No Question We’re In Now…Is a 7 or 6 Seed In Reach? | Page 8 | The Boneyard

No Question We’re In Now…Is a 7 or 6 Seed In Reach?

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Confirmation bias is what is happening. This is like polling when we have herding.

People take the metrics and don’t want to put a team somewhere where they are challenged. It is easy to just go chalk.

We’ll see how seeding works. Sec and big 10 schedules are so filled with top 100 teams, it kind of skewers.

Would this UConn team be 10th in the sec? That is worth a conversation imo.

I am more bullish than most on UConn here. I would shoot for a 6 seed.
Lol, so everyone not part of the heard mentality knew we were a top 10 team. Got it. Keep moving those goalposts.

BTW, bracket matrix ranks everyone, so people actually have a vested interest in not being part of the herd, because you won’t finish high in the rankings if you just go with the consensus. It’s pretty clear you‘re in your own reality so we can just move on.
 

gtcam

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win the NBE tournament and hope for 6 pray for a 5
lose Friday and hope for 8 and pray for 7
lose Thursday hope for 9 and pray its not a 10
 
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Lol, so everyone not part of the heard mentality knew we were a top 10 team. Got it. Keep moving those goalposts.

BTW, bracket matrix ranks everyone, so people actually have a vested interest in not being part of the herd, because you won’t finish high in the rankings if you just go with the consensus. It’s pretty clear you‘re in your own reality so we can just move on.
Look at betting odds for that tournament.
 
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Depending on where you look for bracket projections, Marquette being 2-3 seed lines ahead of us is breaking my brain
This is correcting itself. On Bracket Matrix down to 1 seedline difference (Marquette down to a 7).
 
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win the NBE tournament and hope for 6 pray for a 5
lose Friday and hope for 8 and pray for 7
lose Thursday hope for 9 and pray its not a 10
You had me until the last line. I think a 10 seed is significantly better than a 9 because I don't think there is a lot of difference between a 7 or 8 seed but there could be a huge difference between the first or second seeds if we're fortunate enough to make the second round. Plus, for TV ratings, there is no way the networks don't set up the two time defending champs to potentially play Duke or Auburn in the second round.
 
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Just want to bring up a point I haven’t seen mentioned yet (apologies if it has). But I recall one year the committee saying it takes injuries as a factor when evaluating and seeding the bracket. That being said, I don’t believe the metrics take injuries to key players into consideration, but I could be wrong on that. If that’s the case, I feel like McNeeley missing those 8 or 9 games could be a huge swing factor for the committee in bumping us up to the 6 or 7 line seeing as that’s the team we are bringing to the tournament (barring any injuries in the BET).

Let’s hope and maybe that’s what gets us off the 8/9 line.
 
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Just want to bring up a point I haven’t seen mentioned yet (apologies if it has). But I recall one year the committee saying it takes injuries as a factor when evaluating and seeding the bracket. That being said, I don’t believe the metrics take injuries to key players into consideration, but I could be wrong on that. If that’s the case, I feel like McNeeley missing those 8 or 9 games could be a huge swing factor for the committee in bumping us up to the 6 or 7 line seeing as that’s the team we are bringing to the tournament (barring any injuries in the BET).

Let’s hope and maybe that’s what gets us off the 8/9 line.
I think they meant injuries entering the NCAA Tournament. Like when they dropped Cincinnati down some when Kenyon Martin got hurt in the conference tournament. So they're seeding the team that is entering the NCAA Tournament.
 
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Wouldn't shock me. According to Torvik, they've been the best team in the BE the last month.
Amazing how playing the bad teams makes you look better isn’t it?

Similar to this Duke team - I know the computers account for competition but I honestly don’t think they do enough.
 

6Nattys4Us

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Xavier is in with a win against Marquette. Probably an 11 seed.

For us a win vs Villanova might move the needle a tiny bit as other teams in other conferences will be in play and might loosen the log jam at 8/9.

A win vs Creighton is likely needed for a 7.

24 wins would be nice but I believe we will get a 7 and I dont follow Lunardi’s bracketology as he is usually not all that accurate.
 
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Xavier is in with a win against Marquette. Probably an 11 seed.

For us a win vs Villanova might move the needle a tiny bit as other teams in other conferences will be in play and might loosen the log jam at 8/9.

A win vs Creighton is likely needed for a 7.

24 wins would be nice but I believe we will get a 7 and I dont follow Lunardi’s bracketology as he is usually not all that accurate.
It's not just Lunardi who has them on the 8/9 line.
 

UConnDan97

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It's not just Lunardi who has them on the 8/9 line.
Lunardi, DeCourcy, and Palm all have us as an 8. But I think that if we win our first game in the BET, we're a 7.

The reason I think that is not because I think the committee likes UConn (quite the opposite, actually). The reason is because they'll want to protect a #1 seed from that matchup prior to making the Sweet 16...
 
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You do realize we have also played St. Johns twice, Creighton and Marquette in the last month, right?
I’m talking about Xavier - their schedule was front loaded, they’ve played the BE dregs over the last month. And the BE dregs are really bad.
 
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Lunardi, DeCourcy, and Palm all have us as an 8. But I think that if we win our first game in the BET, we're a 7.

The reason I think that is not because I think the committee likes UConn (quite the opposite, actually). The reason is because they'll want to protect a #1 seed from that matchup prior to making the Sweet 16...
If we only win one in the BET it means we go 1-1, it’s not like we are going 1-0. Net neutral, seed remains same. We need to win 2 to move a line. 2-1 may give us a chance, certainly not a slam dunk.
 

UConnDan97

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If we only win one in the BET it means we go 1-1, it’s not like we are going 1-0. Net neutral, seed remains same. We need to win 2 to move a line. 2-1 may give us a chance, certainly not a slam dunk.
I understand that. What I'm saying is that 1-1 will get us on the 7-line. If we win the tournament, I expect a 6 seed, with an outside chance at a 5 seed...
 
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Amazing how playing the bad teams makes you look better isn’t it?
I mean they did pound Creighton by 22 during their current streak, and beat Seton Hall in NJ, something we failed to do.
 
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I understand that. What I'm saying is that 1-1 will get us on the 7-line. If we win the tournament, I expect a 6 seed, with an outside chance at a 5 seed...
I'm generally as optimistic as anyone on this board, but there is no shot at a 5, virtually no shot at a 6, and we likely need to win the BET for a 7. Our metrics are not great right now when put head to head with anyone on the 7 line let alone a 5 or 6
 
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I'm generally as optimistic as anyone on this board, but there is no shot at a 5, virtually no shot at a 6, and we likely need to win the BET for a 7. Our metrics are not great right now when put head to head with anyone on the 7 line let alone a 5 or 6
Torvik (I swear I'm not being paid to promote that site :D) has our seed as 7.8 currently. I guess you could take that as us being the last #7 seed? I think absolute highest seed is a 6, but more like a 7 if we win the BET. And we're probably an 8 currently.
If we were to go 1 and done in the BET, I can see us ending up as a 9.
 
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I mean they did pound Creighton by 22 during their current streak, and beat Seton Hall in NJ, something we failed to do.
Yeah they did get that one which was the big one for them. Other than that game, their last 9 games have been the bottom feeders with their only other decent matchup (@Nova) they lost by 12.

I honestly don’t see much value in beating teams 7-11 in the BET- they’re horrible.
 
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Torvik (I swear I'm not being paid to promote that site :D) has our seed as 7.8 currently. I guess you could take that as us being the last #7 seed? I think absolute highest seed is a 6, but more like a 7 if we win the BET. And we're probably an 8 currently.
If we were to go 1 and done in the BET, I can see us ending up as a 9.
That 7.8 puts us as the 2nd 8 seed currently on Torvik
 
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Torvik (I swear I'm not being paid to promote that site :D) has our seed as 7.8 currently. I guess you could take that as us being the last #7 seed? I think absolute highest seed is a 6, but more like a 7 if we win the BET. And we're probably an 8 currently.
If we were to go 1 and done in the BET, I can see us ending up as a 9.
If you want to take into account the human factor just look at bracket matrix. We’re the 3rd 8, which sounds about right when you marry up to the metrics. That means we have to jump 3 teams to get to 7, 7 to get to 6. 1-1 is not jumping us to the 7 line. 3-0 and avoiding losses altogether could be impactful enough to make a mark.
 

UConnDan97

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I'm generally as optimistic as anyone on this board, but there is no shot at a 5, virtually no shot at a 6, and we likely need to win the BET for a 7. Our metrics are not great right now when put head to head with anyone on the 7 line let alone a 5 or 6
I guess we'll see, but that's an additional 2 Quad 1 wins, with the third game (presumably Nova) just outside of that. Again, it won't be for any love of UConn, but rather, a protection of the 1-seeds and 2-seeds if possible...
 

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