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Yea I’m not saying I’d bet my life on everything he says but I put more stock in a local “regular twitter guy” just sharing what he heard on this one topic than any of these guys who brand themselves as insiders and have been throwing stuff at the wall for 10 years now on a daily basis
It is always possible that one of those guys knows something. Unfortunately, it is probable that twenty people will claim to know something for any one that does, meaning that picking one "nobody" to believe is taking a low percentage shot.