
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Ok so that Nova team was awesome and won the NCAA Tournament. But they had 6 NBA players on their roster, lost 5 games and didn’t win the Big East tournament. Zags are great too and will be favored. It will take a great game to beat them. But they are not unbeatable. If that is our draw, bring em on
 
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