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How does one separate the value / dead-weight in the BXII? They're all pretty blah. It's why I've always said it has a longer shelf life the ACC where there is much more dispersion, and programs of value that would have interest from the big boys.
 
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Do we have reliable data as to what the sliding scale is, exactly?
[th]
Academic Year
[/th][th]
Total Exit Fee
[/th]
[td]2025–26[/td][td]$165 million[/td] [td]2026–27[/td][td]$147 million[/td] [td]2027–28[/td][td]$129 million[/td] [td]2028–29[/td][td]$111 million[/td] [td]2029–30[/td][td]$93 million[/td] [td]2030–2036[/td][td]$75 million[/td]
 


[th]
Academic Year


[/th][th]
Total Exit Fee

[/th]​
[td]2025–26[/td][td]$165 million[/td] [td]2026–27[/td][td]$147 million[/td] [td]2027–28[/td][td]$129 million[/td] [td]2028–29[/td][td]$111 million[/td] [td]2029–30[/td][td]$93 million[/td] [td]2030–2036[/td][td]$75 million[/td]
So after 2030 the amount is only $75 million. The ACC could implode like the PAC12 if the top 4 or 5 teams leave causing the ACC contract drop in significant value.
 
The ACC TV contract expires in 2031, right? And since the exit fee structure is not escalated for inflation or sliding as the years go on, (do we know for certain that it does not reinitialize each year?), the ACC is likely to disintegrate starting in July 1, 2028. Is that the consensus here? Maybe earlier?
 
The ACC TV contract expires in 2031, right? And since the exit fee structure is not escalated for inflation or sliding as the years go on, (do we know for certain that it does not reinitialize each year?), the ACC is likely to disintegrate starting in July 1, 2028. Is that the consensus here? Maybe earlier?
Drop to $75 million occurrs in 2030 and subsequent. I think if ACC implodes it will be that year. Four teams make up over 45% of the TV viewership for ACC. FSU, Clemson, Miami and Georgia Tech.
 
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Drop to $75 million occurrs in 2030 and subsequent. I think if ACC implodes it will be that year. Four teams make up over 45% of the TV viewership for ACC. FSU, Clemson, Miami and Georgia Tech.
I think that in 2030 our exit fee drops to $10 million. (If not, it's in the last year or so of the $15 million period.) So it becomes "affordable" for us to leave at that time. We will see if any invites are forthcoming. I would be OK in an ACC without those schools. I suspect North Carolina is also gone.

Hopefully, we have a choice of either the big 12 or a reasonably intact. ACC. It's entirely possible, though, that the Big Ten and the SEC will take the high value schools listed above and the big 12 will pick over the remains. That leaves us with a best case scenario in being invited to a very picked over ACC that would likely be offered a diminished "Take it or leave it" deal from ESPN. If that happens, we would likely the offer, because it would still be a step up from the big east in terms of the media dollar distribution.
 
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The ACC TV contract expires in 2031, right? And since the exit fee structure is not escalated for inflation or sliding as the years go on, (do we know for certain that it does not reinitialize each year?), the ACC is likely to disintegrate starting in July 1, 2028. Is that the consensus here? Maybe earlier?
The ACC TV contract runs through 2036.

 
The ACC TV contract runs through 2036.

Yes, the contract still runs through 2036. But now there is a stated separation fee for full members to leave if they do not wish to stay until 2036. However, I’m not sure if these fees apply to Notre Dame should they wish to follow up, sooner rather than later, on their recent disappointment with the ACC.
 
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Drop to $75 million occurrs in 2030 and subsequent. I think if ACC implodes it will be that year. Four teams make up over 45% of the TV viewership for ACC. FSU, Clemson, Miami and Georgia Tech.
2030 would be the year of exit, yes, but that would typically be announced a year or two before ... hence the 2028 speculation
 
The factor that should make ACC teams leave before 2030 (or at least announce their future exit) is that the acquiring conferences (i.e. SEC and Big10) typically want the new schools already officially moved in so as to create better leverage in their tv/media negotiations and both the SEC and Big10 will want that in 2028. We are getting closer and closer.
 
The factor that should make ACC teams leave before 2030 (or at least announce their future exit) is that the acquiring conferences (i.e. SEC and Big10) typically want the new schools already officially moved in so as to create better leverage in their tv/media negotiations and both the SEC and Big10 will want that in 2028. We are getting closer and closer.

The Big 12 media contract expires in 2031. The last time Yormark negotiated the Big 12 media rights, he started early. And he has talked about separating out basketball for media rights. Have to hope that this is the incentive to add UConn to the conference.

"The Big 12 deal will expire in 2031, which is one year after the Big Ten's record-setting deal expires. Notably for the Big 12 moving forward, the contract comes up before the SEC (2034) and ACC (2036) deals expire".
 
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