No Question We’re In Now…Is a 7 or 6 Seed In Reach?

[UCLJ0211]

If we weren’t a lock already we certainly are now. It’s been discussed on here a lot but what are our chances now at a 7 or even 6 seed? Another quad 1 win now gives us 5 for the season- so we have that going for us.

Assuming we beat SH this weekend, I still think if we make it to the BET final we are a 7, win it all and we have a good shot at a 6 seed.

 

[3rdbass]

No I don't think 7 is a stretch. I think if we get to the finals of the BE Tourney. If we win we are a 6 seed but first we have to beat Seton Hall which we didn't do before.

 

[Fishy]

I think seven is in reach. Six might be a stretch given that being in the Big East tends to earn a team a one seed line penalty.

 

[Travelman6]

6 is for sure not out of reach. Take care of shall AS THEY SHOULD on Saturday and get to the finals. I think winning a major conference tourney even tends to help a team move up a seed line, maybe to a 5 for UConn depending on what happens to these other teams.

Lose the next 2 and it's an 8 or 9
1-1, 8
2-1, 7
3-1 but with a shall loss is a 7
3-1 finals loss, 6
4-0, likely 6, outside shot at 5

 

[TheHorde]

I think if we beat Seton Hall, then we are an 8. A deep run in the Big East tournament with a loss in the final I believe would put us in a 7 seed. If we win the Big East tournament, then I think we’d be a 6 seed.

 

[Chin Diesel]

6 is for sure not out of reach. Take care of shall AS THEY SHOULD on Saturday and get to the finals. I think winning a major conference tourney even tends to help a team move up a seed line, maybe to a 5 for UConn depending on what happens to these other teams.

Lose the next 2 and it's an 8 or 9
1-1, 8
2-1, 7
3-1 but with a shall loss is a 7
3-1 finals loss, 6
4-0, likely 6, outside shot at 5

I love autocorrect.

 

[calamity17]

7 is probably ceiling.

The committee has shown what they think of the Big East so I wouldn’t expect any favors. Add in the increased weighting that metrics play and It certainly doesn’t help our case. Those Colorado, SH, and to some extent Dayton really torpedoed the metrics to where they couldn’t be salvaged. Couple that with the back half of the Big East being trash, and not blowing out teams we should and it’s a recipe for disaster. We beat a top 20 team last night and It hardly moved the needle on Kenpom for example.

 

[REB1094]

Beat seton hall

 

[BFieldHusky]

Today our numbers:

NET: 34
KenPom: 37
ESPN BPI: 20

Still on the 8/9 line, but slowly leaning to the 7 line. Beat Seton Hall on Saturday. Won't help us much metric wise, but it's another step in the right direction.

 

[RuffRuff]

6 is for sure not out of reach. Take care of shall AS THEY SHOULD on Saturday and get to the finals. I think winning a major conference tourney even tends to help a team move up a seed line, maybe to a 5 for UConn depending on what happens to these other teams. Many of the teams we are up against had very good wins this week, BYU at ISU, Illinois at UM.

Lose the next 2 and it's an 8 or 9
1-1, 8
2-1, 7
3-1 but with a shall loss is a 7
3-1 finals loss, 6
4-0, likely 6, outside shot at 5

7 is max. It doesn’t help when the Ole Miss’ of the world beat Tenn last night. We have to hope teams on the 7 and 8 line lose too.

6	UCLA	Big Ten	6.67	118		6	7	6	5	6	6	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	7	8	6	6	7	7	6	6	7	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	7	6	6	6	6	7	6	6	7	7	8	6	8	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	7	8	7	6	8	7	7	6	7	6	6	7	8	7	7	7	8	6	7	8	8	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	7	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	7	6	6	7	6	6	7	7	6	5	8	6	8	6	8	6	7	7	7	8	UCLA
7	Mississippi State	SEC	6.86	118		7	6	7	8	7	8	8	6	7	6	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	8	7	8	8	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	8	8	7	8	9	6	9	8	7	7	8	7	7	8	7	7	8	7	6	7	6	7	7	6	7	7	6	7	6	7	7	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	7	8	6	6	7	6	7	6	6	6	7	6	7	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	8	7	6	6	7	5	6	6	7	6	7	8	7	7	7	6	6	6	7	6	6	7	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	7	Mississippi State
7	Kansas	Big 12	6.95	118		7	6	7	8	7	7	7	7	8	8	7	8	8	7	6	7	7	7	7	8	7	7	7	7	8	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	8	7	8	7	7	5	7	6	6	7	7	7	6	7	7	6	7	7	8	7	7	6	7	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	7	7	8	8	7	7	6	7	7	7	6	7	8	7	7	7	6	7	6	6	7	7	7	6	8	6	8	8	6	8	7	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	7	6	7	6	6	6	7	7	6	7	7	7	Kansas
7	Mississippi	SEC	6.99	118		8	6	7	7	8	7	7	7	7	6	8	7	6	7	6	7	6	6	7	8	7	8	5	7	7	7	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	6	7	7	7	8	6	8	7	7	7	7	8	7	7	7	7	8	7	7	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	7	6	6	9	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	7	8	8	7	8	8	7	7	6	6	7	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	8	7	8	7	7	5	7	7	7	8	7	8	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	7	Mississippi
7	Memphis	American	7.06	118		7	6	7	6	8	7	6	7	8	7	6	7	7	6	7	7	8	7	8	4	7	6	8	7	7	9	6	7	7	7	8	8	6	8	7	7	7	8	7	8	7	8	6	8	8	8	7	6	8	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	8	8	7	7	6	7	7	8	8	7	7	6	7	7	6	7	8	9	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	7	6	7	6	8	8	6	8	8	8	7	8	7	7	7	7	6	7	6	8	7	8	7	8	6	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	8	7	7	8	Memphis
8	Illinois	Big Ten	7.15	118		7	8	8	7	7	6	7	8	7	7	7	7	7	8	7	7	7	7	6	7	8	7	6	8	7	5	7	8	7	7	5	6	7	8	8	7	8	6	7	7	7	5	8	8	7	7	8	7	7	6	8	8	7	8	8	7	7	6	7	8	7	8	8	8	7	7	8	7	8	7	8	7	8	7	7	7	7	8	7	8	6	7	7	8	7	7	6	7	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	8	7	7	7	7	7	7	8	6	8	7	8	7	7	8	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	7	Illinois
8	BYU	Big 12	7.69	118		8	8	8	7	7	8	8	9	7	9	7	7	7	6	7	8	7	8	8	6	7	8	8	6	7	6	7	7	7	6	6	8	6	7	6	6	8	8	7	8	7	6	6	6	7	8	8	8	8	6	9	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	9	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	9	8	8	8	8	8	8	9	8	9	8	9	8	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	9	8	BYU
8	Gonzaga	West Coast	8.32	118		9	9	9	9	8	8	8	9	9	8	8	8	8	9	9	8	9	8	9	7	8	8	7	9	9	8	8	9	8	9	10	7	8	8	7	8	9	8	8	9	8	7	9	9	8	8	9	7	9	9	8	8	8	9	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	9	7	8	9	9	8	8	8	9	10	9	8	8	8	8	8	8	9	9	9	8	8	9	8	9	9	9	7	8	8	9	8	9	9	8	9	8	8	8	8	8	8	9	8	9	9	8	9	9	8	8	8	8	9	8	6	Gonzaga
8	Connecticut

 

[Tyler2Rings]

Today our numbers:

NET: 34
KenPom: 37
ESPN BPI: 20

Still on the 8/9 line, but slowly leaning to the 7 line. Beat Seton Hall on Saturday. Won't help us much metric wise, but it's another step in the right direction.

Beat Seton Hall. How about crush their soul? We need to win that one by 35

 

[Austin316]

I feel like we moved up to being a solid 8… no longer 9… that’s it. Contingent on other non-UConn games this week.

 

[UCTitleTown]

If we win the Big East we can get as high as 5. Those Colorado and Seton Hall losses are albatross games. I think both Colorado and Seton Hall are 2-17 in their conferences.

 

[Kemba15]

This tells me we probably need to make the BET finals (and beat SHU of course) to have a shot at a 7. But that became a lot more realistic after last night.

 

[navery12]

One thing to keep in mind is that the committee has shown in the past that conference tournaments mean very little in terms of seed. We might see a small bump but it's unlikely

 

[UConNick]

I think it’s optimistic to assume a BET run would bump our seed line up much. The committee has shown time and again they don’t give much consideration (for seeding purposes) to conference tournament wins. They have the bracket virtually finalized by Thursday or so, it seems.

Is a 7 possible? For sure. But without doing a deep dive I’m not sure even a BET win would get us all the way to a 6.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

Don't take this the wrong way but I believe anyone worrying about what seed we get in the tournament is wasting time that could be put to far better use debating quality of pizzas, IPA or single malts.

If we put things together we'll be capable of making a good run if we're seed 4, 14, or anywhere between the two. If we don't, we won't get very far regardless of what number is next to our name.

 

[RuffRuff]

Don't take this the wrong way but I believe anyone worrying about what seed we get in the tournament is wasting time that could be put to far better use debating quality of pizzas, IPA or single malts.

If we put things together we'll be capable of making a good run if we're seed 4, 14, or anywhere between the two. If we don't, we won't get very far regardless of what number is next to our name.

Any potential run comes to a diffused fast when you have to play one of the best 4 teams in the second round. The rosters are on those teams are just too good.

After watching Florida last night they feel a firm 1 seed and top 4 team. They are really good, would put them in front of Houston in terms of talent level and roster versatility. There are cracks after those top 4.