Non-Key Tweets

[upstater]

Interesting nugget from Matt Brown here:

"Speaking of the MAC, don’t be shocked if anybody else leaves this year. Not just for league that might have better competitive or financial upside, but to "downgrade” a bit to save money.

Don’t be shocked to hear about the American kicking the tires a little more, and a little more loudly, on non-football membership to bolster their basketball offerings."

UMass back to the CAA? Would be a great gift for an FCS conference that has fallen on hard times.

It definitely won't be Buffalo, I can tell you that.

 

[noeynox]

I'd say Akron or Kent State are more likely than UMass. UMass needs to rid of itself of Bamford.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

UMass back to the CAA? Would be a great gift for an FCS conference that has fallen on hard times.

Please tell me where anything has been published that implies UMass is even considering a move back to FCS level football.

 

[ZooCougar]

Please tell me where anything has been published that implies UMass is even considering a move back to FCS level football.

Who cares at this point? Seems like a true lost cause.

 

[Purple Stein]

Please tell me where anything has been published that implies UMass is even considering a move back to FCS level football.

I gave you a link to an exceptionally sketchy substack. I'm not sure how much more non-key I can get.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

I gave you a link to an exceptionally sketchy substack. I'm not sure how much more non-key I can get.

Yeah, but what kills the entire premise is that (unless a new regime moves in at Amherst, and not merely in the athletic department) the school is committed to the FBS football experiment. Any article or speculation that includes the school moving back to FCS is merely wishful thinking on someone's part.

 

[jostar1]

 

[JVN]

Happy that The Dude thinks we're worthy 😂

 

[TRest]

Happy that The Dude thinks we're worthy 😂

The tell is they always think WVU will always be included.

 

[uchusky32]

Isn’t this a Key tweet!? 😆

 

[ZooCougar]

Isn’t this a Key tweet!? 😆

No.

 

[CL82]

 

[Rufus]

Any Big 12/ACC merger would have to come after the top ACC teams leave for the P2.

 

[jostar1]

 

[jostar1]

 

[Vowelguy]

How does one separate the value / dead-weight in the BXII? They're all pretty blah. It's why I've always said it has a longer shelf life the ACC where there is much more dispersion, and programs of value that would have interest from the big boys.

 

[Vowelguy]

It would be funny/sad/typical if Miami uses one good year after sucking for 20 to get an invite.

 

[CL82]

 

[huskymedic]

 

[uconnyankee]

I would say there is still a grant of rights. Only thing that’s changed is they now have a known price tag to get out of.

 

[RSTuthill]

I would say there is still a grant of rights. Only thing that’s changed is they now have a known price tag to get out of.

Do we have reliable data as to what the sliding scale is, exactly?

 

[JwittersPAC]

Do we have reliable data as to what the sliding scale is, exactly?

[th]

Academic Year ​

[/th][th]

Total Exit Fee​

[/th]​

[td]2025–26[/td][td]$165 million[/td] [td]2026–27[/td][td]$147 million[/td] [td]2027–28[/td][td]$129 million[/td] [td]2028–29[/td][td]$111 million[/td] [td]2029–30[/td][td]$93 million[/td] [td]2030–2036[/td][td]$75 million[/td]

 

[JwittersPAC]

[th]
Academic Year

[/th][th]
Total Exit Fee

[/th]​

[td]2025–26[/td][td]$165 million[/td] [td]2026–27[/td][td]$147 million[/td] [td]2027–28[/td][td]$129 million[/td] [td]2028–29[/td][td]$111 million[/td] [td]2029–30[/td][td]$93 million[/td] [td]2030–2036[/td][td]$75 million[/td]

So after 2030 the amount is only $75 million. The ACC could implode like the PAC12 if the top 4 or 5 teams leave causing the ACC contract drop in significant value.

 

[storrsroars]

Academic Year

Total Exit Fee​

2025–26 $165 million
2026–27 $147 million
2027–28 $129 million
2028–29 $111 milliom
2029–30 $93 million
2030–2036 $75 million

Just to make it readable..

 

[Vowelguy]

Just to make it readable..

So July 1, 2030 is the day it hits the min. These announcements typically happen 18-36 months in advance, so we're looking at late 2027 - 2028 for movement to happen?

 

[RSTuthill]

The ACC TV contract expires in 2031, right? And since the exit fee structure is not escalated for inflation or sliding as the years go on, (do we know for certain that it does not reinitialize each year?), the ACC is likely to disintegrate starting in July 1, 2028. Is that the consensus here? Maybe earlier?

 

[JwittersPAC]

The ACC TV contract expires in 2031, right? And since the exit fee structure is not escalated for inflation or sliding as the years go on, (do we know for certain that it does not reinitialize each year?), the ACC is likely to disintegrate starting in July 1, 2028. Is that the consensus here? Maybe earlier?

Drop to $75 million occurrs in 2030 and subsequent. I think if ACC implodes it will be that year. Four teams make up over 45% of the TV viewership for ACC. FSU, Clemson, Miami and Georgia Tech.

 

[CL82]

Drop to $75 million occurrs in 2030 and subsequent. I think if ACC implodes it will be that year. Four teams make up over 45% of the TV viewership for ACC. FSU, Clemson, Miami and Georgia Tech.

I think that in 2030 our exit fee drops to $10 million. (If not, it's in the last year or so of the $15 million period.) So it becomes "affordable" for us to leave at that time. We will see if any invites are forthcoming. I would be OK in an ACC without those schools. I suspect North Carolina is also gone.

Hopefully, we have a choice of either the big 12 or a reasonably intact. ACC. It's entirely possible, though, that the Big Ten and the SEC will take the high value schools listed above and the big 12 will pick over the remains. That leaves us with a best case scenario in being invited to a very picked over ACC that would likely be offered a diminished "Take it or leave it" deal from ESPN. If that happens, we would likely the offer, because it would still be a step up from the big east in terms of the media dollar distribution.

 

[TerryD1957]

The ACC TV contract expires in 2031, right? And since the exit fee structure is not escalated for inflation or sliding as the years go on, (do we know for certain that it does not reinitialize each year?), the ACC is likely to disintegrate starting in July 1, 2028. Is that the consensus here? Maybe earlier?

The ACC TV contract runs through 2036.

ESPN exercises option to televise ACC sports through 2036

ESPN has agreed to pick up its option to broadcast ACC sports through 2036. The decision comes as the ACC works toward settling lawsuits by Clemson and Florida State.

www.espn.com

 

[Pat125]

The ACC TV contract runs through 2036.

ESPN exercises option to televise ACC sports through 2036

ESPN has agreed to pick up its option to broadcast ACC sports through 2036. The decision comes as the ACC works toward settling lawsuits by Clemson and Florida State.

www.espn.com

Yes, the contract still runs through 2036. But now there is a stated separation fee for full members to leave if they do not wish to stay until 2036. However, I’m not sure if these fees apply to Notre Dame should they wish to follow up, sooner rather than later, on their recent disappointment with the ACC.