If EVERYTHING plays out right: UConn plays A+ game with no mistakes, 1 or less penalties, high conversion rate on 3rd and 4th downs, perfect OL play, and stout defense PLUS Mizzou plays a C- game with a few turnovers, plenty of penalties, poor tackling, and a missed FG or two then we have a shot. But that's too many things that need to play out perfectly.
Realistically, I expect Mizzou to be ready to play this game. While we're not restored to our 2009-2010 levels quite yet, we are still a school brand that people across the country have heard of. Southeast Missouri St and Arkansas St aren't exactly names that get anyone's blood pumping. I'm not saying that their players/fans will be jacked up like they're going to play Alabama or LSU. But it will be a game that they will be more ready to play than the first two.
I expect us to make a few mistakes - a turnover, and probably a few illegal procedure/false start penalties because of crowd noise. We'll probably have a key drop by someone in a critical moment and get stuffed on a few important 3rd or 4th downs. I also expect that Missouri will make plays. Plays that Nova and Army just don't have the talent to make. We might be playing something perfectly but they will be able to connect because they have talent. It happens.
We haven't fared well in road games in recent seasons. That doesn't bode well. We also didn't fare well against triple option before Saturday and defended that very well...so I suppose there is hope.
With my UConn glasses on after drinking UConn Kool-Aid ALL WEEK and listening to nothing but our fight song on my iPod since Sunday AM: UConn 26-20;
Realistic prediction: Mizzou 30-14 (and I would be thrilled with this, to be honest)
I think we are 1 year away from being able to go into a game like this and think/expect a W. Bah humbug, I know.