I need someone to provide a legitimate defense to the premise that the current B-12 plus any or all of Louisville, NC St & Va Tech is such a better conference than the current ACC less the schools that are being projected to leave for the B1G/SEC in the proposed scenario that the three schools in question would each pay nine figure departure fees to make that move.
The only thing holding the conference together right now is the GOR. If the GOR is ruled invalid then the conference is dead.
Pretty much a coin flip right now, but that might not be the case with diminished ACC with an adjusted media payout.
That’s it. We just don’t know if they will order the B12 to destroy the ACC or not yet.
The departure fees (separate and distinct from GOR buyout, which is what would go away) is a little more than $100 million.
ESPN needs to provide new TV deal by February 2025. Without FSU, Clemson, NC and perhaps Miami that new contract will be less than the current contract.
$100 million is chump change if the alternative is winding up like Oregon state and Washington state
True, but that wouldn't be the alternative. What it would be is a price to move from one second tier power conference to another with a string likelyhood that they would never come close to recouping the cost.
let’s see what happens in February 2025 when new TV offer from ESPN comes out. The amount will be much less if the top two football teams leave the conference. ESPN will decide if ACC becomes like the PAC.
It depends how many leave. If 5 teams leave and your next media deal is projected to be $15/yr after the exodus then it pays for itself in six years. It's a sound investment at that point.
If the ACC loses UNC, FSU, Clemson, VA and Miami, then loses L’ville, NC state and Vt, who is left in football? GT? Pitt? Syracuse?
#1 draw in The Big 12 as well. Clearly no bias here…
It makes even less sense because the networks are the ones trying to consolidate and force a power two. They want consolidation.
Absolutely agree. For example, if the data they used was "universities in New Jersey" it's understandable how Rutgers came out ahead of Virginia. Of course if they used any other data, whatsoever, then that's a pretty anomalous result.
Obviously Rutgers benefits by playing Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State, 3 of the top 10 teams on the list.
He offers his reasoning in his tweet. It could be 2. It could be 4, depending on whether teh B1G and SEC want 18, 20, etc. Whatever the number is, it makes sense to keep Big 12 and ACC in tact.