Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 2h2 hours ago
20 pages from the script being complete but Ive lost the story flow. Drawn back into expansion. Got to find the tiger’s tail...
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 2h2 hours ago
Replying to
@theDudeofWV
Give up dude. you know you can’t fight the siren song of expansion. With new leadership coming on board at Texas and OU the tremors of 2022 will start soon…
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 1h1 hour ago
I have to this time. The last thing I want is drawn into the mess yet again. The B12 is in a much better spot than fans want to believe - especially OU fans.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 1h1 hour ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe
The difference this time is we know - for a certainty - that ESPN & Fox will not condone expansion with G5 schools. We also know of the unrest in the P12 & the money problems a few P12 schools are having.
Zain Mujtaba @zainmujtaba 1h1 hour ago
If the choice comes down to death or expanding with worthless, brandless, G5 freeloaders, Big 12 death is the better option.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 1h1 hour ago
Nobody in the P12 is a freeloader. Really.
Zain Mujtaba @zainmujtaba 56m56 minutes ago
P5 members are being paid a ton, so someone thinks they are worth P5 payouts. G5 members are paid a pittance, hence by definition any G5 added to a P5 has to be a freeloader!
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 55m55 minutes ago
Big 12 can only expand by poaching the P12.
Julius Johnson @JuliusJ85224635 4m4 minutes ago
What you are saying Dude, 1) Big 12 needs to expand before next TV deal or it fails because lack of footprint. 2) Big 12 can only poach PAC.G5 will not be allowed by media partners. If 1 & 2 are true, if PAC knows 1 & 2 true, why wouldn’t PAC stick together?
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 57s57 seconds ago
Money, exposure. If B12 fails P12 will not benefit.
Julius Johnson @JuliusJ85224635 5m5 minutes ago
Replying to
@JuliusJ85224635 @theDudeofWV and
If PAC analysis of the situation matches your analysis Dude then PAC would just wait out Big 12. PAC TV deal comes first.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 1m1 minute ago
Replying to
@JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba @MarkKochenderfe
Think of the factors that inhibit the P12. How are they solved? Identify which schools would benefit from more money & exposure. Identify which schools are in dire straights financially.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 2m2 minutes ago
Replying to
@JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba @MarkKochenderfe
Pinpoint the P12’s issues. Big 12 failure would not benefit Pac 12.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 26m26 minutes ago
Adding T3 money the majority of the B12 will see from $10-$12M more each year than P12 schools.
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 11m11 minutes ago
I would agree the pac is weaker than the big 12. Terrible TV ratings, little interest in college sports on the West Coast, and duplicate markets. But due to geography it’s harder To see how it gets dismembered.
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 9m9 minutes ago
So what Will happen in five years? The only way one can make a prediction is to look at what’s actually possible.
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 5m5 minutes ago
Possibility one: nothing. No movement always has to be considered a strong possibility in expansion. Can you imagine the social media circus that power five movement would actually be? Can u imagine the political pressure on OU if OSU is going to be left in a zombie big 12? 1/2
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 5m5 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
Big 12 needs expansion to keep pace.
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 9m9 minutes ago
Can you imagine Texas giving up the Longhorn network to be an equal partner in another conference? How do they extract themselves from the other Texas schools? Movement is difficult. More difficult today that even was six years ago.
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 4m4 minutes ago
Possibility to: pac 16 arrangement. Ou and OSU along with Texas and tech go West. This is less appealing now than it was in 2011. Their network is a failure and their TV ratings and attendance lag behind B12. 1/2
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 2m2 minutes ago
It would be like hitching your future to a dying horse. The money would just not be there to make this make sense for anybody.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 2m2 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
Nobody is going to the Pac 12.
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 42m42 minutes ago
Possibility 3: Texas/OU go to the Big Ten. For this to be a reality they would have to overcome the barriers mentioned under possibility one of breaking free from the other in-state schools. Not an expert on state politics but would have to be difficult.1/2
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 39m39 minutes ago
The state of Oklahoma in particular is small and the OSU backers would have enough juice to try to stop ou from leaving. If OSU doesn’t have a landing place in a true P5 conference not sure OU can get out if past expansion is any guide.2/3
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 39m39 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
The legit threat against the Big 12 is ESPN/Fox decide not to pay a premium.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 31m31 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
Texas is very happy. OU is only unhappy because Texas is happy. OU’s markets are just as problematic to the B1G as lack of AAU. SEC wants OU but OU knows what that would mean.
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 32m32 minutes ago
Perhaps the big 10 would try to lessen the blow to other schools by guaranteeing the big 12 a spot in the power five for the next 20 years. It would become like the old Big East. A power conference in name only
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 28m28 minutes ago
Possibility 4: Big 12 take from the pac 12. P 12 is in such poor financial shape the schools feel move must b made to solidify the future.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 27m27 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
Some type of merger is equally pluaseable.
Mark Kochenderfer @MarkKochenderfe 27m27 minutes ago
This probably has more legs then it gets credit for. If the ACC and B 12 are pulling behind in the B12 is dying. But the question for me is what schools. A Colorado or Arizona or Arizona State type schools don’t move the needle enough.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 27m27 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
They do.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 26m26 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
Texas & OU make everybody more valuable. They would require a longterm GoR.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 21m21 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
Say WVU goes to the ACC. Baylor is dropped. 4 divs of 5 or 2 of 10. Doable.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 19m19 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
By the way a merger is the only logical outcome for both the P12 & the B12 if they want to survive. Can ESPN force WVU on the ACC & will egos allow it.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 18m18 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
ESPN would have to arrange WVU to the ACC. The move might force ND to ACC too.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 12m12 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
Texas prefers the Big 12. So does OU. The money has to be there.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 9m9 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
My opinion is this... in the end ESPN & Fox will continue to pay the Big 12 enough to keep them 3rd in earnings because UT & OU moving would set off consolidation & a phenomenal increase (to the level of the NFL) in rights fees.
Christopher Lambert @theDudeofWV 9m9 minutes ago
Replying to
@MarkKochenderfe @JuliusJ85224635 @zainmujtaba
Because any movement destabilizes the status quo.
ME: We all feel your pain, Dude.
