Our Resume Is Set, What's Our Seed? | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Our Resume Is Set, What's Our Seed?

Seed


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UConn_Top_Dog

"Your school wins games... WE WIN CHAMPIONSHIPS!"
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Watching Michigan Ohio State and I am here thinking... damn we can definitely take on this Michigan team in the second round if we are an 8 seed.
 
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2016 Nova good?
Absolutely.

They have 3 Naismith positional award finalists. So they have top 5 players in the country at 3 different positions (Suggs, Kispert, Timme). They basically have 3 Bouknights. It's never happened before. Or maybe better put as comps... they have a Derrick Rose, a Georges Niang, and an Ethan Happ alongside role players like a Josh Hart and a Dante Divicenzo (both of the role player comps are actually listed on their KenPom pages).

But that doesn't guarantee them anything in a one loss and you're out tournament.
 
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Ok so that Nova team was awesome and won the NCAA Tournament. But they had 6 NBA players on their roster, lost 5 games and didn’t win the Big East tournament. Zags are great too and will be favored. It will take a great game to beat them. But they are not unbeatable. If that is our draw, bring em on
 

Marat

The Champ Is Here.
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One advantage that a top seed may get usually is having a home crowd advantage in the opening rounds, which they won't this year obviously. So on a neutral court we won't have that disadvantage like in the past. Remember the last time when we faced Kansas in round 2 ?
 
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Ok so that Nova team was awesome and won the NCAA Tournament. But they had 6 NBA players on their roster, lost 5 games and didn’t win the Big East tournament. Zags are great too and will be favored. It will take a great game to beat them. But they are not unbeatable. If that is our draw, bring em on
The optimal time to get them may actually be the round of 32. They haven’t played another high major since UVA on 12/26 so they would really be dealing with the big boys for the first time in almost three months. They also haven’t had to deal with Big East / Big Ten level physicality since the Iowa game, also back in Dec. Assuming they need to adjust, that’s probably the first game or two- the cream always rises to the top- and then they’re off and running.

The caveat for us- besides their absurd level of talent- is the challenge of adjusting to likely tighter officiating during the tourney. The Big East refs have largely swallowed their whistles at MSG but our bigs could be in for a rude awakening next weekend if they try banging the same way down low.
 
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Given all the votes for 8 seed, who are we thinking will be the 4th 1 seed?
 
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Given all the votes for 8 seed, who are we thinking will be the 4th 1 seed?
I think Baylor, Gonzaga, Michigan, and illinois are pretty well locked in, even if Iowa beats Illinois today. Illinois with a chance to pass Michigan for 4th seed if they win their tourny.
 
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FYI: Went back to the Oct 14, 2020 thread "Realistic Expectations This Season". Have to complement the boneyard. In general the consensus was a 3-5 finish in the Big East, win a game in MSG, get a 7-9 seed, and win 1-2 ncaa games with room for upside surprise. I'd say that is spot on. As a sidenote, @HooperScooper and @superjohn wrote platitudes but didn't venture an expectation. I expected more people would have been happy just to make the tourney after our absence, but only about 2-3 of the 93 responses echoed that view. No one even suggested that we would be missing on Selection Sunday. You guys must watch basketball.
 
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Looking solely at NET, we would be an 8 seed: NET Bracket at Bracketologists

Bracket Matrix has it as a 9

KenPom has it at 18, which would amount to a 5 seed

Missed 8 games without Bouknight, which supposedly is supposed to be considered

3-4 in Q1 games

It's going to be very close. As one example

Clemson is a 7 seed on Bracket Matrix, compare resumes, UConn should be a higher seed than Clemson factoring in all of the above and below especially since the selection committee is supposed to be putting value on road wins:

NET: 41
KenPom: 42
BPI: 39
Sagarin: 34
KPI: 16
Opp Avg NET: 79
Avg NET Win: 91
Avg NET Loss: 52
SOS: 39
OOC SOS: 176
Record: 16-7
Home: 11-1
Away: 2-5
Neutral: 3-1
SOR: 18

v.


NET: 30
KenPom: 18
BPI: 15
Sagarin: 22
KPI: 41
Opp Avg NET: 92
Avg NET Win: 117
Avg NET Loss: 40
SOS: 69
OOC SOS: 149
Record: 15-7
Home: 7-3
Away: 6-3
Neutral: 2-1
SOR: 31
 
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I watched BYU not only hang with them but lead them for a lot of the game the other night. UConn is better than BYU
Cool, the Zags beat BYU by double digits 3 times this year.
 

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